NIFTY & BANK NIFTY Analysis for Tomorrow — Stock Market Outlook — 13 July 2026, Monday

[00:00:00] Speaker 1: hello and welcome to callagre market our daily program on nifty and banknifty analysis before we get started let's answer an important question oh how nice okay no nobody knows okay let's see straight almost traffic live huh boss i think i think i think trump is doing insider trading i don't have to think right everyone knows ships transmit sitting now 11. this concern is okay closed since no i think this is an old tracker this is not even like so let's look at marine missile traffic.com yeah this does not look very closed it doesn't look very close to me or what am i missing okay anyway so basically there's a lot of news in the last uh uh two days about uh uncle again doing war and not doing war and all that so it's thoda weird because you we want to have a conversation on technicals and then suddenly you know you know like nikon just saying another sunday another eye on iran uh yeah why not see there is even a theory that hitler never really died and he went uh incognito to argentina sorry i'm not saying this because fifa is rigging the world cup and all i don't have any problem uh with that to the extent of going into nazi conspiracy theories but dude like what are the odds okay so there's a real legit thing japan was doing a lot of absolutely dastardly human experiments uh on uh prisoners of war chinese prisoners of war and uh everybody talks about how cruel the nazis were but nobody talks about what japanese people did and it apparently there is like an underhand dealing between us and japan too but anyway the point is a lot of our uh stuff um a lot of things which we hear dude like it's all manufactured consent man nothing is real like nothing is real i'm just i can't believe i'm saying this i sound like i'm wearing a tinfoil hat but uh so i i i i i i mean you know every everything is uh getting so manipulated i have no idea what to believe in anymore because let's not remember let's not forget one day before anthropic ipo the drama which uh sorry uh spacex ipo the drama which happened suddenly trump says this is just kidding lol we were signing signing a peace treaty so it's pointless man but let's see what's the technicals are doing because at least nobody can lie nobody does lie this was a bullish harami bar bullish hammer which was confirmed on friday so uh nifty daily candle is the confirmation of the bullish hammer bar harami and it's both on friday right um wow where did that go okay and it's also out of the channel we know uh weekly candle see i have a theory every time they start the week with one candle because they showed us a bullish bearish engulfing on wednesday and suddenly it became like an indecision doji with a huge rejection big it's usually suggestive of you know shaking out weak hands so weekly candle is a bull is a doji with huge rejection wicks on uh top and bottom the bottom one being more recent right indicating support so it's kind of unquestionable that such a long week indicates support monthly it's too early we are not even what is it 12th of july but monthly candle so far looks like a confirmation of a bullish army but we'll see month is a picture baki types right uh bank nifty also same stuff right the only difference here is that it's probably hitting a resistance here uh same in fact bank nifty has a uh doji cross i can even call it a dragonfly doji because the top is shorter than the bottom but let's write it down so that's our structure bank nifty daily candle is confirmation on friday is kind of obvious okay weekly candle is a doji cross or even a dragonfly doji indicating strength so charts are saying this i know there are events and all but events came later right but if you are analyzing this on a friday evening this is what chart says now let's look at open interest everybody wrote puts on friday right massive call unwinding and put addition on friday which is expected and now option chain has supports below 24 200. again this is all on friday supports below 24 200. okay pcr 1.06 around the atm and one 1.3 overall another dark is saying result season has started could be a couple of volatile weeks yeah that's true that is very true result season is the classic season to pump uh this is uh this is bullish actually that's crazy i mean pcr is very clearly saying bullish again i know trump has said uh all of that yes question i know i know for all the bear gang which we talk about it's not see because ronnie the thing is i know um see i realized that if you just truly believe that the rich people always escape and the non-rich people really get screwed and rich people eventually gets rich if you truly believe it in your heart then it's very easy to kind of predict the stock market by guessing what what direction rich people are mostly going to make money okay so now let's see the fi idea data kind of useless of late but we'll just see i really miss 2023 2024 when we could just predict the market purely looking at option activity on fii but yeah sad stuff but uh on change fia is bullish pro is bullish and client is bearish that's a very unusual thing uh change on friday fia and pro bullish client bearish we don't get to see this often that's why i'm writing it down uh but client is still massively put short 6.3 lakh but anyway now let's look at futures data that has been slightly uh better for us in terms of some sort of predictive power for 2000 crores if i bought roughly 2000 crores in futures if i bought 2600 crores in stock so before we go to verdict we'll take a look at everybody else that is true that is very true put holding is a good idea i don't know man because earlier earlier also they said ki we are restarting war and then then they suddenly say ki you know there's no war bavin uh i would strongly advise what i advise everybody friends and family even everybody who's watching ki look if this is okay see a lot of people trade here for fun it's a very good uh pastime hobby you know like this entire argument about let's all do effendo and get rich i think is soda based i mean there are there's a lot of hobbies which people pursue right people pick up photography people pick up musical instruments people pick up gardening people pick up wildlife photography people pick up fancy cars whatnot so this is also like one of them with the small upside it's a lot of fun you create a lot of self-awareness if you ask me are you going to get rich from trading my answer is no very highly unlikely because let's face it i actually even once put a tweet on sensible's handle saying if any of you listen to anybody anywhere in twitter uh or x or instagram or youtube or anything if you have found a trainer who helped you become rich please let me know and we'll give you money for that and nobody turned up right so if you are being promised money for becoming rich after following somebody and then nobody turns up it pretty much means there's nothing so if if you are finding it difficult doing this please don't do this i i do it because i think it's a little fun uh because like i said midlife crisis hobby but please don't make it a a thing if it is uh destroying your peace of mind like i think the most important thing uh about uh about uh this thing is that um if you do it responsibly it is a source of a lot of learning and it might even make you slightly better at handling volatilities in your stock portfolio one second i'm just trying to find out something interesting but uh let's put it on the background and let me go to uh okay spx was slightly up the nasdaq was slightly up the inr was flat indian 10-year bond doing surprisingly well dollar index going up gold is at a very interesting breakout point i think krishna had sent a group gold and crude both forming a triangle in fact krishna's chart was this he detected a triangle here so there's a triangular breakout very likely in gold same with silver um and in uh crude also the same can exist so basically all of them are in a triangular inflection point us bonds we'll know tomorrow what will happen there's no point in speculating now oil somebody was saying uh it's uh trading 76 after hormos closure and that uh uh over the weekend derivative that's why is why are people saying there's no voice i can see the voice indicator going up and down maybe i maybe i stopped speaking because i was trying to search something now i mean so brabaker um we have i have as we speak i have reshot at least uh eight episodes of those video tutorials we have given it to learn app team for mixing they're coming back this time in a much much cooler way we'll redo all our episodes tomorrow also i'm going to the studio to shoot some more episodes so we'll bring it back no questions right so that is that uh so what else uh so what is our verdict see regardless of what has happened in iran right something tells me something tells me i know yes they are saying no we don't know right maybe they have closed maybe they have opened who knows but if we are looking purely at charts it looks like charts it looks bullish charts look bullish oh oi data looks bullish fii data also looks bullish um there is the trump sorry there is iran us thing going on but minus that this is a buy on dips market so we'll watch the reaction to iran story but if no big reaction may be an opportunity to buy bull call spreads rr greater than one still because um yeah we were again saying uh we are biases still towards because see i know they this guy has uh you know said everything but i don't think something is happening ankur is saying inverse up with this up 48 please send it to me i'll i'd love to see the data on this because i am also making looking for some way to make money what better way to make money than my own inverse etl so wait wait wait sorry one more thing we had to look at was events a lot of uh these things coming up that um results yeah wait monday are there any big results on monday results on 15th july interesting hdfc amc icc lombardia cc provincial hdc ubi tcs tech maindra this week geofinancial services bhl 361 blue star darber no nothing where are the big ones kotec hdfc icica uh kotec is coming access hdfc 18th july next weekend is when hdfc access icica oh my god hdfc access icic bank they're all going to declare results on 18th july and kotec bank wait so i thought i just thought there are two kotec banks is it okay maybe on saturday anyway i just i'll just look into it q1 2027 oh god okay i need to talk to somebody anyway so that is our analysis uh for today we'll oh sorry but before that i've completely missed the uh economic calendar there is inflation data yeah that's it so that is our analysis for today we'll see you again tomorrow uh tomorrow thank you so much for watching and as usual uh please take care and keep everyone safe