About this transcript: This is a full AI-generated transcript of The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to the Stock Market (& Why AI Stocks are Next) from Tom Nash, published October 16, 2026. The transcript contains 5,751 words with timestamps and was generated using Whisper AI.
"i'm going to 10x my money over the next few years and it's going to be done in a market filled with fear panic doubt and insane volatility and it's going to happen not despite of these things but because because while everybody else is chaos and fear and then trying to run for the hills and hide..."
[00:00:00] Speaker 1: i'm going to 10x my money over the next few years and it's going to be done in a market filled with fear panic doubt and insane volatility and it's going to happen not despite of these things but because because while everybody else is chaos and fear and then trying to run for the hills and hide and protect themselves from every angle possible i see this the money making opportunity of a lifetime and again like every time in the past 90 of people will not see this before it's too late of course not you because you're on this video so don't click nothing don't smash nothing don't buy nothing just listen and pay attention now imagine the stock goes up a thousand percent doesn't happen a lot but sometimes happens okay five years a thousand percent wonderful how many people actually made a thousand percent on that stock very very few in fact i would wager that a lot of them actually sold at a loss a stock that went up a thousand percent don't believe me look at palantir palantir came out of the gate at ten dollars a pop went to 40 then down to six stayed at six for a whole year then up to 200 down to 130 now back up to 200 how many people sold palantir at loss during these six years a lot wow a stock going up two thousand percent and mostly people sold it a loss yes that happens every single day and that in fact happens to 90 percent of investors there's a reason that despite the market doing 10 percent a year like clockwork 90 of retail investors keep losing money because this the one thousand percent performance doesn't guarantee you will actually make money you need one more component beyond the one thousand percent i'm going to show you today exactly how to get it and you'll get it for absolutely zero dollars for free now the instagram fantasy of stock market investors is this look at this beautiful clean chart no problemo year one we're ten dollars year five we're a thousand dollars look at this beautiful straight line this is investing according to social media however this has nothing to do with reality this is absolute hollywood fantasy now the real investing journey looks something like this every single time this is the reality 10 then to 1000 then 500 then 2000 then 900 then 7 000 then 4500 then 10 000 across five years and along all of these trenches all of these roadblocks all of these failure points people make the mistake of buying the hype and selling the bottom every single time and there's a little small group that actually does the opposite makes money while 90 of people lose money on these even though this stock gone from zero to 7 000 then to 10 000 but people lost money because they couldn't handle the tops and the bottoms that's the first premise now i want you to pay attention to this okay will be smarter guarantee your success in the stock market no will being stronger physically and mentally guarantee your success in the stock market no okay will having more money being richer guarantees your success in the stock market and oh no the only thing that guarantees your success in the stock market are these four things you need conviction built on consistency along with the system and research if you have research consistency system and conviction then that's going to improve your odds of making the stock market but that may seem easy and simple on this little chart while in fact this is the real game of investing warren buffett once famously said this is not a game of brain power it's not about who's smarter it's about who has this this is the real game and nobody's looking at this everybody's trying to get a shortcut what's the next stock tom when should they sell when should i buy this is the holy grail of investing and nobody's doing this that's why 90 lose not gonna let it happen to you now in heroic academy we have a lot of stocks that gone up some stocks went down over the past five six years since we've been doing this but this is the next track of my top stocks list where we have 35 stocks in the rock academy painting and call for slash dom nash now you can see that we hit nvidia back in october of 2020 it's up almost 1500 percent palantir is up 1900 and we also have other stocks like a neck up 400 okay now why some investors sold palantir nvidia anet when they were down why other investors bought them specifically those same exact times when palantir was at six dollars why what did these investors actually knew better than investors who sold at the worst possible time okay look at these red numbers this is how much each stock was down palantir was down 75 nvidia not that long ago was down 36 anet was down 50 all of this happened in the last five years that is scary that's not easy of course a lot of people have made a mistake here but what did the people who actually use this to make more money know better that's what i want to give you in today's video i want to give you that edge that edge is not easy to get but i'll give it to you okay now before we move forward okay i want to explain something to you now everything every single thing that i have done in order to be a successful investor everything comes from one place and one place only my private research process every single stock that i've selected every single stock i've covered the palantir the nvidia the anet all of them came from this system now what i've done for you is i put everything in one document it's called tom's private research system and it's going to do two things for you number one it's going to allow you to find the best opportunities in the stock market before everybody else but without the second element this is going to be worthless and it's going to give you the second element which is build actual conviction if you can build conviction and find opportunities ahead of the crowd you will make the money and it's yours for absolutely free go right now to the link in the description and the link in the pinned comment sign up for my free master class where i'll be going over all of my investing methodology all of my system i'm going to be explaining everything how i research stocks how i build conviction i'm going to revealing a stock that i'm extremely bullish on that i've never mentioned before all of this happens october 24th saturday at 2 p.m eastern go sign up for that you'll get this right away click the link you'll get my private research system in your inbox right there and then now let's move on even though the s p 500 does 10 a year how come most investors actually lose money why well mostly because they jump in and jump out okay again and again and again now the same thing happened wednesday when people got spooked over one bad day might have been one that week but it doesn't matter the shorter mentality is that most of them actually sell and lose every time people panic sold they have lost money and they keep doing it again and again now the question i want to raise to you is why do people do that why do people that know the market only goes up keep on panic selling at the first sign of trouble is it because they're weak no is this because they're stupid no is it because they don't understand the stock market no it's because they haven't done the one thing required to avoid this which is build conviction now to build conviction you need research to have research you need to understand how to research so you're not flooring your car or neutral not moving anywhere all of this takes practice time and you need to learn these things instead of just trying to pick up a stock based on what somebody said on social media or mainstream media now i want to show you this okay on wednesday we had a hot inflation report oh my god the sky is falling okay another rate hike is certain i don't know what's certain this life except death and taxes but again that's the sentiment right then we had the s p actually lose its longest running streak in the past six years of not having a negative one percent day oh my god the s p dropped a whole one percent the sky are falling the nasdaq is down two percent small caps are down two percent s p 500 down one percent everybody panic on wednesday as if the world was over that comes from lack of conviction when you don't have convictions it's like having a house without foundations it's not going to last at the first gust of wind that house is falling over now the real issue here is this did this 1.1 drop on the s p 500 actually scared you okay be honest with yourself did you feel like this is not safe okay if the answer is yes the issue is not the stock market the issue is lack of conviction if you don't know what you own you don't have conviction if you don't have conviction you need a one percent drop to panic that's why i always say stock market declines do not kill portfolios crashes do not kill portfolios investors kill portfolios because investors reactions kill portfolios okay humans are emotional creatures it's never going to change you're not going to hardwire your brain not to be emotional we're all emotional creatures so instead of trying to deny this work with this understand look i'm emotional okay cool i cannot change this so let's build a system that overrides this and protects me from me that's all i'm saying you don't have to make yourself a cyborg data from enterprise all you got to do is just understand how to work through the emotional aspect of being human because all of us go through the same bullshit now a lot of what happened over the past you know 48 hours with the wednesday sell-off it's just water weight right think about these ufc fighters who get on the scale and they're like 30 pounds lighter then within 24 hours they gain all this back because they drink some water okay dehydrated i mean short term 20 drops in technological stocks are just water weight okay it's not real weight loss it doesn't mean did this squat what you need to be asking yourself is a few simple questions did anything change did it become now trash all of a sudden maybe something happened over the past 24 hours that made this company trash maybe maybe some new information came out maybe right but generally speaking companies usually of course there's outliers but usually companies do not become trash in a single day okay if you know what you own you're gonna avoid all of this nonsense trust me on this i want to show you one more thing now you can't just create conviction i talk about it all the time and i say oh you gotta have conviction you gotta have conviction yeah but conviction is the same way as i would ask you wait can you become an athletic person in one day of course not have to go to the gym it takes months and months and months you have to eat right train right sleep right recover right can you learn how to fly a plane in one day of course not can you learn how to play guitar in one day of course not you know can you come into a company with no experience just become the ceo in one day of course not this is all obvious to you because you understand there is a process to learning new skills and improving yourself physically mentally professionally but somehow people get in the stock market like whoop-dee-doo here i go i'm gonna make millions without any process without any conviction without any system you cannot build conviction in a single day this is a process the process takes time it takes hard work but it pays really well when you do it right let me show you these are just some of the stocks i have in my top stocks list and as you can see they've done pretty well we've got a net from 2023 up 358 percent we've got asml we added that in 2021 to the top stocks list up almost 200 percent we have micron up 172 percent right pilantir is up almost 2 000 percent nvidia is up 1500 percent amd is up 577 percent we actually added nvidia back in nvidia back in 2021 but what's in common with all of these it was never a straight line up never ever ever they've all had bumps and bruises it was always a bumpy journey they all shaked out weak hands again and again and again all of them without conviction these stocks didn't help anybody getting the right stock and not building conviction not having a system to both invest enjoy your profits and actually continue to make money again and again again in the repeatable fashion it's not possible without the process which is exactly what i've been saying the whole video now i want to show you this these are just examples of how bumpy the ride can be for example another stock we have in my top stocks list is a company called arm now arm i initially added in august of last year now just past the one year anniversary it is up almost 70 percent not bad not my best performer but not bad at all but look at what happened right after i added it it actually went down okay from 138 to 105 that was down 40 percent so at some point in the first few weeks maybe a few months of this stock being added to my top stock list it was down 40 percent if i didn't have conviction if i didn't have an understanding if i didn't properly analyze the company in the right way to make sure to understand this is an opportunity this is a way to make money i would have panic sold the same thing happened with datadog datadog is a company we added to the top stocks list in january this year okay it is up a hundred percent not bad at all but again this was also down 21 percent from 133 to 105. again if you don't know what you're holding that's scary if you know what you're holding if you have conviction if you have a system that's an easy money-making opportunity same thing with bloom energy the bloom energy is a very volatile stock we added it back in february this year now at some point it was down almost 30 now it's up 33 but look at the journey 165 to 119 to 217 all of this can be very very terrifying if you don't have conviction and you cannot have conviction without doing proper research without understanding the system you cannot do this without learning the skill it takes time to learn this process but when you do it becomes a huge secret weapon now a lot of people tell you well just do your research god darn it that's a bunch of hooey that's bullshit okay nobody's explaining to you how to do this research how to build this conviction they all throw these things out into the ether as if building conviction and doing research is easy no it's not it's hard they don't explain how they don't show you okay which is why i'm going to give you my process absolutely for free it is going to do two things for you it's going to give you an opportunity to find stocks early to build strong conviction but one more thing is also remove trash that you have in your portfolio right now because once you understand this and you start applying it to stuff you're already holding you're going to find a lot of trash you're going to be taking out if you want this free guide right now it's yours go right now sign up to my free webinar on october 24th saturday 2 p.m eastern well i'm going to be going over all of my investing system everything i've ever done the entire thing i'm going to give everything away i want you to follow along with me with this guide that's why i want you guys to have it before the webinar sign up click the link join reserve your spot you're going to get this in your inbox i want you to have this on the webinar when you go everything you will need all of this but at the end of this process you have made the first step into building conviction having a system having a strategy that's going to put you ahead of 90 percent of investors now what i'm talking about is this this is the holy grail of investing this is what we want to find we want to find great stocks where the price is doing this but the business quality is doing this now price is easy to spot right all we have to do is look at the stock price it's public information but this analysis this is the hard part how do you analyze a business how to figure out whether the business is improving despite the price decline that's the part i want to teach you that's the part i want to show you okay the first question you have to ask when you see the price actually start dropping is well is this just market sentiment okay is this just geopolitics is this something that's going to blow over or do we have anything that's company related something about their fundamentals maybe there's a new competitor and it's taking the lunch and the operating margin just got slashed by half maybe it's something company related then we may have a problem but if it's here the price drop really is just water weight it doesn't matter it's temporary that's your first stage before you do one piece of research now we're going to move on one step further then we're going to ask seven questions seven simple questions anybody can ask number one do we have revenue growth in this business our margins expanding okay do we have loss of contracts of clients that's an indicator that there's an indicator that there's an issue okay do we have lots of debt and this debt is growing do we have key departures of ceos or cfos do we have a weak forecast do we have competitors coming in right those are the questions that will give you some understanding whether the business is actually getting worse or better because when the price drops you expect to see some or all of these get worse but if all of these are getting better then the price drop inherently is not company related and there's a lot of price drops that are not company related so it wouldn't be the first one not the last one now the last time i came out and said i love this stock and we did the whole webinar about it and i said look zeta global is going to be huge this was in may 2026 i came out and said zeta global is going to be massive right now panned out pretty good so far up 92 since may but look at this when we said zeta global is going to be great the year-to-date performance was negative six percent and since november 2024 to may 2026 it was down 50 so the stock was down heavy when i said hey this is great why did i say zeta was a great stock even though price was going down because i couldn't care less about the price movement whatsoever all i did is focus on the fundamentals the only thing without conviction this stock would have meant nothing to you because all you had is the stock that's coming down price and it's scary if you don't have conviction if you didn't do the research if you didn't build it foundationally then me telling you zeta global is a great stock is worthless to you that's what i'm trying to explain without conviction without systems giving you stock tips would not help you at all that's the drug dealer mentality i keep explaining to you about people give you stock picks they want to come back again and again but when the stocks actually drop there's nothing to ground you there's nothing that will help you to keep holding on to these stocks because it's not your conviction and somebody else so when i looked at data global i couldn't care less about this or this the price action didn't matter what matter is the fundamentals they had a wonderful product it's based on ai it's solving a huge pain for companies and the fundamentals are not just elite they're actually improving you had the story and the fundamentals to go along with it now i actually took a look at this stock mvp stock-mp.com this is where it's from now i looked at revenue revenue was up 30 percent 1.3 billion i looked at the operating income was improving 109 year over year at 5.4 million i also looked at other fundamentals for example this is free cash flow up 100 percent eb the margin up 360 percent total assets up 33 percent price to sales ratio of 3.3 and more cash to debt as simple as that all i did is check out the fundamentals compare this with the price drop look at this story and say well we have a great story a lot of upside the current fundamentals are elite they are improving and the price is dropping easy peasy and that is the same methodology i use in my own portfolio but the thing is that all of this happened with a crazy roller coaster ride none of this was easy the ups and downs here were very intense in six years all of these really could have given you a lot of heartache but when you have conviction you don't need to time the market even once zero timing the market hold good companies hold them for longer invest more money into them and you will be fine none of what we're doing here is exciting or sexy i don't have any lamborghinis or mansions none of this will give you the dopamine hit you want it's boring and it's mundane and it is repetitive but guess what it builds real wealth and the system i'll show you in a second helps you make it keep it and enjoy it while you're doing it because i don't want you eating pasta every day for the next 20 years you have to make it keep it and enjoy it all of this is in my system and i'm going to show that in a second but here's the thing why do 90 percent of investors actually lose money are the idiots oh do they not know that the market goes up 10 percent every year they do but they still lose money why because they're addicts and i'll show what i mean okay markets run on dopamine people who do options and trading that's a huge dopamine spike let's say that you just had a big trade you did 20 percent in a single day the dopamine spike you got from this is not gonna be enough next time you're gonna want more and more and more and now more is no longer enough that's the addiction so you take leverage and you double down and you do options and you become an addict chasing more dopamine instead of chasing more wealth that's the mistake i'm not gonna let happen to you now check this out what do the 10 of investors is actually making the market do different because at the end of the day if you want the same results like everybody else go ahead play stupid games win stupid prizes be like everybody else but if you want different results you have to be different now i just said the system isn't easy but it is incredibly simple all you have to do is compare price to business do we have improving fundamentals do we have better earnings better revenues better margins while at the same time price decline or price basically flat do we have a market misunderstanding if you find the misunderstanding you'll make the money in the short term you can have bad pricing in the stock market but in the long term the stock market is always going to price companies the right way based on their fundamentals fundamentals will always drive long-term stock market pricing and that's what confuses people a lot because they'll see short term price movements and they'll assume where the smoke is fire if there's a stock price decline in the past few weeks there must be something bad with the fundamentals no not always in fact you'll find a lot of these if you just look and separate price from business that's the important part now check this out now there are very few exceptions to the no trading rule some people are really good at this i would probably say one out of a hundred can really do it because it requires a ton of commitment it's a job and you need good skills good instincts and a lot of luck but yes some people about one in a hundred can do it and then they go on social media and they showcase their wins but what they don't show you is the actual losses what you don't see is the short-term capital gains they're paying for every trade and of course you don't see the survivorship bias which is 99 of them have never made it
[00:26:00] Speaker ?: enough to be able to show you their wins you're watching the one guy who did it but along the line there's 99 who fell out and then they're not showing you the mental and emotional
[00:26:00] Speaker 1: toll of being an active trader in the market which is very difficult you don't want to be this this is a losing game you're going up against companies with more money showing you the mental and emotional toll of being an active trader in the market which is very difficult. You don't want to be this. This is a losing game. You're going up against companies with more money than you, more information than you, tools you cannot even imagine and you're trying to beat them at their own game. Do you really want to go up against NBA superstars or do you want to play in the rick against a plumber and a carpenter? It's just the same way as planting a tree. If you plant a tree, that tree is going to need a lot of time to grow. You're not going to be sitting there every single morning trying to see if the tree actually grew this morning or not. It's pointless. It's futile. But the beautiful part about long-term investing is that the vast majority actually wins. There is no emotional or mental toll. It is a massive cheat code and the longer you do it, the better your performance is becoming every single year. It's compounding. It's exponential. This is beautiful. All you have to do is sit on your ass and do diddly squat and watch your money grow and work for you more and more with every single year. That is incredible. Why would you want to give that up? Now, the S&P 500, not what we've seen in the past few years because we had outlier years where the S&P went crazy. But in a normal time, the S&P 500 does 10% a year. And that sounds like, you know, just 10%, nothing to write home about. But 10% a year will double your money every seven years. The longer you stay, the better your performance becomes in the market. That's the beautiful thing about long-term investing. There is nothing else that comes even close to how good this is. The reality of 90% of retail investors is this. They buy here. They sell here. They buy here. They sell here. They buy here. They sell here. Again and again and again and again. And they do not learn their lesson. They are the cannon fodder that 10% of the market uses to make a shit ton of money. Do not be this. This is not good. This is bad. Instead, think about it this way, okay? If volatility is not your enemy, okay? If your emotions is your enemy, let's fight the real enemy. Market volatility is going to be there. The market is going to collapse. It's going to crash. It's going to pull back. It's going to be irrational in the short term. All of this is a feature. Your emotions is what you need to learn to control. Part of my system is teaching you how to control your emotions, okay? The market doesn't panic sell your portfolio. It doesn't fumble into horrible trash stocks. It's you. You are the problem. So you have to fix you, not fix the market, which is exactly what I teach in my system, is what I want you guys to have. I want you guys to have the system, and it's incredibly simple. This is how we do it. Think about the COVID decline. How many people sold when the market dropped in the COVID decline? We double down. Think about 2022, the bear market. How many people sold? This is super simple. When the market is down 10% below the 52-week high for the S&P 500, when the market is down 20% below the 52-week high for an individual company, we double down. Buy twice. Buy 2x. Buy 2x. And every single other time, we just keep on buying. Tops and the bottoms nonstop. We never time the market. That's how you get this performance, automating everything and leaving emotions out of it. Emotions have nothing to do with the system. It is incredibly simple and not emotional, okay? But most people can't do it, okay? They can't do it because of a few things. They check the portfolio every single day, as if it matters, as if it improves their performance. I never understood people who sign on every day to check their performance in the portfolio. Okay? They listen to idiot talking heads on social media and mainstream media. And they build no conviction. They have no support group when they can actually get better and learn. No plan, no strategy. And they're trying to outsmart everybody because they think they can do it. Predicting the market, timing the market, and being the smart ass. Being the smart ass never works. Why would you want to engage in a stupid game? Because you will win stupid prizes, okay? Instead, use this bulletproof strategy, okay? Find out what is your monthly amount you can invest from your budget, okay? Invest half. Put the other half on the side. Allocate 30% to 60% to a large, large broad market ETF. Let's say the S&P 500, okay? Use the rest of it to search for quality businesses, not tickers, okay? And invest only if you build conviction in individual stocks to complement the S&P 500. And find yourself a good educator and a good support group to help you in panic and in FOMO. So you don't become emotional. Group of like-minded people who are doing the same system. So they can keep you grounded when you have bad days. Because we all do. We all need a support group. Now, after that, the next step is super simple. You just dollar cost average, D-C-A, which only means invest at fixed intervals, fixed amount of money. And you double down when the stock is down 20% from the 52-week high or 10% for the S&P 500. And you continue to double down as long as it stays below that number, okay? You ignore the news. You trim profits when the stock is up 50%, 100%, 150% so you can enjoy this money. You monitor that the quality of the stocks you're holding did not deteriorate. You have to always monitor that. And you stop checking your portfolio. Check it once per week. And even that is not really necessary. I'm going to change everything you knew about investing. Everything you got here, I just scratched the surface. On the live masterclass on October 24th, 2 p.m. Eastern, we're going to give you everything, the entire system. I'm going to show you how research every single stock. And I'm going to reveal the stock I'm super bullish on right now. I've never, ever mentioned before. And on top of this, once you reserve your spot, register, click the link, register for the webinar. You will get in your inbox, my private research system. It's going to get there right away. I want you to read it. And I want you to have it. When we're going through the masterclass, I want you to follow along with me. This is going to revolutionize what you know and think you know about investing. This is going to change your life. I'll see you there. October 24th, Saturday, 2 p.m. Eastern.