Iran War Press Conference Turns into TOTAL DISASTER for Trump

[0:00] late tuesday night president trump and the iranian regime agreed to a two-week ceasefire [0:04] uh at least each side agreed to a version of a ceasefire agreement it's not sure if they agreed [0:08] to the same double-sided yes double-team ceasefire we'll dig into all the details in a second but [0:14] first john um let's just see how the financial media was processing trump's threat uh to take [0:20] out the entire civilization of iran let's watch here's a clip from cnbc deadline that president [0:25] trump has sat 8 p.m has threatened to destroy a civilization how how does an investor process [0:33] that is it is it a bigger upside risk or downside risk well sarah you're always going to want a [0:40] short civilizational collapse yep that is just uh that is 101. yeah i'm long war crimes but i'm [0:45] short genocide the the political version of this is trump did a genocide where's the bounce [0:50] coming to a harry enton segment near you i i sent that to some of my college friends who are [0:59] in the finance world and one of them said honestly i've been asking myself the same question [1:06] you know there's like an entire like goldman sachs desk like trying to figure out i mean [1:10] of course there were reports that like citigroup was sending out analysts to see if the strato [1:13] hormuz was closed it's up whatever a lot of money is like going through the strato hormuz so we shouldn't [1:17] be surprised at all one quick thing john we here at crooked media we will commit to not uh making [1:23] financial bets based on genocide that's something we're not going to be focused on or covering as a [1:28] network at least today and if you want to support that kind of coverage and reporting and analysis [1:33] please consider subscribing to pot save america here on youtube and if you want to become a subscriber [1:38] uh to our our only friend subscription community you can click join on youtube or you go to crooked.com [1:43] friends the number one thing you can do that's a good place where you can put your money [1:46] that's a good bet it's a good way to bet your money um that isn't uh mass death so consider it [1:51] please um uh we needed to laugh because it's been a horrifying few weeks but like let's now let's dig [1:57] into what happened last night and why the ceasefire feels very fragile at the moment so as of this [2:02] recording iran is now saying the strait of hormuz is closed until the israelis agree to stop bombing [2:07] lebanon trump however told uh liz landers at pbs news this morning that no lebanon is not part of [2:14] the ceasefire deal so that seems like a big problem and again like so the pakistanis who [2:19] facilitated this agreement they explicitly said that lebanon was part of the deal this is from [2:24] prime minister uh sharif's tweet last night quote with the greatest humility i am pleased to announce [2:28] that the islamic republic of iran and the united states of america along with their allies have [2:33] agreed to an immediate ceasefire everywhere including lebanon and elsewhere effective immediately that [2:40] seems pretty cut and dry yeah apparently no one uh no one told the uh the israelis that literally [2:46] did you see the wall street journal sorry about this yes i've been thinking about this i feel like [2:53] we are back to exactly where we were um right after trump gave that weird prime time address last week [3:00] which is remember like in that speech he was basically like well we destroyed everything and the [3:06] strait will open up on its own and we don't need the strait right and we did everything we needed to [3:10] do and that's that yeah and that's basically where we are right now we just had like a threat of genocide [3:18] interrupting uh that in the middle right but like all that's happened it seems like is um the united [3:24] states has stopped bombing stuff and uh iran said that they would open up the street but now they've [3:30] closed it and even if they open it again iran controls the strait and is charging a toll yeah [3:36] we gave them they de facto i mean basically trump seemed to concede in his statements last night that [3:40] iran is now in control of the straighter humus um yeah we mentioned this earlier the wall street [3:44] journal reported that the israelis were furious that they were not part of the ceasefire negotiations [3:48] they weren't consulted on the final text of the deal um before it was done and they have basically [3:53] insisted that they're going to keep hitting targets in lebanon lebanon and to that point [3:57] this morning the idf tweeted quote the idf completed the largest coordinated strike across [4:02] lebanon since the start of operation roaring lion and they said they hit a hundred targets in 10 [4:08] minutes and so a lot of like you know geopolitical analysts i follow are wondering if this is israel [4:14] trying to collapse the entire deal by bombing the out of lebanon in the moment after it happened i don't [4:19] know if you've seen some of the videos too from it's horrifying in beirut yes in like densely populated [4:25] areas of beirut people saying it's like apocalyptic there right now what's happening in lebanon is uh is [4:30] staggering i mean a million people have been displaced uh from the south israel is now saying [4:35] they're going to occupy like territory that stretches like 15 miles into the country the media always [4:40] calls it a buffer zone but it's an invasion and an occupation of another country it's crazy and they're [4:44] doing the thing they did in gaza which is like everyone every target is hezbollah everyone is related to [4:49] hezbollah it's all hezbollah it's all terrorists any any death you see is all hezbollah well and [4:54] that's you know i was talking to a friend who is is lebanese and his family in beirut and so you have [4:58] a million people who are pushed out of the south they're all looking for places to stay and work [5:03] but no one in lebanon or in beirut wants to rent out an apartment to someone they don't know because [5:08] god forbid they are right you know tangentially or directly connected to hezbollah and all of a sudden [5:13] your apartment building is bombed because you let this person stay there so it's exacerbating all [5:17] these sectarian tensions i think they killed a senior party official from the party that is [5:22] opposed to lebanon uh the other day and they're like well he wasn't part of the target well that [5:26] makes sense that's a great way to do it well president trump um he doesn't seem worried about [5:30] these details this morning he truthed a big day for world peace iran wants it to happen they've had [5:35] enough likewise so is everyone else the united states of america will be helping with the traffic [5:39] build up in the strait of hummus there will be lots of positive action big money will be made [5:44] iran can start the reconstruction process we'll be loading up with supplies of all kinds and just [5:49] hanging out in order to make sure that everything goes well i feel confident that it will just like [5:56] we are experiencing in the us this could be the golden age of the middle east president donald j trump [6:01] hey hey middle east you don't want to experience this golden age let me tell you we're a year and a [6:06] half into it it's just he's such a lot like big money will be made thousands of people he can say like [6:13] three things you know which is like peace will come peace is everywhere i will destroy you and [6:18] everyone will make money that's it those are like the only three messages he has and all of them are [6:22] always bullshit it's just he's a disgusting person pod save america breaking news is brought to you by [6:27] act blue act blue provides democrats up and down the ballot with the tools they need to run effective [6:32] campaigns and win fundraise organize build campaign websites and donate with solutions that are easy to [6:37] use act blue's been helping campaigns for a long time now our partners at vote save america create [6:41] digital fundraising pages on the act blue platform for initiatives like our anxiety relief program and [6:46] we're going to use it when we try to flip some of these seats in the house because we've got to win [6:50] the house it's easy to create donation pages and features like goal tracking and to design custom [6:54] branding and the funds are processed quickly and safely act blue never sells your data or personal [6:59] information they focus on security so you can focus on what matters most like winning campaigns [7:05] yeah so whether you're running for office or you want to make an impact act blue has the tools to help [7:08] you make it happen because the right time to get involved is right now donate organize and raise [7:12] money for candidates and causes you believe in at actblue.com crooked so this morning pete hegseth [7:19] america's secretary of defense and most decorated war criminal slam poet and then dan kane the chairman [7:25] of the joint chiefs they did one of their briefings they were trying to spin the deal as a victory [7:29] um even though just days ago they were bragging about all the additional targets we had to hit it was [7:34] interesting trying to hear hearing them trying to split the difference of like hegseth made it sound like the [7:38] entire thing was over there was kind of like a great work everybody you know feeling to it and [7:44] then dan kane was like we stand ready but um regardless i thought this exchange is actually [7:49] the last question and answer was pretty instructive uh let's watch go ahead yes yes uh two questions [7:56] actually for you so during this time um is the president still are you still encouraging um civilians to [8:03] rise up against the uranium or they are they satisfied with this new regime change or they [8:08] or is this two two week period to kind of see um where that leads also talked about the enriched uranium [8:14] going in there um would that require would that require special forces or other military our service [8:20] members who would that who would who would be basically going in there and trusted to going in there [8:24] to get that uh uranium out um again on the uranium we're watching it we know what they have and [8:32] they will give it up and we'll get it and we'll take it if we have to we we can do it in any any means [8:37] necessary so that's something the president is going to solve for we already have midnight hammer [8:42] with where with the place we put them in and the reason it's in the situation where it is uh the [8:48] second one was about the people listen i would love to see the iranian people take advantage of this [8:52] opportunity um they have been oppressed by the previous regime and they'll have a new opportunity [8:59] with this regime that remains to be seen that was not our objective in this effort [9:04] but they're brave people horrible things have been done to them by the previous regime tens of [9:09] thousand targeted and killed and assassinated in a way the government never should uh and we wish [9:13] them the best absolutely thank you all very much appreciate it yeah i mean you know the new regime [9:20] will be holding um town halls all throughout the country they're going on a listening tour so people [9:25] have an opportunity to check in to speak their mind kick the tires let them know what kind of [9:30] changes they're hoping for then they know that the son is just much more liberal and so many pro lgbt [9:36] exactly than the father and um they have a great opportunity now that a lot of their infrastructure [9:41] uh has been destroyed and and a couple thousand people have died all as well yeah i just i that a [9:46] whole exchange it just tells you what a mess this is like so there's no plan to get iran's highly [9:50] enriched uranium stockpile which the point of the whole thing far and away the most important priority [9:55] of the mission so that's put a put a pin in that one uh and then a regime change trump went from [10:00] saying i want to pick iran's next leader remember that yeah phase to actually there was regime change [10:06] and the new guys are cool and we're working with them and then hegs out there is like yeah actually [10:11] it'd be great if the irani people would rise up so best of luck a dozen we got a dozen or so [10:17] senior iranian officials um sunk a hundred or so uh ships a couple thousand ballistic missiles [10:27] that's it yeah that's it that's 40 billion dollars we spent at least um uh thousands of people dead [10:34] including 14 americans 365 americans wounded and basically we looked at this terrible regime in iran [10:42] that was pursuing a nuclear weapon and said what if we gave him a new toll road in hormuz [10:47] what if we gave him some more money and then we're watching that thing what if yeah what if [10:51] this international waterway where 20 of the world's oil goes through we gave this regime that we're [10:56] saying is so dangerous we gave them control and then they could charge money and then uh and then we [11:01] blow some up and maybe degrade their uh their traditional military capabilities a little bit [11:06] temporarily and then uh and then we'll call it quits yeah so let's dig into this financial piece so [11:13] the wall street journal said two vessels have gone through the strait dozens more preparing to but now [11:18] it sounds like the strait is closed again i don't know by the time this goes out uh this recording [11:22] goes out who knows what'll happen the bottleneck though is like 400 plus ships massive ships and it [11:28] seems unlikely i've been waiting in that line well have you read the stories about the guys who are [11:31] stuck on these ships yeah i know it's awful it is horrific they're starving there's one guy had a [11:34] heart attack you couldn't get rescued because you couldn't send a helicopter out there's like [11:38] these poor sailors i mean these are just random you know men and women from far from countries [11:43] usually who are uh doing a tough job because they need the money so it seems unlikely this [11:47] trade is going to get to full capacity because iran's just not going to let it happen there so [11:52] there will be some sort of like relief for financial markets and for uh global oil supplies but it's not [11:58] going to return to the status quo anytime soon and then as you mentioned the financial times is [12:01] reporting that iran is going to demand that shipping companies pay tolls in cryptocurrency like [12:06] another three cheers for the crypto guys some reports say it'll be a dollar per barrel of oil i've [12:11] seen other estimates of like two million dollars a ship that is going to add up to a massive amount [12:17] of money that iran can use to rebuild its military i saw one expert uh one analyst did some like kind [12:23] of back of the envelope math and found that like even kind of the lower range would be three times iran's [12:28] current stated defense budget uh so this deal gives them de facto control of the strait and a huge [12:36] financial windfall potentially and trump is like oh it might be a joint venture that was his thing to [12:40] jonathan carl today at abc news which is based on nothing um and control of the strait also like [12:48] damages the global economy because it brings about or leaves unpredictability and uncertainty right like [12:55] the other these ships in order to go through the strait yes they need now iran's approval and to pay [13:01] the toll and they also need to get insurance and they're still not issuing insurance to these to these [13:06] ships because they don't know like if so say that we're recording this and it's closed it then it's [13:11] opened and then two weeks later it's closed again like what kind of certainty do you have if you're [13:16] trying to ship oil through the straightforward would you feel safe yeah or you're trying to insure those [13:20] those ships and so like the markets can can do all they want today great and like hopefully the price of [13:25] oil falls but i think on the economic front we are it's not just like oh it's going to take some time to [13:31] get back to normal i think we are nowhere near out of the woods on the economic consequences of what's [13:36] going on yeah it's completely uncertain and what we've learned is that all iran has to do is fire [13:40] one missile at a ship and they de facto close the thing down and like rightly so if imagine you're [13:45] the captain of a ship full of gasoline you're not going to mess around with getting a um you know [13:50] attacked um so trump also said in that post on tuesday night that the us and iran are far along on [13:56] a final deal to end the war and he said that this 10 point plan that iran had put forward was [14:00] quote a workable basis on which to negotiate so let's just talk through this iranian list of [14:05] demands a permanent end of hostilities guarantees that the us and israel won't attack iran again [14:11] ceasefire agreements that includes israel's war with lebanon and hezbollah with hezbollah in lebanon [14:17] all sanctions on iran should be lifted all sanctions lifted on iran's allies iran takes control of the [14:22] strait of hormuz iran can charge fees on crossings through the strait the toll money is used for iran's [14:28] reconstruction the toll fees and hormuz will be shared with oman uh not sure what that means so [14:33] so i realize this is a maximalist opening position from the iranians yeah but trump even accepting [14:39] that proposal as a starting point is a huge win for these guys yeah and well and now and he's like [14:45] walking it back this morning he's like beware of the 10-point plans and the papers that are out [14:49] there that you you shouldn't believe anything you see because all the real stuff is happening [14:53] behind closed doors and so obviously like i'm sure the iranians are probably fudging it trump's [14:59] like again once again you don't know what the truth is because there's some stuff going on you [15:04] know behind closed doors but like and then every side is trying to just like you know try to show [15:09] that they're winning but like i i think i don't see how a deal i don't see what a deal gets done [15:15] yeah trump will come in with a maximalist set of demands too it'll be like no nuclear enrichment [15:19] it'll be no ballistic missiles or some sort of like limit on their ballistic missiles it'll be no [15:23] support for proxy groups like hezbollah or hamas or whatever right it'll be similarly maximalist [15:29] maybe they can get to some agreement but i just it feels like there's almost every scenario ends [15:36] with iran in the stronger position than where they started in part because they know trump [15:41] sees this as a political disaster and wants more than anything to declare a victory and walk away [15:47] and he's not a details guy he's a press release guy and this is this gets us back to where we were [15:52] um when trump was threatening uh to eradicate the civilization which is for for us to get back to a [15:59] good place for the united states would be for them to give up the control of the strait of hormuz [16:04] so in what world would they give up the strait and give up control and stop the tolls [16:09] uh well trump then it gets back to trump being like well if you don't give it up [16:13] then we will kill you kill you all right which is the only card he has left to play because [16:18] he doesn't want to order a ground invasion of iran or a karg island or the rest of it and they [16:23] don't want to hold it and so like again we're like right back to where we were which is a place [16:28] that we got to because he decided to start this war yeah everything is worse than it was the day [16:32] before they started this conflict so yeah big picture let's just take stock again before we [16:37] conclude of where what we've accomplished number one uh number one goal prevent iran from getting a [16:41] nuclear weapon obviously obviously like look the nuclear sites are more damaged than ever before [16:47] but there's 900 pounds of highly enriched uranium sitting in iran most analysts think they will be [16:52] more motivated than ever to seek a nuclear weapon as a deterrent so yeah so it doesn't seem like [16:57] that's a big win number two destroy iran's military like certainly did a lot of damage there the us and [17:01] israel did to the air force navy air defense system ballistic missile stockpile and to the industrial [17:06] base uh that they would use to rebuild it but iran uh before the ceasefire was reportedly still [17:12] firing 15 to 30 ballistic missiles a day and 50 to 100 drones per day so even the hegsath in his [17:17] briefing today had to concede that like they can fire a shot at any time and create all this economic [17:23] disruption uh number three and iranian support for proxy groups like hezbollah um the support they [17:29] provide them is usually it's financial and weapons um as we just discussed iran might weep a financial [17:34] windfall that could go towards the proxy groups doesn't seem like a good setup no uh i remember [17:39] these guys being mad about a pallet of cash from obama well now they smaller numbers you know they're [17:43] cool tankers of cash yeah no it's crypto guys yeah tankers of crypto tankers of crypto uh for regime [17:49] change remember trump said he not only wanted a regime change he wanted to pick the next leader of [17:55] iran but we traded ali khamenei who was 86 for his son younger model who's the younger more harder line [18:01] you notice that they keep calling him disfigured yeah that's because they want they want you to [18:05] think he's dead or that he does he's not really there they want they want they want to like weekend [18:09] at bernie's them yeah and but there's all the reports today you know this is an axios i think [18:14] talking to israeli sources say that khamenei personally signed off on this ceasefire deal yeah [18:18] so seems like he's well kicking or maybe maybe he's not kicking but maybe he's pumping uh and then [18:24] finally iran as you just said has more control of the strait of hormuz and global oil shipments [18:29] than ever before so lots more lots more thorns than roses there tommy yeah i don't feel like this [18:34] was a good idea would be my takeaway fucking idiot like and you know it's wonderful that uh we we [18:42] walked back from the brink of genocide yeah and our genocidal crazy president didn't go through on his [18:48] insane fucking threats yes obviously everything else still sucks yes everything still sucks and it [18:54] it's frustrating as a democrat to sort of prosecute the case against trump and against this war because [19:00] you know i think there's been some pushback to people being like i taco'd again right because [19:04] you don't want to bait him into doing something of course not crazy but also we have to be honest [19:09] that this was an absolute fucking disaster like we're not playing like this is not bumper bowling for [19:15] trump politically we're not gonna like pretend he did a good job well it's even i mean people the the [19:19] the line on trump is that like he creates a problem and then he solves the problem yeah and [19:23] then he gets the credit for something but in this case he didn't even solve the problem no didn't even [19:27] solve the problem he created the problem he threatened a disaster like a fucking catastrophe [19:34] and then he walked it back to a huge problem yes and meanwhile this scenario let's say the war [19:40] ended today i think that's the best outcome for the world for sure it is the worst outcome imaginable [19:45] for the iranian people because trump has now left them with a decimated country an even more hardline [19:52] regime that is going to crack down on any dissent harder than ever before and they all know goddamn [19:58] well that the united states and israel won't do a goddamn thing about it because they don't actually [20:02] give a about the iranian people and there might be an agreement not to attack them again yeah and do [20:07] we think that like israel's safer that the saudis are safer that the u like uae like all of the gulf [20:13] countries do we think that like some kind of ceasefire or even some deal is going to protect [20:18] them now that iran is has just the whole remember the other their other big goal was to stop iran from [20:22] projecting power in the region do we think iran is not more powerful than it was before no and and [20:28] look i do think you know they did some real damage to their industrial capacity and their sort of for [20:34] sure their ability to build drones and missiles and things i think they will build that like the shaheed [20:38] drones are not complicated things they're fucking lawnmower engines with a warhead on the front that [20:43] fly or wherever they want and they will also i am positive that iran will now get support from the [20:49] chinese and the russians to help them build back whatever they need to build back go back better [20:56] great work everybody good job thanks uh maybe don't put a drunk out of the weekend fox news anchor [21:02] in charge of the pentagon that might be one lesson from this god he had a lot of [21:06] joe and a lot of gel so shiny i wonder if you touched it it was just like yeah i wonder if you [21:11] let a match nearby uh thank you for watching this episode of uh pod save america here on youtube [21:16] talk to you guys soon