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Inside Politics With Manu Raju 8/9/26 — CNN Breaking News Today August 9, 2026

Muhammad Shahid Official and بيتك اجمل مع هبه August 9, 2026 30m 5,600 words
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About this transcript: This is a full AI-generated transcript of Inside Politics With Manu Raju 8/9/26 — CNN Breaking News Today August 9, 2026 from Muhammad Shahid Official and بيتك اجمل مع هبه, published August 9, 2026. The transcript contains 5,600 words with timestamps and was generated using Whisper AI.

"Midwest mayhem. It's pissing me off. Democrats' path to power gets complicated. In the words of Muhammad Ali, we shook up the world. Can they figure it out as they start to turn to 2028? It is good to be home in Michigan. Plus, all over the map, President Trump scrambles his party's agenda. They're"

[0:02] Midwest mayhem. [0:04] It's pissing me off. [0:06] Democrats' path to power gets complicated. [0:09] In the words of Muhammad Ali, we shook up the world. [0:11] Can they figure it out as they start to turn to 2028? [0:16] It is good to be home in Michigan. [0:20] Plus, all over the map, President Trump scrambles his party's agenda. [0:25] They're not angry at me, but they are angry at Republicans. [0:28] So why does a senator running GOP campaign operations feel optimistic? [0:33] My one-on-one with Tim Scott next. [0:37] I think we could have a 54-seat majority. [0:40] And way too early? [0:42] I think he's great, but we're way too early. [0:45] 2028 chatter centers on the vice president. [0:48] So why is he posting about burritos? [0:52] Inside Politics, the best reporting from inside the corridors of power, starts now. [0:56] Good morning, and welcome to Inside Politics Sunday. [1:04] I'm Manu Raju. [1:05] It's been less than a week after a bitter Democratic Senate primary battle in Michigan [1:10] that saw progressives squeak out a win over the party establishment [1:14] and gave Republicans new hope in an otherwise grim midterm environment. [1:19] And now Democrats get to relive that battle all over again this Tuesday, [1:23] this time in Wisconsin and Minnesota. [1:26] In battleground Wisconsin, one of the most closely divided states in the nation, [1:29] Democratic Socialist frontrunner Francesca Hong has stumbled in a race for governor [1:34] over resurfaced posts about Thanksgiving, abolishing the police, and more. [1:39] She and her leading Democratic opponent, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, [1:43] were on the campaign trail days ahead of Tuesday's gubernatorial primary. [1:48] And I think central Wisconsin especially, you all are in a very, very powerful position [1:55] to show the rest of the country that rural Wisconsin, [2:01] you're not going to be defined despite red or blue, left or right. [2:06] What I've learned is not to give up. [2:08] You know, continue to fight back and fight for the little folks on the ground, [2:12] especially our rural communities, especially those who feel like they haven't had a seat at the table. [2:17] And in South Carolina, the gloves are off as the late Senator Lindsey Graham's sister [2:23] runs to replace him. [2:25] So let's all break this down with my excellent group of political insiders, [2:29] Zolan Cano-Youngs from the New York Times, [2:31] Margaret Tala from Axios, and Burgess Everett from Semaphore. [2:35] Happy Sunday morning to you all. [2:37] Great to see you guys. [2:39] Margaret, on the Wisconsin race, the reason why this is so significant, [2:44] I mean, Wisconsin is the bellwether of bellwether, [2:47] pivotal swing state of pretty much all the ones that we talk about. [2:51] I mean, just look at the election margins from the past election cycles. [2:54] I mean, Trump squeaked one out in 2016. [2:57] He squeaked it out in 2024. [2:59] Biden did the same in 2020. [3:01] Tony Evers, the governor, has won very narrowly, repeatedly. [3:04] Tammy Baldwin won very narrowly last year, the Democratic senator. [3:08] And now we have this really fascinating primary playing out on the Democratic side. [3:13] And there's real fear among Democratic circles that this could cost them a critical governor's race. [3:19] Not just generalized fear from random people who aren't saying anything out loud, [3:23] but fear from the outgoing governor who's like, [3:26] hey, guys, I'm not sure that this candidate is going to work in a general election. [3:30] So it's part of this phenomenon that you're seeing right now within the Democratic Party, [3:35] where you have younger voters and progressive voters really energized around elevating candidates [3:41] who reflect some of these policies and principles and taking the stand and taking the fight. [3:48] And then you've got a state where the margins are really thin. [3:51] And there's a big question, Mark, about whether someone who is a super progressive candidate [3:56] with a nontraditional background and some controversial positions can prevail in November. [4:03] Yeah, and just to that point of what Tony Evers, the governor, said, [4:05] who is backing David Crowley, who is Francesca Hong's Democratic opponent. [4:10] He was on the trail in the last several days, [4:12] and he made it very clear about whether he thinks Hong could win if she's the nominee. [4:18] I think she's in a tough fight. [4:20] She has spent her entire campaign dealing with, not with the issues, but what's on the Twitter. [4:29] And speaking of Twitter, there were a lot of these tweets from the past that she has had to deal with [4:36] over the last several weeks, including, [4:40] I support defunding the police as a first step towards abolishing the police. [4:44] She, of course, the very infamous one now about canceling Thanksgiving, [4:49] she said they should have done in 1621. [4:51] She's been kind of been pressed about that repeatedly over the last several days and, [4:55] you know, said that she hates Thanksgiving. [4:58] Now she loves Thanksgiving. [4:59] But those are the kind of things that could stick among voters' minds right now. [5:03] A hundred percent. [5:04] And it represents something a bit broader of the Democratic Party really since, [5:08] I would say, like 2020, trying to navigate internally [5:12] just how far left they're going to go on certain issues. [5:15] Does that come away as not being in touch with voters more broadly? [5:19] And, you know, we've talked about this with numerous candidates where you see them sort of having to answer [5:25] for past social media posts on polarizing issues like divesting and defunding from the police [5:32] or something that's going to be more fodder for your political opponents, [5:36] like talking about the holiday Thanksgiving. [5:38] Yeah, right. [5:40] Both of those, I think, connect to that broader theme, though, [5:44] of trying to sort of navigate just how far to go as you have this progressive flank [5:48] that you were talking about, younger voters that you're trying to appease [5:50] and trying to build a broader coalition. [5:53] And she's been fighting back against the Democratic establishment, [5:56] Democratic consultant class, as she says, [5:58] because David Axelrod, our friend and colleague and fellow Cubs fan, of course, [6:02] was tweeted about calling her, you know, sort of a font of zany liberal faculty lounge exotica, [6:10] Axelrod tweeted. [6:12] And Francesca Hong responded, saying that this tweet is a perfect example [6:16] of why the consultant class keeps losing elections. [6:19] She called them totally clueless. [6:21] They're hell-bent on keeping working-class people out of politics. [6:24] But, Burgess, part of the issue, too, is just, like, how much this Democratic primary [6:28] has depleted things on their side. [6:31] Just look at this money that they have, that Hong and Crowley have, [6:35] compared to Tom Tiffany, the Republican candidate and likely Republican nominee. [6:39] $6.6 million for Tiffany. [6:42] And they have a fraction, less than $100,000, that they have in their, [6:49] less than a million bucks, I should say, they have in their war chest right now. [6:52] Yeah, and she'll need the establishment if she wins the nomination [6:56] so that she can compete with that. [6:57] But I think what you're seeing is when you saw the Michigan primary [7:00] and you saw all these folks, these progressive, well-known progressives, [7:03] Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, coming into Michigan and campaigning [7:06] for Abdul El-Sayed, you're not seeing that for Francesca Hong. [7:09] And I'm also, you mentioned Tammy Baldwin. [7:11] You know a lot about Wisconsin politics. [7:13] She's a fairly progressive senator. [7:15] The way that she has won these elections is not by talking about Thanksgiving. [7:19] It's by being pretty pragmatic on these issues and keeping a low profile [7:23] on some of these political issues. [7:25] And so I think that that's the contrast. [7:27] That's the playbook to win in Wisconsin. [7:29] We've seen Mandela Barnes lose a Senate race for similar statements [7:32] like defunding the police and things like that. [7:34] But I want to ask you about the Michigan Senate primary as well, [7:38] because we're seeing Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan battle it out. [7:43] There's a real split on the Democratic side as well. [7:45] Really look at the endorsements among the Democrats. [7:49] And they're really, you're seeing the Bernie Sanders and the more progressive, [7:54] some of the more progressive members get behind Peggy Flanagan. [7:57] Some of the more establishment figures within the Democratic Party, [8:01] including Pelosi, getting behind Angie Craig. [8:05] Also, you know, she's a House member as well. [8:07] Sure. [8:07] How do you see that playing out? [8:10] And who's got the edge heading into Tuesday? [8:12] I mean, the polls seem pretty deadlocked. [8:14] I think the one thing that Democrats can tell themselves and feel better about this division [8:19] is that they are favored to win this race, no matter who is nominated for this position. [8:24] Angie Craig has been arguing that she's more electable than Peggy Flanagan. [8:28] And that's because Republicans, as we'll probably get to, like Tim Scott, [8:31] have been saying that they can compete in Minnesota. [8:33] I think there's some longer-term ramifications from this race. [8:36] What does it look like in six years? [8:37] Who can hold the seat easily for a long time? [8:40] And also, how are people going to vote in this leadership race? [8:42] Peggy Flanagan seems like she would vote against Chuck Schumer in the leadership race. [8:46] Angie Craig hasn't been as strident about that. [8:48] How do you see it? [8:49] Yeah, I actually think the consequences are more interesting looking forward past the election [8:55] for exactly those reasons. [8:57] I do think, like, if Democrats recapture the House, it is going to change, like, the definition [9:06] of how you triangulate inside the party, like how you reach consensus on issues. [9:11] Senate, it may be, like, sense a little bit different because Democrats, I think if Democrats [9:16] won the majority in the Senate, these sort of issues would have massive implications. [9:21] If Democrats remain in the minority, it's just going to remain a food fight. [9:25] Speaking of food fights, another one happening on Tuesday, the South Carolina Republican primary. [9:31] Of course, the late Senator Lindsey Graham died just a few weeks ago, and now there's [9:35] a race to replace him in the Republican side. [9:39] Senator, the appointed senator, his younger sister, Darlene Graham, among the five candidates [9:44] in this race. [9:45] Now, initially, there was not, you know, she was obviously going through, Darlene Graham was [9:50] a very difficult period, and a lot of the candidates, you know, they gave her some space. [9:54] Not me more. [9:55] This is getting pretty intense. [9:57] Just watch some of the attack ads. [10:00] You can't spell Darlene without D-E-I. [10:04] As a government bureaucrat, Darlene Graham ballooned the size of a state agency, doubled [10:10] its spending, and led a culture of diversity and inclusion. [10:14] Career politician Russell Frye, rejected by President Trump. [10:17] Frye selfishly put himself before President Trump in the MAGA movement. [10:21] His empty seat could hand AOC and the woke liberals in D.C. power. [10:24] That was a temporary period for niceties and sort of being cordial there. [10:30] Yeah. [10:30] I mean, it will be interesting to see. [10:32] Look, we saw President Trump go out and embrace Graham early. [10:36] Just how much he gets involved in this race moving forward, especially as she tries to [10:40] ingratiate himself more for calling for things like abolishing the filibuster, which we know [10:44] President Trump values. [10:45] Yeah. [10:46] No question. [10:46] And then this is a Tuesday primary. [10:48] If no candidate gets a majority of the vote, the runoff will be on August 25th. [10:52] So we'll get to replay this for another couple of weeks. [10:55] We'll see who gets, becomes a top two headed into what is very likely going to be a runoff. [11:00] All right. [11:00] Coming up next, I go one-on-one with Senator Tim Scott, who has said little publicly about [11:05] up until now about the midterm map. [11:07] He reveals his bullish projection and provides new details about the fight for the majority. [11:12] You need your pickup seats? [11:15] I think we could have a 54-seat majority. [11:17] Republican Senator Tim Scott has said little publicly about his difficult job. [11:25] He's in charge of the Republican effort to hang on to the narrow Senate majority. [11:28] The map favors the GOP since Democrats have to pick up a net of four seats to win back [11:34] power, meaning holding seats in battlegrounds Michigan and Georgia, and then winning in red [11:39] states. [11:40] With the environment souring for the GOP, many see Democrats with a path to pick up some [11:46] seats, if not flip the Senate altogether. [11:49] But not Scott, who now sees the map expanding and is eyeing GOP pickup opportunities that [11:55] few in Washington have their sights on. [12:00] Thanks for talking to me. [12:01] Yes, sir. [12:01] Of course. [12:02] So let's talk first of all about the overall map. [12:04] Yeah. [12:04] Because, you know, this is a, no doubt about it, the map is tough for Democrats. [12:07] Yes. [12:08] They have to win in some very deeply conservative states, states that Donald Trump carried by [12:13] double digits. [12:13] Those include, of course, Iowa, Ohio, Alaska, and Texas. [12:16] Trump carried those by double digits, but they aren't really in play this cycle. [12:21] What do you think explains why they're in play? [12:23] Well, I don't think they're in play, frankly. [12:24] You don't think they're in play? [12:25] Not really. [12:25] No. [12:25] Listen, Texas is going to be red to the roots. [12:29] There's no doubt that Paxton will be victorious, in my opinion. [12:33] All polls say the race is close. [12:35] I think the polls are fairly accurate. [12:37] But at the end of the day, the more you learn about Tallarico, the less you like them. [12:40] The truth is that here's a guy who's as close to a socialist as Texas has seen in my lifetime. [12:46] If you turn your attention to Ohio, Sherrod Brown has 100% name saturation, and they don't [12:52] like him. [12:52] He is stuck in the 40s with his ceiling. [12:56] And why is that the case? [12:57] Well, here's a guy who raised your taxes in Ohio by over $300 a month. [13:03] Someone who has suggested that the working families tax cut bill was a mistake, which [13:08] means that he is actually voting against, speaking poorly of, funding rural hospitals [13:14] at $50 billion. [13:15] He's against increasing the child tax credit. [13:18] That's just out of step with Ohio. [13:20] In Iowa, Ashley Henson has done such a good job doing what we call the full Grassley, which [13:27] is hitting 99 counties in a very short period of time. [13:31] She's running in a state where her name recognition, the way she's doing her job as a congresswoman, [13:36] it's fantastic. [13:37] And you don't think Alaska's in play? [13:39] I'll ask you, listen, if the real Dan Sullivan just stands up, you're too young to know what [13:43] that means, but there's an old show that was on TV. [13:47] Here's what we know without any question. [13:49] Dan Sullivan versus Dan Sullivan. [13:50] We now have the resources and the information to get our incumbent, Dan Sullivan, across the [13:58] finish line. [13:59] And Peltola, running close without any question. [14:02] Dan Sullivan, a Marine, served the state very long for a long time. [14:07] We feel he's in good position. [14:09] Peltola, very liberal, out of step with Alaska, good shape there. [14:14] Troy Jackson, socialist, who's mean to women, who has a very interesting and fascinating past, [14:21] but also as a legislator that ran the education system to a large part into the ground. [14:28] Susan Collins, strong, reliable, consistent. [14:32] You turn your attention to New Hampshire, where we have a shot at a pickup there. [14:36] John C. Nunez is doing really well. [14:39] He's down by about two right now in an environment that you've suggested does not get productive [14:45] for Republicans. [14:46] That will get better and better as we head into Labor Day. [14:49] Let's just drill down into Michigan. [14:50] Let's drill down. [14:51] This week. [14:52] Haley Stevens, if she had won the Democratic nomination, would this have made your race [14:56] harder? [14:57] Listen, I call, this is the truth of my name. [14:59] I called Mike Rogers on election night 24 and said, I'm hoping that you're going to run [15:06] again. [15:06] And he said, Tim, can I get a couple of days to think about it? [15:09] I'm like, absolutely not. [15:11] Let's do the Dave McCormick run two times in a row. [15:13] I thought then, November 2024, that Mike Rogers, with a clear Republican primary, would be the [15:20] next senator, the first Republican senator in 30 years out of Michigan. [15:25] Would Haley Stevens made that harder? [15:26] What we know for certain is that Abdul Saeed, El Saeed, is making it easier. [15:31] Why? [15:32] Because he is inconsistent with mission gandinders of either side of the aisle, by the way. [15:37] Someone who wants to defund police, defund ICE, who wants to abolish our concept of a border. [15:44] He's just wrong for Michigan. [15:45] And I saw your early attack ads against him. [15:48] You're using his full name in these attack ads, which has gotten some attention. [15:51] Abdul Rahman Mohammed El Saeed. [15:53] He goes by Abdul El Saeed. [15:55] Are you trying to say, hint, hint to voters, he's Muslim? [15:58] Not at all. [15:58] What we're saying to, what we're only saying to voters is a simple thing. [16:02] He says he's the most, he says he's the most dangerous candidate you can find. [16:08] He's right. [16:09] We should trust his words, not ours. [16:11] But why not just use his name, Abdul El Saeed, which he goes by? [16:14] Well, listen, I go by Timothy Jean. [16:16] And so, I get called that all the time. [16:19] Here's what I know for that question. [16:20] It's about what he stands for. [16:23] And we're going to focus and bring attention to the fact that not only is he sympathetic for Hamas, [16:28] not only does he run around with Hassan Pike or someone who said that Americans deserve 9-11, [16:33] he should be held account for exactly where he stands and what he's for. [16:38] So, you talked about Texas. [16:40] Yes. [16:40] A lot of the outside groups have not spent much in Texas. [16:43] Does the NRC plan to step in here and spend a lot of money in here? [16:46] Yeah, the strategy in Texas is strong. [16:49] It's going to be very well funded. [16:51] We have no actual reasons to be concerned about Texas. [16:54] Pakistan's working hard. [16:56] Should the Trump organization spend money there? [16:58] We anticipate that we had presentations just yesterday, as you probably know, [17:04] MAGA Inc. coming over and talking to the polling data. [17:07] We know that they're going to be fully engaged. [17:09] President Trump is all we're on the campaign trail talking about affordability, [17:12] which, in my opinion, is a breath of fresh air because the more he talks about [17:15] the exact issues of confronting the American people, [17:18] the easier it is for us to talk about the fact that every single Democrat in the Senate [17:22] voted to raise your taxes, voted to reduce the $50 billion funding for rural hospitals, [17:27] voted against the child tax credit, voted for open borders. [17:31] You know, you obviously supported Cornett, and you went after, the NRC went after Ken Paxton. [17:36] You were suggesting he was corrupt. [17:38] Did you guys regret those attacks against Paxton? [17:40] Listen, what I can tell you is that without question and with great clarity, [17:45] Texas will vote for Paxton, and we will continue to expose the insanity of Tallarico. [17:52] The contrast could not be more clear and more in our favor. [17:56] So the more resources that we spend, the better off Texas will be. [18:00] And as a result, America will be better off because the Senate will remain the firewall for the country. [18:05] North Carolina and Georgia. [18:07] Good news. [18:08] But are you concerned about the Republican candidates there? [18:10] The polls don't look great for that. [18:11] Oh, listen. [18:12] Would you consider diverting resources away from those states? [18:14] Of course not. [18:15] Listen, Michael Watley had a 15-point deficit. [18:19] He worked really hard. [18:20] He got it down to 10. [18:21] Now it's down to 4. [18:23] Roy Cooper has never had the kind of resources spent exposing his record. [18:27] What keeps you up at night? [18:28] When you look at these red states, particularly that, you know, you say they're not in play, [18:32] but they're all close. [18:33] Do any of them keep you up at night? [18:34] No, I tell you what, not much keeps me up at night, to be honest with you, Manu. [18:38] The one thing that gets me excited when I think about this election cycle on the map is Minnesota. [18:46] I think Minnesota, we have a real shot with Michelle Tafoya. [18:49] She has done a really good job on fundraising. [18:51] Will you spend money there? [18:52] We just did an event for her. [18:54] We've done two events for her recently, one in the state and one in National Call for the donors. [18:59] What we know without question is she is within a point of the lieutenant governor right now. [19:04] So if we can continue to let her show the contrast between the two candidates, [19:09] I think Michelle Tafoya is the kind of Republican that can win. [19:11] You think you'll pick up seats? [19:13] I think we could have a 54-seat majority, not 46, not 53. [19:17] My excellent panel is back. [19:20] 54 seats, Burgess. [19:22] He sees an expanding map. [19:24] And Schumer, you talked to Chuck Schumer, who also sees an expanding map, [19:29] much bigger than the narrow playing field that we often talk about in these handful of states. [19:34] Is that realistic? [19:35] I think some of these are reached states. [19:37] I think Minnesota is a reached state for Republicans. [19:40] You heard him right there, which I think is revealing, say that Michelle Tafoya is close to Peggy Flanagan. [19:45] So it's pretty clear Republicans would like Peggy Flanagan to win the nomination next week. [19:49] And yes, Chuck Schumer is talking about Democrats competing in Kansas for sure, [19:53] and maybe Mississippi because there are so many black voters there. [19:56] They think they might be able to get over the top with Scott Colum. [19:59] So I did the math. [20:01] We're at about 12 states. [20:02] If you listen to Tim Scott and you listen to Chuck Schumer, Montana is a little bit unsettled, [20:06] and we're not even talking about Nebraska yet. [20:08] So I definitely started off this cycle thinking the battleground would be pretty small, six-ish states. [20:13] It's almost double that right now. [20:14] We'll see if the parties actually spend money there because that's what tells you how confident they are. [20:20] Where do they put the money? [20:21] Because I had asked him, are you going to spend money in Minnesota? [20:23] He didn't exactly say. [20:24] And also Texas, too. [20:25] It's really unclear if they're going to spend money there and whether the Trump organization will come in in Texas. [20:31] And that's a big concern. [20:32] And, of course, can Paxson actually win in that state? [20:36] I do want to talk about this ad from the NRSC, which I asked Tim Scott about, about Michigan and about Abdul El-Sayed. [20:45] Abdul Rahman Mohammed El-Sayed, the most radical Senate candidate in America. [20:49] I agree that's dangerous. [20:51] So when I asked him about that, as you just heard, Tim Scott, you know, he sort of shrugged it off. [20:56] He said, you know, people call me by my full name, too. [20:58] Yeah. [20:59] What did he say people call him? [21:00] Senator Timothy. [21:02] That's news to me. [21:03] I've personally heard people say that. [21:04] What do you make of that strategy by using the name? [21:07] Well, I mean, we have seen Republicans continue to come out and use that full name. [21:11] And I think the context here is that we have seen in recent years that, frankly, Islamophobia is getting more normalized. [21:20] And, you know, yes, there are Republicans that are trying to portray candidates as being out of touch and even extremists. [21:26] But you also then have some members in the party. [21:28] And I'm not even saying this with Senator Scott and reflecting that interview. [21:31] But you do have some members of the Republican Party, particularly comments about Mamdani and El-Sayed, who have embraced Islamophobia as particularly. [21:40] I mean, so bad. [21:41] Let's be honest. [21:42] We have a president also at top down, right, who ran very much and, you know, launched his sort of political career on a Muslim ban and making sweeping comments about Muslims. [21:51] And his second term in office has been made, gone on these xenophobic rants about Somalis as well and Somali-American citizens, too. [21:59] So that context, I think, is surrounding some of the ads that you're seeing. [22:03] Very, very quickly, he also thinks that El-Sayed has made their job easier to pick up Michigan. [22:10] Well, the policy positions may have. [22:12] But when you see the great new video and the words like dangerous, what's happening on the other end is that El-Sayed setting aside policy issues, just as a candidate, has a ton of political charisma and is inspiring to young people. [22:24] So I think we don't really know what's going to happen, but Tim Scott certainly put his best foot forward in Texas. [22:30] Two or three polls actually show Tallarico had inside the margin of error. [22:34] You can't take any of that to the bank. [22:35] I think that Texas race might be a little closer than Senator Scott suggested. [22:40] Which is why they went after Paxton. [22:42] The NRC did because they were concerned about this exact situation and the attack. [22:46] They went after Paxton. [22:47] And I asked if he was good at those attacks. [22:49] He didn't quite say that. [22:50] All right. [22:51] Coming up. [22:51] How did a Trump-backed candidate lose to a guy who is not even running him anymore? [22:57] And just how bad are things between the president and the Hill GOP? [23:00] That's next. [23:01] Plus, politicians, they say the darndest things. [23:06] Leader Schumer. [23:06] Leader Schumer. [23:09] I didn't yell that loud. [23:10] You're out loud and you can yell it when you used to. [23:13] For the past decade, President Trump's grip on the GOP has seemed nearly absolute. [23:20] But in the past week, some stark reminders of the limits of his power in his own party. [23:25] His top legislative priority, the so-called Save America Act to propose new voting restrictions, [23:30] went nowhere in the Senate ahead of the summer recess. [23:33] Twice last week, voters rejected Trump's choice in GOP primaries. [23:38] In Ohio, Trump refused to use his bully pulpit to demand embattled Congressman Max Miller drop what many Republicans fear is a doomed re-election bid. [23:47] My political insiders are back. [23:49] So, Burgess, you must have been in the Capitol at 4 a.m. on Saturday morning. [23:53] No, you are not. [23:54] Okay. [23:55] This is where they got out of town without passing what Trump has been demanding, which is to Save America Act. [24:02] That is his top legislative priority, even though the economy is what the Republicans are begging for him to focus on. [24:08] Yeah, and I mean, I think that the timing of when that happened is intentional. [24:11] I think both parties were probably happy that not everyone was paying attention to what the Senate was doing when they got out of town. [24:17] I mean, they did fund the government. [24:18] But, yes, Save America Act is not going anywhere. [24:21] A vote on a voter ID bill from John Husted, a senator who was up in Ohio, bailed. [24:26] College sports bill kicked to September. [24:28] Clarity Act kicked to September. [24:29] So, it was not like a great moment for President Trump's priorities because Save, college sports, and Clarity are three things that we've been hearing him in the White House talking about for a long time. [24:39] And I don't necessarily think any of those things have great chances in September either. [24:43] But we'll see what happens. [24:44] I mean, Trump will be on the campaign trail in the days ahead. [24:47] But, you know, can he focus on what they want him to focus on? [24:50] You just look at some of the moves in this past week. [24:53] We talked about the voting restriction bill. [24:55] There's an anti-weaponization fund that created so much drama in the Capitol. [24:59] Ultimately, they had to kill it to get Todd Blanche confirmed as the next attorney general. [25:04] He made some comments to our friend Jake Sherman at Punchbowl News about data centers that perhaps didn't rub some members the wrong way. [25:11] And the reflecting pool and White House ballroom is his obsession. [25:15] Yeah. [25:16] So, the polling shows two things that are really important. [25:20] One is something like two-thirds of Americans think that President Trump is focused on the wrong stuff and not focused on the stuff that is of key importance to them. [25:29] And that his approval numbers that are around one in three now, really, really low. [25:34] But the reason they were there until four in the morning, right, wasn't just so they could not pass key things he wanted and then duck out, [25:42] but because they were confirming Todd Blanche as the next attorney general. [25:46] And so, you've got this situation where President Trump is dragging down Republicans' prospects nationally in November in some of these elections, [25:59] but he still has tremendous power over the base and tremendous power to destroy Republicans who get in his way inside these party battles. [26:07] And I think those are the two levers you see him exercising. [26:10] Yeah, and it's interesting. [26:11] What about the power with the base? [26:12] Yes, he does win most of his endorsement, endorse candidates. [26:15] They generally win. [26:16] But we saw this last week a couple more added to the list of people who lost, Trump endorsements who've lost. [26:22] We saw Randy Feenstra in Iowa. [26:24] He was a gubernatorial candidate earlier in this cycle. [26:26] He lost Burt Jones in Georgia running in that gubernatorial race and lost. [26:31] And then he had a split endorsement in South Carolina. [26:34] There's a little asterisk there, as you see. [26:36] He endorsed Pam and then endorsed both candidates in the runoff, and then I guess he didn't lose there. [26:42] But then this week, not only Andy Ogles, a conservative congressman from Tennessee, controversial member lost, [26:48] but then Amir Hassan, who was Trump, endorsed him. [26:50] And his opponent, Thomas Smith, dropped out because of that endorsement. [26:54] Smith's name was still on the ballot, and he won over Trump's backed candidates. [26:58] That was something. [26:58] That was something. [26:59] And you saw President Trump even last week in one of his public appearances talking about that candidate as well in Amir Hassan [27:06] and sort of throwing, sort of using the bully pulpit to boost him up. [27:11] And he still lost, even though this candidate previously had dropped out. [27:15] I mean, yeah, you are still seeing like a tight grip on the base. [27:18] I think for the most part, up until recently, we've seen him really win these primaries. [27:22] At the same time, there's a split screen here, right? [27:24] We've seen President Trump notch all these wins in primary season, but that anti-Trump sentiment, [27:30] the economic anxiety that we've seen, the break between how much he posts about the ballroom versus gas prices [27:37] and the policies that many Republicans want him to talk about to try to address the daily needs of voters, [27:44] like, that's going to matter in the general as we continue to move forward and get closer to November. [27:49] You know, there's going to be a big, there's another gubernatorial primary this Tuesday. [27:53] Mike Lindell, the MyPillow guy, who, of course, showed a lot of conspiracy theories about the 2020 election. [28:00] He's backed by Trump and we'll see if he pulls that out and wins that primary. [28:04] And a lot of the members of the Minnesota GOP don't want Mike Lindell to win that race, a big test for Trump. [28:10] But then also the Max Miller situation. [28:13] Why is, Max Miller's going to be a candidate. [28:15] He's not dropped out. [28:16] You know, there was this August 10th deadline. [28:18] He had to really get out by yesterday if they wanted to replace him. [28:21] He's making it very clear he's running. [28:23] Why won't Trump just tell him to get out of the race? [28:27] He didn't. [28:27] And now he's in a situation where the Democrat who happens to be lined up against Miller actually, like, [28:33] has a lot of the hallmarks of somebody who actually could beat Miller in that district, [28:36] which isn't a runaway Republican district. [28:39] It went strong for Trump at a time when Trump was more popular. [28:42] But Miller versus Mr. Poindexter, like, it's a union guy. [28:47] He's got Sanders support. [28:48] Yeah. [28:49] But he's, like, a dude. [28:50] You know, like, I actually, like, I'm pretty surprised. [28:54] I think President Trump did, like, walk right up to the line. [28:58] Calls Miller, is telling him, like, this does not look good, son. [29:01] Yeah. [29:01] But Miller dug in and used the Trump playbook and said, if you could survive what you survived, I can survive this. [29:09] And because Trump won that district by 11 points in 2024. [29:12] But Miller wanted, he had 51% of the vote, but just 51% of the vote when he won re-election. [29:20] Yeah. [29:20] And there were two candidates, so he won comfortably, a Democrat and an Independent. [29:24] Right. [29:25] That was a head-to-head matchup. [29:26] You know, we heard Bernie Marino make so many, raise so many concerns. [29:31] Bernie Marino is close to Trump, too. [29:32] Why isn't Trump listening to Bernie Marino? [29:34] I think Trump likes Max Miller. [29:36] Max Miller worked in the White House. [29:38] I think he sees maybe something of himself in the way that Max Miller's fighting this. [29:42] I know he wants him to get out, but I think that there's a long-running connection that goes back further than that. [29:47] And I think you're hearing Bernie Marino, who's probably the next NRSC chairman, talking about this. [29:52] Because I think this could be a big problem for the governor's race for Republicans and for the Senate race and John Husted. [29:57] So Max Miller could drag down the whole ticket by staying in the race. [30:00] Yeah. [30:00] We'll see if that ultimately happens. [30:02] And he looks like he is staying in the race. [30:04] All right. [30:05] Just ahead, J.D. Vance's beef with burritos. [30:08] Why a fat joke has made online, he made online, has entered the 2028 conversation.

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