US Inflation Shock! SEBI.s CAS Review Today! — Pre Market report & 15 October 2026

[00:00:00] Speaker 1: hello everyone this is the pre-market report video for today 15 october 2026 for the near shock market in terms of nifty and bank nifty yesterday after the indian market closed we got two important developments first us inflation came higher than expected then we had fresh developments in the middle east in addition we have sebi's closing auction session update and company's quarterly results so all these developments along with our regular pre-market stuff we are going to discuss in today's video first let's quickly see what happened yesterday in the indian market in our last video we discussed how the it sector was supporting the indian market particularly after hcl tech's strong quarter results yesterday also it sector continued its positive momentum nifty it increased another 1.1 percent whereas the overall indian market closed negative nifty bank nifty and sensex all three were down between 0.3 to 0.45 percent the important thing is yesterday's weakness was not across all sectors it and energy stocks close to positive whereas banking automobile and pharma stocks came under selling pressure there were mainly three reasons first after tuesday's strong rally it's obvious we had some profit booking second in the afternoon crude oil again moved above 106 u.s rubber barrel and in addition yesterday september month wholesale inflation data came really high here analysts were expecting 10.2 percent whereas the actual number came at 11.4 percent in comparison in the august month we had 9.9 percent so it's quite a significant increase in just one month we discussed multiple times that the present month's wholesale inflation is an indication of future consumer inflation moreover only on monday we discussed high consumer inflation of 5.54 percent in the september month closer to the rba's target hence now rbi has got another headache so market at present is kind of nervous about having another 25 basis point interest rate increase in the decimal month mpc meeting which in turn made our market to close negative those were the takeaways from yesterday's indian market then after our indian market closed at 6 pm before the u.s market opening u.s government released their september month consumer inflation number here market was expecting 3.6 percent headline inflation and in comparison in the august month they had 3.4 percent however the actual inflation came at 3.7 percent similarly core inflation which excludes food and energy increased to 2.6 percent against the market expectation of 2.5 percent so both headline and core inflation came higher than expected understandably following the macro release u.s market increased its probability of another interest rate hike by the end of this coming december to 60 percent although this expectation continued changing during the u.s trading session as a consequence u.s market closed significantly negative dow jones was down by approximately 0.3 percent snp 500 declined 1.1 percent whereas nasdaq underperformed all and closed negative by near 2 percent so yesterday was a tech stocks sell-off in line with that early morning today gift nifty moved down to 22545 yesterday at the time of closing it was 22645 hence in a way gift nifty is indicating nearly 100 points gaffed down however iit stocks adrs were not that negative despite the us market negativity infosys adr was up by 0.7 percent and vipro adr closed flat whereas on the banking side both close to negative but in line with yesterday's indian market close hence my take is none of the adrs are indicating any fresh moment despite the negative global momentum next moving on to geopolitics and crude oil still we don't have any meaningful progress in u.s era negotiations whereas attacks across the middle east region are continuing yesterday there was another attack in saudi arabia as per news media how the forces attacked the saudi aramco office building in dharan here the attack caused damage to the building however there were no reported casualties and there is no confirmed major production shutdown because of this particular attack still the attacks on saudi energy related infrastructure increase the concerns about the security of oil supply however on the positive side us military posted a post on x.com saying that on monday more than 19 million barrels of crude oil had successfully passed through the state of farmers in addition iea the international energy agency said that global oil production increased by 2.5 million barrels per day in the september month thus taking global production to 102.3 million barrels per day so we are getting two different indications on one side production and shipping activity are gradually recovering whereas on the other side continued attacks are increasing the concerns about whether this recovery can be maintained as a consequence of all these developments oil price are still trading at higher level at the time of this video brent crude is trading at 106 usr per barrel and w2 crude trading at 95 usr per barrel with that said let's move to the quarterly results yesterday after our market closed five major companies htp financial services tata technologies icc lombard insurance canada bank and bhl released their quarterly results here htp financial services net profit increased 34.2 percent year on year and revenue increased approximately 10 percent in addition net interest income increased 15.6 percent whereas the company's net profit margin improved from 12.79 percent to 15.59 so overall the company reported good profit growth with better operating efficiency and lower provisions similarly icc lombard insurance canada bank and bhl posted strong quarterly results if required please pause and have a look however tata technologies results are a bit different the revenue increased 28.4 percent however year on year net profit increased only 3.6 percent in addition operating margin declined from 13.3 percent to 12.9 percent this indicates that the company is still facing some profitability pressure however tata technologies also announced a new vehicle program worth approximately 138 million us dollar hence the order announcement is positive whereas the margin performance is relatively weak overall i would consider these results mixed either way all these five stocks will be on focus today as a summary for today's indian market we have more negative global developments than the positive ones u.s inflation came higher than expected u.s fair interest rate hike expectations increased and the u.s market closed to negative particularly tech stocks in addition brent crude remained a near 106 u.s r per barrel whereas middle east tensions continue on the domestic side wholesale inflation also increased significantly and the fias continued their selling however rps dollar arrangement is providing some support to the rupee so overall global developments are negative whereas domestic developments and corporate results are mixed to positive here i would like to convey one additional thing as per some sources today 15th october sebi's secondary market advisory committee is expected to review the closing auction mechanism so at the end of this committee meeting they are expected to give some direction like whether to use a blended vwap approach or retain the earlier vwap based settlement methodology temporarily etc either way it's not news that is expected to influence today's market but it is an important thing to know about institutions yesterday fias continued their selling for the 14th consecutive trading session however they reduced their selling spree yesterday they net sold for 1850 crore rupees and dis net bought for 2650 crore rupees moving on to the derivatives market 33.7 percent new call option of interest and only 7 percent new put up from interest were added because of the significantly higher call option addition the pcr ratio decreased to 0.91 from 1.14 participant wise open interest if we see who did what proprietary traders added bearish positions whereas fias added bullish positions hence overall fias reduced their net negative open interest position from net negative 22 percent to net negative 18.1 percent proprietary traders became neutral from being positive and clients stayed at the same level about the things to look out Nestle india vipro tech mahindra geofinancial polycap and htfc life are some of the important names among the 46 listed indian stocks scheduled to release their quarterly results macro wise in the night for u.s their wholesale inflation data august month retail sales growth rate philadelphia fit manufacturing index and weekly jobs data are the important things to look out for today coming technical nifty opened flat and fell to near 22560 in the second half of the session however in the last couple of hours it recovered some of the losses and closed at around 2620 thus on the daily chart nifty formed a small bearish candle with upper and lower shadow indicating indecision and a lack of a clear directional move in addition it failed to sustain above its 10 day expansion average after closing above it in the previous session overall nifty continues to trade below all keeping averages with 20 day 50 day 100 day and 200 expansion average trending downward rsi edged down to 41 but remained above its signal line hence going forward 22850 which coincides with the 20 day expansion average and the middle of the bollinger band is expected to act as the crucial immediate resistance level however a sustained move below this level could keep the market in a consolidation phase with immediate support at 22 500 followed by the crucial support zone of 22 300 to 22 200. in case of bank nifty it opened with 70 points gap down and traded similar to nifty then it closed at around 55 320. thus on the daily chart bank nifty also formed a small bordered bearish candle with noticeable upper and lower shadow indicating indecision among buyers and sellers unlike nifty bank nifty managed to hold above its 10-day spending average on the closing basis but slipped below the 20-day spending average and the middle of the bollinger band after closing above these levels in the previous session however it continues to trade below its 20-day 50-day 100-day and 200-day spending average rsi declined to 46 but remained above its signal line hence on the upside immediate resistance would be at 55 800 level with key support at 54 900. regarding the options front the maximum collapse of interest was at 23 000 strike followed by 20 700 with maximum new collapse writing at 20 700 followed by 23 000 whereas on the put side the maximum open as versa 20 500 strike followed by 22 600 with maximum new put up writing at 22 250 followed by 22 650. thus from the options data it indicates that nifty's immediate trading range would be between 22 500 to 23 000 level so that's all in this video hope you all got some information please consider subscribing to the channel and liking the video so that it will help me beat the youtube algorithm and also motivate me to do more please don't make any investigation based on this as i'm not a savior advisor i'm doing this for me and viewers educational purpose only thanks for watching