"They Didn't Vote": Trump vs Vance on Why the GOP Lost

[0:00] there is no republican base gone republicans just lost congress and the right can't agree why trump [0:08] says his voters didn't vote vance says they flipped o'reilly says the base is gone stay to [0:15] the end for the count none of them gave you round one o'reilly's line from the top if a party's [0:22] voters really vanished both parties would have to change what they promise you of the maga republicans [0:28] who voted 99 voted republican so the base isn't gone and that claim is false o'reilly keeps going [0:35] and leland vitter jumps in about independence watch how o'reilly answers is there listen the republican [0:43] party doesn't have enough adherence to win any elections ever again well the independence [0:53] on the ballot donald trump said i'm on the ballot he is the leader of the republican party [1:00] well let's just talk about what happened the independence turned against president trump [1:08] and the gop and there weren't enough go peers to overcome that o'reilly also said republicans won't [1:16] win another election ever a prediction like that can't be checked so there's not enough evidence [1:21] for that one but the independence part is true republicans won 38 of them they're worth showing [1:27] in decades in the last presidential race trump won 48 of them gone is a strong word for a party that [1:34] still got about 50 million votes next the president and his vice president on opposite sides if you want [1:41] every claim checked against the record hit like round two the fight at the top on 60 minutes in an [1:49] interview that aired on november 8th ross dow that asks trump why his voters didn't carry over if the [1:56] president and his vice president can't agree on what went wrong they can't agree on how to fix it [2:02] listen for his first answer and then for vance's name why can't it transfer you you were out on the [2:08] trail and you said you said vote like i'm on the ballot and people didn't or or did they did they vote [2:14] because they were mad at you about i think they didn't vote really i think in some cases they didn't [2:19] like the candidates and that's you know their prerogative a couple days ago your vice president [2:24] jd vance wrote a social media post where he says the reason we lost is the war meaning iran and he [2:30] said things in that post i don't disagree about israel yeah so you agree with his analysis i don't [2:34] disagree with it did you know he says they didn't vote then he says he doesn't disagree with vance's [2:38] post blaming the war but that same post written the day after the election also says this not turnout [2:46] that's the opposite of what trump just said so who's right vance has a piece of it seven percent [2:51] of trump voters who showed up back the democrat for the house in the red states where democrats [2:57] won senate seats it was closer to one in ten but seven percent is also the share of biden voters who [3:04] switched to republicans in the last midterm so his word many is a stretch and calling it the main [3:10] problem is misleading seven percent of the trump voters who showed up is a revolt the way a drizzle [3:17] is a flood and trump's side has a number behind it republican house votes fell about 25 million [3:24] from the last presidential year democratic house votes fell about 4 million so trump's line they [3:29] didn't vote is mostly true in the last round we'll sort every one of his 77 million round three earlier in [3:36] that same interview dao that asked for his analysis of the loss if a president decides a loss wasn't [3:43] about him the policies voters rejected stay put listen for the word ballot give me your political [3:49] analysis of what just happened well number one i was not on the ballot but i campaigned hard for [3:55] some people and i think if i was on the ballot it would have been a much different situation because [4:02] you saw the level of popularity and love there was love we had massive rallies you had to transfer [4:07] those voters however to candidates that they didn't like but there's something beyond that [4:14] they didn't like the war they didn't he says he wasn't on the ballot 60 of house voters said trump [4:20] was a factor in their vote 45 said they voted against him 16 said they voted for him and he told crowds [4:27] to vote as if he was so that is misleading he wasn't on the ballot but voters seemed to find him anyway [4:34] he also says there was love and he points to his own vote totals here's that line at darlene i did [4:40] that in uh honor of a man named lindsay who was a friend of mine and she fought hard she fought hard [4:47] she really did she lost a very republican state oh to a very liberal i won i won south carolina by the [4:54] highest vote in history by far i won texas by the highest vote in history by far in the last presidential [5:01] race he got about half a million more votes in texas than four years before in south carolina he [5:07] got about a hundred thousand more so on raw votes that claim is mostly true but the same show's own [5:13] opening says democrats then won statewide offices from texas to south carolina that they hadn't won in [5:20] decades round four the best case for the flip idea march short a former white house aide says north [5:27] carolina voters voted for conservative issues and still said quote we're done with all of you [5:32] end quote if voters can keep their beliefs and still change parties a vote doesn't tell you what [5:38] a voter believes listen for the three numbers he gives north carolina went to have a democrat win by [5:44] 60 40 margin in the swing state the house we lost the chairman of the republican congressional [5:49] committee the house went from 10-4 democrat to 10-4 i mean 10-4 republican to 10-4 democrat [5:54] at the same time they passed three measures on constitutional ballot to limit property taxes [5:59] to limit income taxes and pass voter id by wide margins so basically voters were voting for [6:04] conservative issues but saying we're done with all of you he's close roy cooper won the senate race with [6:11] 60 percent once you set the minor candidates aside he put democrats at 10 house seats the state's own [6:18] count has them ahead in 11. two of those leads are razor thin and all three conservative measures [6:24] passed by wide margins so that one is mostly true voters did split their tickets but a split ticket [6:32] can't tell you how many republicans switched and how many stayed home and that is the number we're [6:37] going to find round five why they lost o'reilly says in effect that the trump family getting richer [6:45] isn't a big deal if you're paying more for gas and groceries you should want to know what voters [6:50] actually said mattered here's leland veitert's answer and he puts a number on it before it plays [6:56] guess the share of voters who said corruption mattered to their house vote they watched they [7:01] watched this wild enrichment of the trump family personally i don't think that's a big deal [7:10] i don't think that's a big deal 90 percent of voters said it was a big deal they watched howard [7:14] kids get richer and richer come on bill they don't even know 90 percent of voters said government [7:20] corruption was a big deal and you're telling them it doesn't matter the answer is 90 percent more [7:26] than half of voters called corruption crucial to their house vote most of the rest called it a major [7:31] factor so be tie air is right that claim is true then o'reilly gives his own theory for the whole [7:39] election listen for the word if leland i can guarantee you if the iranian war did not happen the republicans [7:48] would have won across the board if people were not suffering in their purchasing power the republicans [7:58] would have won does it bother me that people are exploiting their positions for profit yes it does [8:08] i'm not justifying it and if there's hard evidence they did anything illegal as i just said i want to see [8:14] it okay but that is not why the republican party has um almost dissolved that's a big if 63 percent [8:27] of voters called the iran war the wrong decision and that's real but no poll can tell us what would [8:33] have happened without it so there's not enough evidence for that claim and 75 percent called the [8:39] economy not so good or poor here's the president on that is that all just the iran war well it's not [8:47] really the iran war because the numbers are phenomenal i think it was bad messaging maybe by [8:52] me but i would talk about it all the time so i don't know how much can i talk about it look the press [8:57] doesn't cover positive news for republicans they don't cover certainly positive news for me so i have [9:05] to do it myself i have to get it out there we have historically good numbers we have the highest [9:09] stock market in history but why don't americans feel it they don't why he says the stock market is [9:15] the highest in history the s p 500 hit its record on october 6th on the day of this interview it closed [9:22] more than five percent below that so that claim is overstated ask why americans don't feel it his answer [9:29] in his words is they don't the voters gave a list not one reason one round left and it settles the [9:36] fight between trump and vance with a count nobody on this tape gave round six the number that decides [9:43] it on news nation o'reilly said trump got 77 million votes in the last presidential race that number [9:50] decides whether the next election turns on persuasion or on who shows up here's the line okay but two [9:58] years ago trump got 77 million votes so i mean i think i'm on pretty pretty firm ground here by [10:05] saying that the lack of empathy and the lack of leadership after president trump remember he took [10:13] the whole party over still runs it and there wasn't anybody up behind him that was taking the message out [10:21] and saying our policies are going to lead to prosperity for you he's right the official count was 77 million [10:29] this year republican candidates for the house got about 50 million votes now sort trump's 77 million [10:36] by our math about 23 million didn't vote about 4 million voted and back to democrat that leaves [10:42] about 50 million which is where the republican house vote landed so about six stayed home for everyone [10:48] who switched kamala harris's voters did the same thing just less about one in five didn't vote among [10:55] trump's it was closer to one in three compared with the last midterm democrats added about 15 million [11:01] votes a party can lose a third of its voters to the couch and still lose big when the other side shows [11:07] up so here's the answer to all three the base isn't gone because the republicans who showed up voted [11:13] republican a small slice flipped so vance has a piece of it most of the missing republican votes stayed home [11:20] so trump is closest and o'reilly was right about the independence all three men had one piece and [11:25] none of them had the whole thing here's the grill score out of 10 on accuracy bill o'reilly gets a four [11:34] the base isn't gone though he was right about the independence vice president vance gets a four seven [11:40] percent switched and that isn't the main problem donald trump gets a six they mostly stayed home but [11:45] voters treated the midterm as a vote on him and leland vitter gets a 10 because his number held up did we [11:51] score trump too high or vance too low tell me below one more midterm claim checked is right here click [11:58] it and subscribe for the next receipt the tape the receipts the truth