China's Wealth, Growth, and Environmental Nightmare (Full Documentary)

[00:00:00] Speaker 1: we used to worry that population too many people would destroy the environment now we understand that there's something even worse affluence China is the world's biggest country and as it becomes more and more affluent it will overtake the United States to become the world's worst [00:00:33] Speaker 2: polluter China uses more steel than the United States China consumes far more grain than the United States China you know was once a billion poor people but China is no longer a poor country [00:00:49] Speaker 1: China may soon be the world's largest economy with a middle class of 300 million people all consumers reaching for the good life shopping buying and even driving in record numbers for many it's the ultimate dream but unless China cleans up its act the dream could become an environmental nightmare with a poisoned atmosphere a world of dying forests and disappearing wildlife flooded and baked by the searing heat of global warming China is at a crossroads and decisions made here will affect everyone on the [00:01:40] Speaker 3: planet the world the future of China's environment will play a big role in determining the future of the world [00:01:49] Speaker 1: environment that is yeah can this Asian giant pull back from the brink before it's too late world in the balance China revs up right now on Nova [00:02:04] Speaker 4: major funding for Nova is provided by the Park Foundation dedicated to education and quality television [00:02:27] Speaker 5: science science it's given us the framework to help make wireless communications clear sprint is proud to support Nova [00:02:41] Speaker 6: science we see an inventor at Microsoft your potential inspires us to create software that helps you reach it your potential our passion [00:02:56] Speaker 4: funding for world in the balance is provided by Marguerite and Jerry Lenfest the John D and Catherine T MacArthur Foundation the Richard and Rhoda Goldman Fund sponsor of the Goldman Environmental Prize and the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation major funding for NOVA is also provided by the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and by PBS viewers like you thank you [00:03:41] Speaker 1: Along the rocky coast in Washington State a steady wind blows in from across the Pacific Every month Dan Jaffe comes to check the quality of the air in this remote place near the northwestern most corner of the continental U.S. [00:04:11] Dan Jaffe: We started the station to try to understand what's the quality of the air that's blowing into the United States this would be the air that comes in and then we add our own local pollutants to it [00:04:21] Speaker 1: The results were surprising He and his team expected pristine ocean winds But their filters revealed a witch's brew of industrial poisons A single canister like this could contain sulfur and mercury in varying concentrations even killers like PCBs and DDT [00:04:47] Dan Jaffe: Most of the time the concentration of these pollutants is fairly low but once in a while we get these large pulses of pollution that can get transported all the way across the ocean [00:04:57] Speaker 1: The findings didn't seem to make sense Air quality has been steadily improving over the last few decades So where was the stuff in these filters coming from? To find out Jaffe built a flying laboratory An airplane loaded with sensitive instruments able to sniff the prevailing winds in search of chemical clues After dozens of flights over the ocean Dan and his team constructed a detailed computer model that decisively fingered the culprit China From 3,000 miles away its pollution was reaching west coast cities Like Los Angeles and San Francisco Cities that had already spent billions cleaning up their own air But there's another problem that the U.S. and China share In America our love affair with the automobile has helped make the U.S. the world's biggest emitter of carbon dioxide A greenhouse gas that's produced when anything burns Many scientists believe that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is causing the earth to become overheated With dangerous and unpredictable storms And now China is following in America's footsteps By the year 2030 China could match the U.S. in carbon emissions If so the two countries would contribute more to global warming than all other nations combined The United States has set the standard for high living, high energy use [00:06:43] Dan Jaffe: We're one of the most consumptive countries in the world And if the rest of the world emulates us the global atmosphere is going to suffer, the world is going to suffer [00:06:59] Speaker 1: China is exporting air pollution and carbon emissions But we export our lifestyle And China is one of our best customers A winter morning in Beijing [00:07:11] Speaker ?: The air is thick with what looks like fog But it's not fog The air in Beijing has been getting worse It's mostly comprised of smoke not fog Urban haze is different than fog which has water vapor [00:07:25] Speaker 1: While this pollution doesn't [00:07:27] Speaker 8: It's no secret where this smog is coming from Even at 7:30 in the morning the streets are already jammed with automobiles Ten years ago bicycles ruled these roads [00:07:53] Speaker 1: But today they're being forced aside And that's just one change And that's just one change For a few years ago bicycles ruled these roads But today they're being forced aside And that's just one change Over the course of just a few short decades The entire city has been utterly transformed Into a modern megalopolis Home to over 13 million people And other Chinese cities have grown just as dramatically In the last two decades more than 100 million people have moved from the countryside into urban centers And other Chinese cities have grown just as dramatically In the last two decades more than 100 million people have moved from the countryside Into urban centers Making this the largest migration in human history Among the recent arrivals are 39 year old Xi Zhernang His wife Shirley Hong And their four year old daughter Xi Xi The family had been living near Xi Zhernang's provincial hometown In southwestern China But a year ago they decided to relocate to Beijing They came in search of independence and opportunity [00:09:17] Speaker 9: And to secure their young daughter's future [00:09:19] Speaker 1: Their gamble seems to be paying off They've just bought their first apartment And they're living a material life That would have been out of reach even a decade ago Not only do they have cash in their pockets But they also have plenty of places to spend it Shopping malls like this one are springing up all over China Here everything a consumer could possibly want is for sale From the latest in personal grooming [00:10:05] Speaker 10: To the newest kitchen gadgets [00:10:11] Speaker 1: To the newest kitchen gadgets [00:10:15] Speaker 9: Rising affluence does presume that people want more and more things [00:10:33] Speaker 11: And it's a conveyor belt It doesn't stop at any finite point Used to be that the Chinese had what they call the five big things they all wanted You know it was a radio, a sewing machine, and a bicycle If you got those five big things You know you were considered at the top of the food chain But now there's no limit to it You know after you get the car You know then you want the house and the TV And the satellite dish and then to travel And you know it goes on and on and on [00:11:01] Speaker 1: The world has never seen a country get so rich so fast According to the Chinese government According to the Chinese government The economy has grown at the red-hot rate of 8% every year For more than 20 years Average incomes have quadrupled And energy consumption has grown even faster China has huge reserves of coal Coal provides 70% of the energy used to generate electricity And to forge steel for construction and manufacturing Over the years industries increase their output to meet demand But without putting pollution controls in their smokestacks Every day, when Xizhenang and Shirlihang take Xixi to school They expose themselves and her to Beijing's toxic air According to the UN, China is home to 7 of the world's 10 most polluted cities And respiratory disease has become a leading killer Claiming lives at 10 times the rate found in the United States Even on what looks like a clear day The air contains particulate dust Sulfur, lead, carbon monoxide and other poisons Right now, that's the price of living in China's most economically advanced cities [00:12:43] Speaker 12: I worry about my own child growing up in this city [00:12:49] Speaker 13: All she can see are grey skyscrapers under the grey sky Sometimes I think that I don't belong here But I'm living here because I really think it is best for my family [00:13:07] Speaker 12: Let's go Let's go Let's go Let's go [00:13:15] Speaker 1: Xizhenang is old enough to remember his country's recent past When the nation's economy was in ruins As recently as the 1970s China was suffering the effects of one of the cruelest political experiments in history Chairman Mao Zedong had tried and failed to industrialize the countryside In an effort called the Great Leap Forward He ordered millions of peasants to stop farming He instead set them to work forging steel in primitive furnaces But it led to disaster A widespread famine that claimed more than 30 million lives [00:14:01] Speaker 14: One of the things that Chairman Mao was supposed to do in the Communist Revolution Was to equalize opportunity and quality of life for Chinese people And by the end of the Cultural Revolution China was as poor and impoverished as perhaps it had ever been [00:14:20] Speaker 1: Then, in 1979, things began to change A new, pragmatic leader named Deng Xiaoping came to power Deng needed to find a way to feed a billion people He decided to rein in population growth No matter what the cost He imposed a draconian new policy called "The One Child Rule" Under the plan, most Chinese families were restricted to a single child The policy outraged human rights groups as stories of forced abortions and sterilization began to leak out But the leadership was determined to head off both a human and a political disaster [00:15:09] Speaker 15: If the population gets to be too large, there will be a famine And if you look at Chinese history Often when there's been a famine, there's been a revolution And the regime in power gets overthrown It's a well-learned lesson in China They've done the experiment many times So this race between the stork and the plow, as it's sometimes called Can you produce enough food to feed the new children and so forth? So China has really actually slowed its population growth rather dramatically I mean, there are lots of people in China But the population is not growing that fast [00:15:48] Speaker 1: Population control was a controversial first step Towards the goal of turning China into a modern nation Deng's next step sent a shockwave around the world He set out to dismantle the communist economic system Abandoning the revolutionary ideals that had brought him to power The Communist Party of China announced a surprising new policy To get rich is glorious [00:16:22] Speaker 11: In the early 80's, you could just see the streets slowly come alive With little shops and private entrepreneurs out there And then by the mid 80's, you began to see people actually renting shops From state-owned enterprises And then they would rent the whole enterprise And slowly you got this foliation of all of these private business people [00:16:49] Speaker 1: But the economic forces the party had unleashed Were about to lead the country into an environmental nightmare A 20-year binge of industrial development Without any pollution controls [00:17:13] Speaker 16: Over the last two decades, we were monomaniacal in our pursuit of development That twisted policy put growth ahead of all else And caused us to neglect many other problems Like infrastructure, energy policy, and the environment [00:17:30] Speaker 1: Today, 25 years after Deng's reforms began China's economy is still growing faster than any other on the planet But despite its leap into the 21st century The country is still largely powered by a 19th century fuel Every day, small factories like this one Produce millions of coal cylinders for use in home cooking and heating stoves The process has hardly changed for over a century Crushed coal and water combine to make a cake-like batter An antiquated press turns the rough mixture into circular bricks After drying, they emerge at the other end of the line When an order comes in, a waiting messenger loads up his trike And heads out to make a delivery He'll ride miles through the crowded city streets to reach his customer Most people in China use coal to heat their homes China has begun to import natural gas and oil And the largest buildings in Beijing have been retrofitted to use cleaner fuels Today's customer, Mr. Wen, a retired school teacher, prefers coal because it's cheap Just two loads like this one will heat his three-room house for the entire winter For around $50 But there's a problem with this cheap source of energy Coal is notoriously dirty Burning it releases sulfurous smoke filled with poisonous chemicals As China has become more affluent, the need for coal is greater than ever This is Beijing's newest coal-fired power plant It's only a few years old, but engineers are already adding a fifth turbine to meet ever-rising demand In 1980, China burned roughly 400 million tons of coal About half the yearly total of the United States But today, China uses more than three times as much 1.3 billion tons That's nearly four times more than India The world's second most populous country And 25% more than the United States The world's biggest energy consumer This plant operates at about 40% efficiency On par with most conventional power plants in the U.S. Until recently, China said it couldn't afford to build these cleaner facilities Now, they can't afford not to [00:20:40] Speaker 17: The estimates of the Chinese themselves are that they're losing something in the range of 6% of their GDP To the public health costs from pollution Lost productivity, costs of healthcare and so on associated with pollution They already know they have to fix it [00:21:00] Speaker 1: The cost of confronting the country's legacy of pollution can be very high This is the entrance to capital steel, China's third largest producer Steel is an essential commodity Without it, the Chinese economy would grind to a halt Like electricity, steel production depends on coal For decades, capital steel was one of the biggest polluters in Beijing Until recently In a rare and surprising move, the government ordered the company to install costly new pollution controls And to close an aging furnace, reducing steel output by 20% [00:21:47] Speaker 18: What's standing behind us now is the abandoned, former number one steel factory At the beginning of this year, we followed the government's order to close it down Because the facilities were relatively backward, it was very difficult to make this transition [00:22:07] Speaker 1: Across China, the government has begun to close down factories that are too polluting Putting many people out of work Although it's hard to predict, these closings may be a sign that China is moving into a new phase in its development Following a well-known path called the Kuznets curve In the 1950s, economist Simon Kuznets was charting the relationship between industrialization and the environment He noticed that when countries first industrialize, pollution levels rise As the process of modernization continues, levels eventually peak and begin to decline He theorized that rising affluence plays a role A more well-to-do population demands a cleaner environment When a country reaches a critical level of affluence, pollution levels drop England, the United States, Germany and Japan all followed this pattern Most observers believe that China will eventually reduce industrial pollution But at the same time, China is grappling with another problem Which may prove much more difficult to solve In China's largest cities, the worst air pollution is no longer from smokestacks It's from the tailpipes of cars Just a few years ago, these crowded streets were nearly deserted In 1995, the number of cars in all of China stood at a mere 2 million Today, the number is 20 million and rising Beijing has seen the most rapid growth of all With 400,000 new cars rolling onto the city's roads in 2003 alone [00:24:08] Speaker 11: The car is the beating heart of this whole consumer culture that China has become enamored of And it's really one of the highest expressions of the individual's right To go where you want, when you want, with whom you want The car is the mother of all symbols In the highest stage of symbolic success [00:24:37] Speaker 1: Today, it's increasingly hard to find a middle-class Chinese consumer Who doesn't own, or want to own, a car Shi Zhenang and Shi Lihang moved to Beijing to start their own business He's a photographer, and she's a writer Together, they produce films about wildlife in China [00:25:02] Speaker 12: So, it's very close The distance between them is 2 meters So, it's not only 2 meters or 1 meters [00:25:12] Speaker 1: These two are more environmentally conscious than most Chinese But even they are talking about buying a car Shi Lihang is the driving force behind the decision So, it's her job to shop for the family car [00:25:28] Speaker 3: Where are you going? Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car? Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:33] Speaker ?: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:37] Dan Jaffe: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:40] Speaker 12: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:46] Speaker 19: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:54] Speaker 3: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car [00:25:56] Speaker 19: Shi Lihang is the driving force of the family car taking our daughter places. The bus can be so crowded, and in the winter it's too cold to ride a bicycle. And the traffic can be dangerous. Right. With so many cars, sometimes we feel it's dangerous to put our daughter on a bicycle. The Asian Games car market is [00:26:18] Speaker 1: the largest in Beijing. Here, competing dealers share a large outdoor space to showcase dozens of different makes and models. But almost none of them are Chinese. Because 20 years ago, China made a decision to let foreign companies make nearly all of its cars. [00:26:39] Speaker 14: Well, remember, at that time in the 1980s, there was very little foreign investment in China. So China went to these foreign auto companies and said, we'd like you to invest in our country. We have a gigantic market of 1.2 billion people. And please come and invest. [00:27:01] Speaker 1: First to take the Chinese up on their offer was Beijing Jeep, a joint venture between American Motors Corporation and the Chinese government. Party officials approved of Jeep's utilitarian four-wheel drive design. Today, though, the factory is turning out something much different. Upscale SUVs that cater to a consumer market that has grown faster than anyone expected. [00:27:30] Speaker 20: "I think the primary factor that captures the imagination is just the magnitude of the numbers. The passenger car market grew here in China about 60 percent last year. This year, we were not expecting that rate of growth, but it looks like we may get up to 80 percent this year." [00:27:46] Speaker 1: Others, including Volkswagen, Ford, Suzuki, Toyota, and the world's largest automaker, General Motors, have since followed. All are hoping that China will take to cars like other affluent nations have. [00:28:04] Speaker 21: "We believe that China will absorb almost 20 percent of the entire world's growth in vehicles over the next 10 years. And somewhere around the turn of the quarter century, China will probably pass the US as the world's largest auto market." [00:28:22] Speaker 22: "Hello." [00:28:23] Speaker 19: "Hello." [00:28:24] Speaker 22: "Are you looking for a Jetta?" [00:28:25] Speaker 19: "Yes, I'm looking at the price." [00:28:29] Speaker 22: "It sells for 120,000 yuan. It's the top of the line with a manual shift." [00:28:35] Speaker 19: "How does it conform to environmental standards?" [00:28:39] Speaker 22: "All Jettas conform to the Euro 2 emission standard." [00:28:45] Speaker 1: "This Volkswagen is a Chinese-built car, for sale only in China." "The car looks as stylish and well-built as any American or European model." "But looks can be deceiving." "Under the hood lurks a dirty little secret." "The Euro 2 emission standard, a proud selling point for the salesman, is actually 10 years out of date." "Today, Europe conforms to a much cleaner standard called Euro 5." "And American standards are even tougher." [00:29:20] Speaker 14: "Well, Chinese cars are just much more polluting than U.S. or European cars, and that's because they don't have the same emissions control equipment that U.S. or European or Japanese cars have." "A Chinese car would never meet emissions control standards in the United States or Europe, because the equipment in the Chinese cars is fairly antiquated." [00:29:42] Speaker 1: The Chinese were determined to learn how to build cars, and protecting the environment was not a priority. When the partnership deals were negotiated, the government failed to impose state-of-the-art environmental standards, and the car makers didn't insist. [00:29:59] Speaker 20: "In terms of a foreign company doing business here within China, we work within the framework and within the regulations. I've been very satisfied with the partnership that we see between the foreign joint ventures here and the Chinese government." [00:30:13] Speaker 1: Today, although China is addicted to outdated pollution controls in cars that are not fuel efficient, its auto industry has helped to lift millions out of poverty. Here, at General Motors' Shanghai plant, workers earn up to 1,000 yuan per month, putting them in the top 20 percent income bracket. And each car that rolls off this assembly line contains steel, glass, rubber, and other components fabricated by other workers in other Chinese factories, making cars one of the most powerful engines of the Chinese economic miracle. [00:30:52] Speaker 11: China's made the automobile industry a pillar industry. I think they're getting ever more dependent on it because it is expanding at such a staggering rate, and it's creating jobs. And there's one thing that China needs now: it's jobs. [00:31:09] Speaker 1: To keep up even with its modest population growth, China needs to create 15 million new jobs each year. By some estimates, the auto industry and related businesses employ 7 percent of the country's private sector workforce, providing a living for tens of millions of people. Few consumers are pressing for more effective pollution controls that could raise the price of cars. And the government doesn't want to do anything that could slow down sales and cost the country jobs. [00:31:48] Speaker 23: The challenge of jobs and employment, I think, is one of the biggest headaches for the Chinese government. In fact, it's their biggest nightmare. They're so concerned about social stability, avoiding chaos, keeping the system together. You have, in the cities, tens of millions of former state workers now losing their jobs, very resentful. So if there is a severe slowdown or a real slump in economic growth, this will be very dangerous for the rule of the Communist Party. [00:32:22] Speaker 11: The government's got to keep this wheel spinning or they may end up getting spun right out of office. China has a terrible dilemma upon which it is impaled. It has to develop to improve the standard of living for people. And yet, at the same time, the environmental consequences of that development are so enormous. [00:32:56] Speaker 1: Every month, Beijing's 4x4 club welcomes new members. Today, a half a dozen rookies are learning how to gun three tons of Jeep up a vertical embankment. [00:33:09] Speaker 10: Chinese consumers appear to be taking to gas-guzzling SUVs much as Americans have, [00:33:29] Speaker 1: without much concern about the environmental consequences. [00:33:33] Speaker 20: When we look at the SUV market in the U.S., I think the market share is about 20 to 25 percent of the total market. Here within China, the SUV segment is just beginning to expand. We see the SUV segment over the next five to ten years more than doubling from the point we are today. [00:33:50] Speaker 14: If there were as many cars per person in China as there are today in the United States, China would have 800 million-plus cars, which is four times more than we have in the United States today. [00:34:05] Speaker 1: In the year 2000, the Chinese government used its absolute authority to ban leaded gasoline in a single stroke. The government could act just as decisively with emissions standards. But so far, it is taking a gradual approach. But even the strictest standards cannot prevent an internal combustion engine from producing carbon dioxide as a by-product of burning gasoline. And that means that China, considered the number two contributor to global warming, could become number one. [00:34:45] Speaker 8: We estimate that between 2020 and 2030, China's emission of carbon dioxide will probably increase greatly. By then, it will be hard to tell who is the largest emitter: China or the United States. [00:35:04] Speaker 1: China's economic miracle can only be sustained if it expands beyond cities to include the vast rural countryside. Weishan is a provincial community of 280,000, a market town surrounded by farms. It's where Xizhenang was born. The town is steeped in history, with 14th-century architecture that dates back to the Ming dynasty. But it's also facing a future full of change. [00:35:51] Speaker 13: With the fast development China has seen in recent years, with the need for economic growth and improvement of people's living standards, China's cultural heritage is disappearing rapidly, although not so rapidly here. I know that even as I feel happy to be able to see these ancient structures, the town has problems in that many people here are very poor. [00:36:19] Speaker 1: In rural China, hundreds of millions of people lack basic conveniences, like indoor plumbing, and in some places, electricity. But the consumer culture is slowly making inroads here. [00:36:34] Speaker 23: The government, in part, is relying on what we used to call trickle-down economics, that if some parts of the country get a lot richer and some people get rich and invest, that the benefits will trickle down to the rest of the people. [00:36:48] Speaker 1: improving the rural economy is vitally important to the entire country. Some 800 million people live in China's heartland. Increasing the disposable income in the pockets of so many people would not only lift them out of poverty, it would be a powerful stimulus to propel the nation's economy into the future. Xizhenang has come home to the countryside to join in a family celebration. The birthday of his cousin's infant son, Liu Xiao. Liu Xiao is turning one, a particularly auspicious occasion in Chinese culture. Even more important because he is an only child and likely to remain so. Couples no longer need to ask the government for permission to have children. But large families face higher taxes. That and the cost of educating children keeps families small. [00:38:01] Speaker 23: I think even in rural villages, some of the poorer families that maybe ten years ago had four or five children are now discovering they can't afford to school their children. And so while some may prefer to have two and there's still some preference to have a son, many families are accepting quite willingly that they will have one child. [00:38:23] Speaker 1: Most of these middle schoolers have never known a brother or a sister. As a result, they've enjoyed a higher standard of living. These kids watch TV and know what life is like in other places. Many of them will eventually move to a city, abandoning a way of life which has become too difficult. The life of a Chinese farmer has always been marginal, and will continue to be for those who choose to stay on the land. For thousands of years, farming has been the mainstay of rural China. Nestled in the valleys around Weishan, in southern Yunnan province, lies some of the most productive cropland in Asia. But like most of the farmland in China, there's just not enough of it. Though home to 25% of the world's population, China has only 7% of the world's arable land. And it's been pushed to the breaking point. Every available acre has been put under cultivation. Even steep hillsides have been carved into terraces and farmed. [00:39:54] Speaker 23: Right now, too much of rural China is being farmed. And it's being farmed very inefficiently, without producing much benefit for the people who live on the land. [00:40:05] Speaker 1: A typical family farm is less than an acre in size. Large enough to provide food, and possibly a small surplus, to sell at Weishan's weekly market. But little else. The average cash income for peasants like this is less than $25 a month. And it's getting hard to grow even enough food to make that tiny amount. [00:40:33] Speaker 2: Between 1998 and 2003, grain production fell from 392 million tons to 326 million tons. This drop of 66 million tons is greater than the grain harvest of Canada, for example. One of the reasons was because of spreading water shortages. [00:40:55] Speaker 1: China has limited freshwater reserves. As the country has grown more affluent, cities and industry have claimed water once used for agriculture. Farmers are facing a tough new reality. 1,000 tons of water used for irrigation yields crops worth about $200. But the same 1,000 tons of water used in manufacturing produces goods worth a total of $14,000. And as weather patterns change, perhaps as a result of global warming, China is becoming drier, aggravating its water shortage. [00:41:40] Speaker 8: The water problem will be much more serious if the climate keeps changing and becomes drier. [00:41:47] Speaker 24: Then what will we do about it? [00:42:01] Speaker 1: Chinese farmers are used to taking a beating from nature. In 1998, a devastating flood struck the Yangtze River Valley. During the summer months, unusually heavy rains saturated the region. The Yangtze rose by more than 20 feet and stayed that way for weeks. It's ironic, but the same farmers who suffered from the disaster may have caused it. By stripping the hills of trees in order to grow crops. Trees absorb water and reduce runoff. But when the rains came, there was nothing to prevent torrents of water from pouring straight into the river basin. By the time the flood receded, thousands had died and millions had been left homeless. The government quickly ordered an end to farming on steep hillsides and began planting trees. The move cost tens of thousands of poor farmers their meager livelihoods. But if the government hadn't acted, more flooding would have followed. At the same time that crop yields are shrinking, China needs more food than ever, because rising affluence has led to a richer diet. In Weishan's busy market, chicken, duck and pork are all in high demand. Meat consumption has risen by 400% in the last 20 years. To meet this increased demand for food, China has begun to turn to world markets. [00:43:48] Speaker 2: I think within the next two years, there will be a long line of ships stretching from the United States across the Pacific to China loaded with grain. Probably with two or three ships leaving every day. And this will be a new link between the two countries. [00:44:04] Speaker 1: To pay for imports, the country will need to create hundreds of millions of high quality jobs. [00:44:13] Speaker 23: Farming is not going to provide the jobs for the future. New industries are the only way out. The good side is that as villagers have more money and more industry, they will stop ravaging the land so much. On the other hand, all the problems, the environmental problems of consumption and production will multiply very fast. Energy use will go up, pollution in some ways will go up. [00:44:46] Speaker 1: Xi Xiong and his family hope to see prosperity come to the countryside. For the better life it will offer to Liu Xiao and his generation. [00:44:59] Speaker 13: Everyone has the right to seek a better life. Why should people in the country live in the past? [00:45:10] Speaker 1: In most countries, environmental protection has come about when the government is forced to respond to public pressure. [00:45:18] Speaker 17: We are systematically destroying our land, our streams and our seas. We fall our air and it's getting worse. [00:45:25] Speaker 23: It means choosing cleaner cars rather than faster cars. [00:45:29] Speaker 1: China has an environmental movement mostly made up of students, but it's rather small and timid. By all its economic advances, China is still ruled by the Communist Party. With limited tolerance for dissent. [00:45:55] Speaker ?: The government is still living in the country. The government is still living in the country. The government is still living in the country. The government is still living in the country. The government is still living in the country. 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And after nearly 10 years of effort, he and his wife released a film that graphically showed the plight of these threatened primates. The local authorities were shamed into cracking down. It was one of the first incidents where a public outcry and media coverage succeeded in safeguarding the environment. And Xi Xunang hopes it is a sign of things to come. [00:48:16] Speaker 13: Recently, the government has begun paying attention to this problem. And the Chinese mass media has played a crucial role. More and more people are starting to pay attention to the environment. [00:48:31] Speaker 1: But even as China is beginning to see the light on the environment, some policy makers question whether a nation in the throes of new development should be held to the same standards as the industrialized countries. Especially when it comes to carbon emissions and global warming. [00:48:49] Speaker 17: What people too easily forget is that the great bulk of the problem up until now was caused by the industrialization of the countries that are now rich. The United States, Japan, Europe. And now we're saying to the developing countries, "Gee, we're terribly sorry. We used up the ability of the atmosphere to hold carbon dioxide so you can't put any more in." This is not a welcome position. [00:49:22] Speaker 1: The fastest growing burden on the atmosphere in both the U.S. and in China comes from transportation. In crowded cities, mass transit would seem an obvious choice. Beijing has a brand new subway, but it's small and inconvenient. It has 100 kilometers of track, but to serve the entire city it would need to be many times larger. But there's little public interest in mass transportation. China has fallen in love with cars. And even though the Chinese government has yet to mandate such basics as fuel economy standards, there is already talk of leapfrogging the technologies of the past. [00:50:12] Speaker 18: We don't want to follow the old path taken by the advanced countries in which traditional gas-powered cars dominate the market. Therefore, the government has attached great importance on developing new power systems, especially innovations such as fuel cells, and on having an impact within the auto industry. [00:50:37] Speaker 12: Let me say a few words about how this car works. [00:50:41] Speaker 8: It's a high wire. High means hydrogen. It's powered by a hydrogen fuel cell. Wire means drive-by wire. All controls such as steering, turning, and accelerating are executed electronically. [00:51:03] Speaker 1: In Beijing, General Motors is showing off its hydrogen-powered concept car. High wire has no internal combustion engine. The auto is powered by a fuel cell, a device that uses hydrogen to generate electricity. It doesn't require a drop of gasoline. The only emission is water, pure enough to drink. But no one knows where the hydrogen will come from. It can be made from water, but the process requires a lot of energy. It can also be extracted from coal, but that releases carbon and leads to global warming. General Motors in the U.S. has spent more than a billion dollars so far to develop this new technology, and there's no end in sight. China, with its massive population and fondness for cars, potentially offers a huge market for any company that can help it out of its environmental dilemma. But will the government create incentives through regulation? [00:52:16] Speaker 14: If China introduced the toughest environmental standards in the world, no foreign auto company would walk away from 1.3 billion people and the second largest economy in the world. There is no doubt in my mind that the foreign auto companies could meet any standard that the Chinese government imposed. [00:52:33] Speaker 1: For now, fear of job loss has made the government slow to enact protective laws. [00:52:41] Speaker 3: To some degree, this is a tug of war between the people in charge of the economy and those advocating for environmental protection. Where's the balancing point between these two? No one's found it yet. [00:52:58] Speaker 1: If China follows historical example, it will likely find a way to clean up its local air pollution. But as China grows in affluence, it joins the company of nations that seek the keys to solving a far more daunting problem: global warming. [00:53:16] Speaker 17: "Between the United States and China, both of our countries need to diversify our energy sources, working on energy efficiency technologies like hybrid automobiles that can get far more miles per gallon, working on advanced renewable energy technologies, advanced nuclear technologies, fossil fuel technologies that can capture the carbon and keep it out of the atmosphere. all of that is a challenge not for any one country. It's a challenge for the whole world to confront and surmount together." [00:53:51] Speaker 4: On NOVA's website, delve deeper into the issues raised in this program, hear more from the experts, test your understanding of global trends, learn how you can get involved, and more. find it on PBS.org. To order this show, or any other NOVA program, for $19.95 plus shipping and handling, call WGBH Boston Video at 1-800-255-9424. NOVA is a production of WGBH Boston. Major funding for NOVA is provided by The Park Foundation, dedicated to education and quality television. [00:55:04] Speaker 6: We see teacher of the year. We see kids reaching their potential. It's what inspires us to create software that helps you reach yours. [00:55:23] Speaker 5: Science. It's given us the framework to help make wireless communications clear. Sprint is proud to support NOVA. [00:55:37] Speaker 4: Funding for World in the Balance is provided by Marguerite and Jerry Lenfest. The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. The Richard and Rhoda Goldman Fund, sponsor of the Goldman Environmental Prize. And the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. Major funding for NOVA is also provided by The Corporation for Public Broadcasting and by PBS viewers like you. Thank you.