About this transcript: This is a full AI-generated transcript of A Truly Unhinged Trump Interview — Morning Shots LIVE from The Bulwark, published April 21, 2026. The transcript contains 10,609 words with timestamps and was generated using Whisper AI.
"All right, I think we are live. Hi, everybody. I am Andrew Egger with The Bulwark. This is Bill Crystal with The Bulwark. We write the Morning Shots newsletter every weekday morning coming to you free in your inbox. And on Tuesdays, we go live for... Now, this is interesting. People were calling it"
[0:02] All right, I think we are live. Hi, everybody. I am Andrew Egger with The Bulwark. This is Bill
[0:07] Crystal with The Bulwark. We write the Morning Shots newsletter every weekday morning coming
[0:11] to you free in your inbox. And on Tuesdays, we go live for... Now, this is interesting. People
[0:17] were calling it Morning Chaser. I've noticed people have stopped saying that. Now people
[0:20] are starting to say Morning Shots Live. I mean, people like my coworkers, my colleagues. So I'm
[0:24] actually not sure whether this is Morning Chaser anymore, whether this is just Morning Shots Live.
[0:28] Maybe if you have consumer preferences, you can tell us which we should use from now on.
[0:32] Anyway, it's Tuesday morning. We're here to talk. And we are here to talk with some fresh,
[0:37] real hot-off-the-presses content for you because Donald Trump, our president, whom you have
[0:43] probably heard of, just wrapped up a long, a rambling, a very strange and rich interview
[0:51] on CNBC's Squawk Box this morning. They talked for a very long time. Donald Trump these days,
[0:57] he's become very kind of fragmented in his communication. Obviously, he's always there
[1:01] on Truth Social. He's always picking up the phone and calling random reporters for 90-second
[1:06] chit-chats. But he has not done a lot of these real big sit-down interviews recently. He talked
[1:11] to Maria Bartiromo on Fox the other day. And then this is kind of the other major one he's
[1:17] done recently. Like I said, rich text. So we're going to talk a lot about it. Bill, just maybe
[1:23] right off the dome, was there anything in particular that stood out to you from the president this
[1:30] morning? Maybe as far as Iran is concerned or anything else, was there a major highlight
[1:34] moment for you or should we just go through it? I guess I'd just like to register at the beginning
[1:38] of my complaint that he does these 8.30 a.m. interviews live. We put morning shots to bed
[1:43] around 9 and then it gets proofread and layout stuff happens and you guys get it in your inbox
[1:48] around 9.30. So we did, I think, put the topper in based on something he said on his interview this
[1:55] morning at 8.30. Obviously can't write the whole thing based on an 8.30 interview or what he's
[2:00] saying stuff at 8.45 and 9 o'clock. So a little annoying that he's doing 8.30 a.m. interviews.
[2:05] And you're our White House correspondent, Andrew. That's one of your titles. So you should weigh in
[2:10] there with Caroline and tell her, you know, look, 6 a.m. is fine. We can write off at 6.30, 7.30
[2:14] or 10 p.m. the night before. That would be our preference, frankly. Yes, yes. Can you make that
[2:19] happen? I will start throwing my weight around at the White House. Look, I don't know. I mean,
[2:23] I think almost any given day, I totally agree with you. On Tuesdays, it's kind of nice because
[2:27] it gives us something fresh to chew over here. Okay, so tell him Tuesday, that's good. Tuesday's
[2:30] okay. That's right. So anyway, so let's chew over. You lead off. You looked at more closely what he
[2:34] said. He went long, right? He was supposed to be his guy, his team, whatever he put it. My guys only
[2:40] gave me 20 minutes, but then he wanted to go longer and he did go longer, I guess. Yeah, yeah,
[2:43] yeah. I mean, this happens when Trump builds up a head of steam sometimes with an interviewer that he
[2:48] likes. And obviously Joe Kernan over there at CNBC, very Trumpy guy, very sort of solicitous
[2:53] interviewer. Not a bad interviewer. You got asked him some interesting questions and got some
[2:57] interesting answers. So let's start going through them because obviously top of mind for everybody
[3:01] right now is the war in Iran, the ongoing war in Iran. We have this ceasefire that at first didn't
[3:06] really resemble a ceasefire in any way. Now it has, you know, there was a very brief window in there
[3:12] where both sides were actually honoring the ceasefire. The Strait of Hormuz was open for like 15 minutes
[3:16] on Friday into Saturday. Now we are back to, you know, the ceasefire having basically
[3:22] broken down in every respect except for the United States resuming its sort of aerial bombardment
[3:28] campaign. But, but, you know, there are talks that are slated to happen that Iran has finally
[3:33] agreed to participate in that are going to be going forward in Islamabad just in, in the next day or so
[3:38] in Pakistan. And then the ceasefire will in theory expire if they can't, if they can't come to an
[3:44] agreement. And so let's, let's just hear Trump talking about that a little bit about what we should
[3:48] expect to see next in Iran. To be clear, you're, you're saying that you need a, at least the
[3:55] prospects for a signed deal today and tomorrow, or else you would resume bombing Iran? Well,
[4:06] I expect to be bombing because I think that's a better attitude to go in with, but we're ready
[4:11] to go. I mean, the military is raring to go. They are absolutely incredible. You're not. Yeah. So there
[4:19] you go. I mean, does that, does that sound like a strong hope that a, that a peace deal is about
[4:24] to be struck in Islamabad in the next 48 hours, Bill? I actually think it's more likely than not,
[4:30] because I just think this is Trump's idea of the art of the deal. And you've got to sound super tough
[4:34] to get yourself a quote, good deal. He desperately wants to get out. He wouldn't mind perhaps one last
[4:39] spasm of bombing to look tough, sort of like Nixon and, you know, the Christmas bombing of North
[4:44] Vietnam in 72 or something. But I don't know that he has the stomach for really starting this up
[4:49] again and, and dealing with Iran's countermeasures, which would be real. And I think also, I really
[4:54] hate it when he uses the military. The military is not, people I know in the military in general,
[5:00] I haven't talked to anyone about this particular, like today, whether they were, of course they
[5:04] obey orders. And of course they join because they believe they're, they want to be good at fighting.
[5:08] And there's a certain amount of relishing with this real conflict, but they're not raring to go to
[5:13] bomb a bunch of civilian targets. If anything, I would imagine there's a lot of reluctance and there has
[5:18] been resistance. We know this in the Pentagon to the original list of targets, Hegseth wanted and
[5:23] so forth, but it just makes our military sound horrible that I think that they're kind of,
[5:27] you know, just trigger happy and bloodthirsty guys who Trump's holding them back. It's quite the
[5:32] contrary in this case, I think. Yeah. Yeah. I don't think we have a clip of, of this,
[5:36] but there was another moment in this interview. It was just very sort of strange to watch where you
[5:41] have a current and the interviewer basically trying to kind of lead Trump toward talking about,
[5:48] you know, the, the importance of the Iranian people and how much we love the Iranian people
[5:51] and how we, how we got into this conflict to help them out. And, and wouldn't he agree that if we were
[5:57] to, you know, really start bombing some of this, you know, mixed use infrastructure, this civilian
[6:01] infrastructure that, that the military also benefits from, that, that would be extremely damaging
[6:06] to the sort of prosperity and just everyday lives of these Iranian people. Uh, and, and Trump didn't,
[6:12] didn't give him an inch on that stuff. You know, he basically said, well, look, you know, we're going
[6:15] to have to, we're going to have to hit these, these energy, uh, production centers. We're gonna have
[6:19] to hit these bridges and, you know, the, the military uses them too. So, uh, so that was, I mean,
[6:23] we, we've talked so much about Iran. Um, we're, there's going to be developments one way or another
[6:28] and all this stuff in the next 48 hours. So, so probably it's better to just kind of keep powder dry
[6:32] here. It's just strange that like, we're still doing this. We're still talking about this. Um, the,
[6:36] the one other thing that we will say about Iran is this, is this next clip of the president,
[6:40] which is just him kind of complaining that people are complaining that it's not over yet.
[6:45] This, this, uh, this conflict that he never solicited, uh, the, you know, the, the, the
[6:50] will of Congress to get into in the first place that he just, you know, the first day he started
[6:54] the bombing, he himself was saying, but you don't need to worry. We're going to be in, we're going
[6:57] to be out. It's going to be this little disruption, you know, little, little military excursion.
[7:01] Um, and now, now he has kind of moved on to, to these comparisons of basically saying,
[7:06] uh, you think an eight week war is bad. Uh, what about world war one? That lasted quite a bit
[7:10] longer. So let's listen to it. Let's listen to Trump on this topic over and it will end when
[7:15] it's over. You know, they want it to be over immediately. And I just looked at a little
[7:19] chart, world war one, four years and three months, world war two, six years, Korean war, three years,
[7:25] Vietnam, 19 years, Iraq, eight years. I'm five months. Okay. Five months. I would have won
[7:33] Vietnam very quickly. I would have, if I were president, I would have won Iraq in the same
[7:39] amount of time that we won. Cause essentially we've won here. Okay. I mean, people can play
[7:45] games. The Democrats could say, well, let's cut it there. Cause it's already such a, such a rich
[7:49] text. I mean, do you have a favorite moment in that bill? Cause there's like six different
[7:53] things that, that, that we got to pull out.
[7:56] I mean, they give him some chart. That's the length of the war. It's not, it's really not
[8:00] to be pedantic. It's not the length of our involvement in the wars. You know, if you look
[8:04] at the numbers he has in world war one, right? He has four years and three months or something
[8:07] in world war two, six years, I guess he's dating from September 39 or something. Um, anyway,
[8:12] so, uh, which, so that's just one pedantic point. Well, those were all wars were all authorized
[8:17] with the, uh, by Congress. There were wars. Yeah. Yeah. With a slight exception of Vietnam,
[8:21] which was de facto, you might say authorized by repeated appropriations for it.
[8:25] Uh, here we had neither an authorization or an appropriation. It is kind of astonishing.
[8:29] Just, you made this point just in passing a second ago, but I mean, here we're six, seven
[8:34] in the seventh week and Republicans in Congress still have the position that that nothing to
[8:38] authorize here, nothing to debate. We shouldn't have an actual discussion about whether this
[8:42] is wise to be doing it as he's talking about. I don't think he's going to, if I had to bet,
[8:46] but still he's talking about reopening yet another pretty massive, I suppose, bombing campaign
[8:51] and a rather morally problematic one, uh, against the nation of Iran. Maybe that's
[8:55] something that Congress could discuss, but nope, the Republicans have no interest in it.
[9:00] Yeah. Yeah. And, and I mean, there's just so many little things when you hear him talk,
[9:03] like, like the, the, the things that sort of flash by and you're like, wait, uh, what was that?
[9:07] Like, like for instance, the five months bit, he's like, uh, you know, Korean war, three years,
[9:10] Vietnam, 19 years, Iraq, eight years. I'm five months. Okay. Five months. What's five months.
[9:15] We've been, we've been attacking, uh, Iran for eight weeks. So that is, that is just sort of in
[9:20] passing somewhat strange. Uh, maybe, maybe there's some oblique way in which that makes sense,
[9:24] or maybe he's just saying a number who knows. And then immediately from that into, I would have won
[9:28] Vietnam very quickly. I would have, if I were president, I would have won Iraq in the same
[9:32] amount of time that we want because essentially we've won here. So basically he's saying, you know,
[9:36] if he had only been in charge for Iraq, for Vietnam, uh, these would have been, you know,
[9:40] we would have won in, in two or three days, eight weeks at the most. I mean, it's just,
[9:43] it's, it's a struggle because like we, we do this show, we pull out clips, you know,
[9:48] we have to zero in on specific moments, but you listen to these interviews and it's like a 40
[9:52] minute barrage of that kind of thing. Right. So we're going to get to a few more moments,
[9:55] but just like the, the genuine, like insanity that's on display. I mean, is that, is that too
[10:00] harsh, Bill? I mean, it really is astonishing listening to this guy try to string thoughts
[10:04] together. Yeah. It's a kind of amazing to also say he would have won Vietnam easily or whatever
[10:09] award that he of course avoided serving in, but, um, whatever one thinks of Vietnam and the
[10:13] debates that happened during Vietnam and gradual escalation versus a bigger attack.
[10:18] I mean, I don't believe that anyone seriously thinks that was just a piece of cake. And
[10:22] I guess what is he probably has the kind of Curtis LeMay position. We would have just
[10:25] bombed the back to the stone age right away. And then one, I don't know that that's his general
[10:29] attitude, big talk, but you know, when it comes to actually, well, I don't know, it's not even
[10:34] worth getting into, but it's just ridiculous. Yeah. Yeah. A lot of people have, have kind of made a
[10:38] lot of hay over the years about, about Donald Trump's, you know, draft dodging in Vietnam and sort of
[10:42] the, the, the cowardice on display and all of that. And his gross comments about, you know,
[10:46] avoiding venereal disease being his own personal Vietnam and all that stuff. But I don't think
[10:50] we've given enough time to, to the fact that he really, you know, he deprived the world of,
[10:55] of Donald Trump's presence in Vietnam that would have ended up winning that conflict very quickly.
[10:59] Um, you know, we could have, we could have had a, had a whole different turn to history.
[11:02] Um, and I think that's a shame that we didn't get that. Um, um, you know, the, the, the Trump in
[11:06] Vietnam that, that, that would have, that would have, uh, won it, won it for us real fast. Um,
[11:10] okay. That's enough about all that. Um, let's move on, uh, because this was not just a war
[11:14] interview. And like I said, there's going to be, God knows, plenty of war stuff to talk
[11:17] about, uh, over the next few days. Um, but, uh, but there are a number of other controversies,
[11:21] uh, that the president dipped into in this interview. And one of them, which we've written
[11:25] about in, uh, in, in recent days is the, the weird boondoggle about the chair of the federal
[11:32] reserve, Jay Powell, Jerome Powell, um, whose term is up next month, but who may not end up leaving
[11:38] right at the end of his term, like he's supposed to, because his would be successor, Trump's nominee
[11:44] to succeed him as chair of the fed, Kevin Warsh, uh, has, has yet to be confirmed. And the reason
[11:50] that Warsh has yet to be confirmed is because Trump has been trying to hustle Powell out faster,
[11:55] uh, with all of these ludicrous authoritarian strong arm tactics, like opening a criminal
[12:00] investigation into him and into the fed, um, which was, which was all designed to get Powell to
[12:06] either resign or to, you know, be more pliant, uh, in, in how he sets, uh, rates at the, at the
[12:14] fed, the way Donald Trump wants him to. Um, and instead, you know, we are now in a situation where
[12:19] by trying to hasten Powell's exit, uh, Trump may actually be prolonging his stay, prolonging his
[12:25] tenure because until Warsh is confirmed, Powell will remain there. Um, and so we've gotten this
[12:30] weird dynamic in a lot of these interviews with pro Trump reporters, people who are, who are very
[12:36] much on his side, who are asking him questions, who are not even bothering to pretend that this
[12:40] criminal investigation into, into Powell is some, you know, independent, just sort of follow the
[12:46] facts where they lead sort of thing. Even Trump's sort of friendly interviewers are acknowledging
[12:52] that this is a pretextual thing that Trump ordered in order to put pressure on Powell.
[12:56] And yet, and yet they're sort of just asking now, Mr. President, wouldn't you agree that maybe
[13:01] the thing to do now is to drop this probe, uh, in order to actually accomplish the aim that you
[13:07] started it for in the first place, which is to get Powell out of there. And his response,
[13:10] I'll warn you it's long and we're only going to play like a little chunk of it, but, but we wanted
[13:13] to give you like a, a decent chunk just to give you a sense. So this is, this is Trump on that
[13:17] particular question. It'd be possible for the banking committee to completely investigate all of
[13:25] your concerns about the cost overruns and the testimony, uh, of Jay Powell in front of Congress.
[13:30] If you could take that off ramp to get this moving and Jay Powell leaves, Kevin Warsh goes
[13:37] in. Is that something you'd consider dropping for the, the DOJ probe to let the banking committee
[13:43] handle it?
[13:44] Well, I think it is from the standpoint, Joe, from the standpoint that we have to find out
[13:47] why a small building costs close to $4 billion. It's not finished, by the way, they have a long
[13:54] way to go. They ripped down the most beautiful ceilings. They'll never build them again. The most
[13:58] beautiful thick foot and a half thick walls of solid masonry. They're never going to be built
[14:03] again. They put up six inch sheet rock walls and they say, so we have no insulation. It's not in the
[14:09] budget. I mean, these, well, they had the best, that building was so beautiful. I would have fixed that
[14:13] building. I would have had it brand new, beautiful for $25 million and they're going to spend close to
[14:19] $4 billion, maybe more than that. I don't know. It's not finished. In fact, I looked at it the other day. I'm, I'm
[14:24] afraid Kevin will have to have an office next to me in the White House because that building's not
[14:29] going to be done. He's not going to be able to use that building for a long time. And it's about a
[14:33] fifth of that answer, by the way, he goes on and on and on and on and on. Our producer, Matt clocked it
[14:37] at six minutes, uh, in, in answering this question of why he does not actually want to, want to sort
[14:43] of wash, uh, the DOJ's hands of this investigation and hand it over to the banking committee. Uh, what,
[14:47] what do you, what do you make of it, Bill?
[14:48] I think we're saying just, it's a criminal investigation. No one's accusing Jay Powell
[14:53] of taking any money, right? I mean, this is not like, unlike if I might just say Trump,
[14:57] the Trump family, the Lutnick family, the Wyckoff family, and all these other people who are
[15:02] justly, in my view, accused, or at least what we know that they're getting a lot of money off a lot
[15:06] of things, many of which are government related. Maybe the fed did a good job. Maybe they didn't do
[15:11] a good job of managing the, you know, the fixing up of their old building. I have no idea. And if
[15:15] Congress wants to look at that, fine. But it's really insane that, um, that this is a criminal
[15:19] investigation here. And I, Joe Kernan is like speaking for common sense when he says, could you,
[15:24] can't we just let this drop? But oh no, he wants to keep it up. Trump doesn't like people who cross
[15:29] him. I mean, I think he's probably, even if Worsh gets confirmed, I really wonder, the whole thing,
[15:34] don't you think, has been so, uh, he's got, it's become so, he's made such a big deal of how he wants
[15:40] a compliant, or pliant, I guess is the better word, fed chairman. It's actually,
[15:45] weirdly going to be a little harder for Worsh, I think, to do what Trump wants, which is always
[15:49] going to be the lower rates, especially if inflation is up. And incidentally, it's not
[15:52] like the fed chairman can just snap his fingers and do it. There is an actual board that votes
[15:56] on these rate moves. And Powell could stay on the board, though not as chair, his term as his seat
[16:02] doesn't expire. And there are others on the board who are not necessarily dovish on rates. So Trump is
[16:08] making, I guess he wants to have a whipping boy there, maybe in the fed, but he's making the actual job
[16:13] of the person who I suppose will eventually become fed chairman. Maybe he won't be, I don't know,
[16:17] he's got his own conflicts of interest Worsh and his own business stuff. But anyway, uh, whoever
[16:22] becomes the next chairman, if someone does, if it's not just Powell, uh, Trump's making his life more
[16:27] difficult, not easier. Yeah. Yeah. I have a theory about this and I'm curious to get your take on it
[16:31] because, because I did a, a live with Catherine Rampell about a lot of this stuff a few days ago. And we had
[16:36] a little bit of a disagreement about what, what's actually going on in Trump's mind here, because
[16:40] there, you can make an argument. And I think Catherine was kind of making this argument that
[16:43] all of this is just, you know, Trump not really believing, you know, what he's, what, what he's
[16:48] saying. It's all just sort of like kayfabe in order to try to get Powell. Um, and, and it has been
[16:53] all along. I am kind of, of the view after listening to a bunch of these interviews, he, cause he always
[16:59] does the same thing, right? It's always like somebody asks him what's going to happen with Powell. Is it
[17:03] possible you'll drop that probe? And he could answer that question, you know, either way very quickly and
[17:07] move on, but he really does seem genuinely personally aggrieved about a lot of the nitty
[17:12] gritty details of this fed building probe. Um, and, and, you know, he's, he in, in that sort of like
[17:19] weird developer way that Trump has, where he activates the same part of his brain, uh, that,
[17:23] that gets him so excited about his ballroom or about the Kennedy center or about any of these things.
[17:28] Um, and, and it genuinely, I, I, I genuinely think there's a way in which he's gotten high on his own
[17:32] supply here where he's like, yeah, I really, I don't like Powell cause he wouldn't cut interest
[17:37] rates. Um, and, and, you know, I, I hope Kevin Warsh gets in there and can cut interest rates for
[17:41] me pretty soon, but all that has to be set aside for the time being until we get to the bottom of
[17:47] this scandal at the fed. And I think like, that's a genuine thing on the part of the president.
[17:52] He seems actually mad and aggrieved about it. I don't know what you, what you make of all that.
[17:56] No, I think you could well be right. I haven't really thought about it that way.
[17:59] He certainly is obsessed with the construction stuff. I've always taken that to be more
[18:02] on the, you know, vanity and egomaniacal side of things, the Kennedy center, especially the ballroom.
[18:08] There's a good piece in the Washington post was it over the weekend that every, he's mentioned
[18:12] the ballroom more often this year and brought it up. You almost always bringing it up himself
[18:17] in speeches and appearances and interruptions in his own speeches to point out there and discuss
[18:23] it when he's at the white house. He mentioned the ballroom more often than he's mentioned health
[18:26] insurance or a million other issues. You know, he's obsessed with the ballroom and that's his,
[18:30] but I've always taken that to be part of his, as I say, ego, megalomaniacal, you know,
[18:35] wanting to leave these things with his name on it behind and so forth. Anyway, so I don't know if
[18:40] the Fed thing is his developer. Just, you know, he doesn't like the way they're doing it. I think
[18:45] he doesn't like Powell. He appointed Powell. He, Powell did not accommodate him in 2020 and he
[18:50] probably blames Powell partly for, you know, the economy not being even stronger and therefore
[18:55] him not getting reelected. And so I think there's a pretty big personal grudge against Powell too.
[19:00] Yeah. Yeah. Do you remember that speech that he gave, I think last year at the United Nations where
[19:05] he went in and did like five minutes of shtick right off the top about, you know, relitigating old
[19:11] grievances that back when he was a developer, the UN had given the contract to somebody else to
[19:15] renovate their, their building in New York rather than him. And, you know, they went with terrazzo floors
[19:20] instead of the, the, the beautiful marble he would have done. I mean, like really just like
[19:24] chapter and verse through this stuff. There's something about the guy. I don't know. I don't
[19:27] know exactly what to make of it, but, uh, but apparently, you know, Jerome Powell is, is a
[19:31] public architect enemy number one, uh, as well as the, the interest rates, uh, boogeyman for,
[19:36] for the president right now. Um, that's enough about all that. Let's do one more clip here. One,
[19:40] one last clip from this, this squawk box interview before we go on to a few other things,
[19:44] because it's about, it's both newsy and again, just, just a real, real insight into the,
[19:49] the mind of this singular president, uh, and the way he approaches these things. This is about,
[19:54] um, the, the, the tariffs, the tariffs, uh, the, the liberation day tariffs, which the Supreme
[19:58] court struck down, uh, a little while ago. And specifically on the question of whether,
[20:03] uh, the tariff revenues that were collected all last year, you know, now that the Supreme court has
[20:08] said those taxes were illegal, you weren't ever allowed to take in those billions and billions of
[20:12] dollars. The question being, do they have to give them back? Um, and, and Trump weighing in on this
[20:16] specific question. Uh, let's play that real quick here.
[20:20] President on that topic, there's a whole number of very large companies, including Apple and Amazon
[20:25] and others that have not sought, uh, reimbursements yet, uh, for the tariffs. I mean,
[20:31] they, they haven't, they haven't tried to collect refunds. Um, and from what I understand, part of
[20:36] the reason that they have waited is because there is a worry, uh, about frankly, offending you. Uh,
[20:43] do you, would you find it offensive for them to try to, uh, collect a refund?
[20:47] I think it's brilliant. If they don't do that, actually, I actually, if they don't do that,
[20:50] they, they got to know me very well. I'm very honored by what you just said. If they don't do
[20:55] that, I'll remember them. I will tell you that because I'm looking to make this country strong.
[21:00] Supreme court could have helped us. Now they have birthright citizenship. They'll probably rule
[21:04] against us. No country in the world has it. It's horrible for our country. And I just see it. You
[21:09] know, I see some of these Republicans that are nominated by me, uh, asking real bad questions
[21:17] and looks like maybe we're going to lose that one too. Look what happened with NIL. They destroyed
[21:23] college sports, the court system destroyed. So there's kind of two halves to that one, right?
[21:29] I mean, which, which one do you want to tackle first, Bill? We can do the, the, the tariff stuff
[21:33] or the, the grab bag of Supreme court grievance there at the end. I think the tariff thing is
[21:37] revealing in this way. Trump is proud of the destruction of the rule of law and the turning
[21:43] and turning our nation as much as he's been able to, uh, into crony capitalism and depending on
[21:48] government favors and depending on favors from him and that you will, you know, he will turn
[21:54] government in a certain direction because you have carried favor with him. Obviously we've seen that in
[21:58] the, in the payoffs basically in terms of the contributions and both to the family, direct
[22:03] payoffs to the family and the contributions to the ballroom and all this other stuff. So, uh, you
[22:07] know, it's, it's nothing new, but I'd say other presidents might've concealed a little bit of that
[22:12] or been, you know, done that under the guise of a kind of rule of law thing. Trump's proud of it.
[22:17] That's great. Amazon and Apple are being smart if they're carrying favor with me and I'm going to
[22:21] remember, right? They said, so I am struck by the degree to which he does not try to pretend that he's
[22:26] as any belief in any kind of sort of impartial, uh, rule of law or kind of free market capitalism.
[22:34] Yeah. And, and not only, not only that they're carrying favor with him and he will, he will
[22:39] remember that and, and, you know, bestow blessings on them later, but the specific mechanism by which
[22:43] he's glad they're carrying favor with him, just to be clear, the Supreme court has said it was illegal
[22:48] for the government to collect this money. The government had no right under the law to, to rake in
[22:53] these billions and billions of dollars from all of these companies. And the idea that, that the
[22:58] president would then turn around and make that a litmus test and say, well, are you with me? Are
[23:02] you going to let me keep that money or are you against me? And you're going to try to, as you
[23:06] have every right to do under the law, go back and get the money that you should never have had to pay
[23:11] me in the first place, according to the, according to the highest court in the land and the fact that
[23:15] and give that money back to the taxpayers. It's not to him. I mean, right. This isn't like a civil
[23:19] suit between Donald Trump and Amazon. And he's grateful that Amazon's dropping the suit or
[23:24] something. That would be kind of white wonder. This is money they're supposed to get back because
[23:27] the taxpayers are supposed to get that money back, so to speak. Not, you know, the government,
[23:31] our government is supposed to have that money. And, uh, uh, anyway.
[23:35] Yeah, no, it's, uh, it's, it's really grotesque.
[23:38] And I mean, he's the companies, companies are supposed to get it back so they can, you know,
[23:42] Well, they are the taxpayer in this instance. I mean, they are the ones that are literally
[23:44] paying the tariffs. And they presume we would pass it on to their consumers and so forth.
[23:48] Yeah. Yeah. So it's a, it's all a mess. Um, uh, but, but we can, we can leave that there. We
[23:53] don't have to get into the end, you know, the college sports stuff, the birth. He is,
[23:56] he is obviously incorrect that we are the only country that does birthright citizenship. Just not
[24:00] true. There are a bunch of others. Uh, and we've done it for a long time. It's worked out pretty well
[24:03] for us. Um, but, but yeah, I mean, I don't know that you, you, you, you kind of got a sense from
[24:07] that, the end of that clip there, most of the interviews like this, right. He gets asked a question
[24:11] and he goes pinballing off, uh, onto, onto whatever other topics they try to bring him
[24:16] back. Uh, he pinballs off a different direction. I mean, this is just the way that his, his mind
[24:20] functions these days. Um, but we can leave it at that. That's enough of a, that's enough direct
[24:23] from the president for one day. Uh, unless Bill, is there anything else you want to, you want to
[24:26] hit before we split? Just, you know, I thought that last thing is revealing. He, there's always a
[24:30] little bit of a canniness in his insanity. And in this case, he wants to attack the court. He wants
[24:37] to discredit the court as much as possible as these decisions that are negative to him
[24:40] in the case of tariffs have come down or will come down in the case of birthright citizenship.
[24:44] So the NIL thing is like literally insane in the sense that what does that have to do with anything?
[24:49] And I don't know, did the U S government never have a position on that? I'm not, I don't know.
[24:52] Did Trump administration, but, uh, it just sort of, uh, if you have some, if you don't think college
[24:56] football is what it used to be, or college sports is what it used to be, because the entire Michigan
[24:59] team, the one this year is, you know, for, are all transfers or whatever, uh, because of NIL,
[25:04] uh, you know, to blame the court. I mean, he is kind of clever in a very weird way,
[25:08] accumulate any grievance you can against any institution you want to delegitimize or lessen
[25:14] the stature of he's pretty, I guess he's pretty good at that. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well,
[25:18] everybody should be good at something. Um, uh, I guess we'll leave it there. That's enough
[25:21] with the president. We got a couple more stories, uh, to hit, but before we hit those, uh, we got
[25:26] to do a quick ad read. In fact, you, you got a tiny sneak preview of it, of, of me dressed
[25:30] different right at the top. Uh, when we played on those other clips, let's hit that real quick.
[25:33] We got an ad for you. Bulwark takes is sponsored by Zoc doc. I've got young kids at home. I know
[25:40] health issues don't follow a neat nine to five schedule. In fact, sometimes it's 9 PM to 5 AM
[25:45] with Zoc doc having no time to book a doctor's appointment is actually no problem. So when you
[25:49] don't have any time for yourself until 11 PM, cut your finger, making a midnight snack or binge
[25:54] watch a medical drama and unlock a new health fear. You can go to Zoc doc anytime, 24 seven and find
[26:00] a doctor you love to make your health plan happen. Yep. Even if it's way after hours.
[26:05] Zoc doc is a free app and website that helps you find and book high quality in network doctors.
[26:10] So you can find someone you love. We're talking about booking in network appointments with more
[26:14] than 150,000 providers across all 50 States, whether you're looking for dermatology, dentistry,
[26:20] primary care, eye care, or one of the other 200 plus specialties offered on Zoc doc. You can
[26:25] easily search by specialty or symptom to build the care team. That's right for you.
[26:29] Appointments made through Zoc doc happen fast, typically within just 24 to 72 hours of booking.
[26:34] You can even score same day appointments. Stop putting off those doctor's appointments and go
[26:38] to Zoc doc.com slash bulwark takes to find an instantly book a doctor you love today. That's Z-O-C-D-O-C.com
[26:46] slash bulwark takes Zoc doc.com slash bulwark takes. Thanks Zoc doc for sponsoring this message.
[26:53] Wow. We're getting a little fancy with the visual elements, uh, uh, for these now that, that nine,
[26:59] that 9 PM to 5 AM thing is true by the way. I, uh, just, just this last night I was, uh,
[27:03] I was up half the night with a, with a, uh, a semi ill child. So that's if, if, if you're wondering,
[27:07] if you've been sitting there wondering why I am lacking my ordinary sort of, uh, verve and, and,
[27:12] and ever effervescence, um, now, you know, um, but, uh, but, but, but, but I digress on that front.
[27:17] Um, I should say, cause we said at the top and haven't said since I'm Andrew Edgar with the
[27:20] bulwark. This is bill crystal with the bulwark. We write the morning shots newsletter. Uh, we're
[27:23] coming to you live on Tuesday, uh, to talk about Donald Trump's, uh, interview this morning on
[27:27] squawk box and a bunch of other stuff. This is strange bill. Cause we're 28 minutes into this.
[27:31] Uh, and we have yet to talk about what under ordinary circumstances would have been, you know,
[27:36] the big news of the day right now, which is that Donald Trump had a cabinet secretary resign
[27:41] yesterday. But like the, the fact that this is, this is like a B story, even while it's happening,
[27:46] has sort of epitomized, uh, the tenure of, of outgoing labor secretary, Lori, Lori Chavez
[27:52] de Raymer, who has been totally racked by scandal the entire time she has been in this job and yet
[27:57] has never really seemed to be able to break into the headlines about it. It's been sort of strange,
[28:01] but you wrote about this, uh, this morning and morning shots bill. Can you just talk a little
[28:04] bit about what happened? You know, what's, what's, what's, what's underway here, uh, in,
[28:08] at the department of labor. She had all kinds of personal scandals and they finally forced her out.
[28:12] It sounds like, uh, her departure was announced by the white house spokesman,
[28:15] uh, in a, unceremoniously in a truth social post, not, they didn't let her at least even
[28:21] announce her own resignation. Um, so they've now pushed out three cabinet secretaries in,
[28:26] I guess, about seven weeks, uh, um, uh, Kristi Noem and, and Pam Bondi and now, uh, the labor secretary,
[28:35] they have been all three to be women. I go on about that a little bit, kind of abusing that,
[28:38] you know, Hagseth and, uh, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Lutnick, all of whom have comparable,
[28:45] I'd say either miss mismanagement of their agencies and or personal scandals. They, they're,
[28:51] they're, they're still there. Maybe they'll go, uh, maybe not. Kash Patel's still there.
[28:55] FBI is not on the cabinet, but pretty important job. So maybe a little bit of gender issues there
[29:00] with Trump and his judgment of these different people. But, um, uh, anyway, so it's, yeah,
[29:05] but you're right. It's, I mean, look, honestly, this, when you, when you've lived with Kristi Noem
[29:09] and the level of scandal we had there, and when you've lived with, uh, Lutnick and, uh,
[29:14] Witkoff and the Trump family, you know, the, the, the stuff that the labor secretary was doing
[29:20] actually reminded me a little bit more of old time scandals where, you know, she's using the staff
[29:24] to get her a drink from the hotel bar. And there was some pretty bad stuff, some sexual stuff
[29:28] with some security garden and kind of miss, you know, fairly bit bad misuse of her staff,
[29:34] but it was a little, it was, it was, it was penny ante stuff compared to what we're used to in the
[29:38] era of Trump. Right. The, the, the stuff that we, that we once upon a time would have said,
[29:42] Oh man, she's, uh, she's gone. She can't survive this. And yet she has just kind of lived along all
[29:47] this time because there have always been bigger headlines on any given day. I remember, I mean,
[29:50] the only, the only piece of original reporting that I think I did about, uh, about the labor secretary
[29:55] for the, for her entire tenure was very early on. Um, you know, when, when we were still in the sort
[30:00] of, um, you know, Trump's people are coming into all these agencies and everybody's kind of mad and
[30:06] doge is going on and everybody's really unsettled and nobody knows if their job is safe. And I just
[30:10] remember that, that, uh, that she came in and, and pretty promptly threw herself a sort of large
[30:16] birthday party at the labor department, um, which we had, you know, sort of a grieved, uh, sort of
[30:21] labor department, civil servants, uh, uh, you know, leaking to us pictures, pictures of this party
[30:26] with, you know, with her face, uh, you know, uh, uh, posted jauntily around the, around the building
[30:32] and things like this. Um, so, so yeah, I mean, again, just, she was one of these people where,
[30:36] where she, she could have come in and, and sort of soothed things. And instead she kind of came in and,
[30:42] and got the, got her, her employees against her pretty quick and, and ended up, you know,
[30:46] being in a lot of these scandals. And it was sort of probably just a matter of time.
[30:50] Her husband also was sort of banned from labor department headquarters for also supposedly,
[30:55] uh, you know, allegations of sexual harassment and all these sorts of things. So just a weird
[30:59] figure, uh, overall, but also sort of an interesting figure because she was, uh, supposedly it's been
[31:04] reported kind of one of Trump's strongest connections to actual organized labor, um,
[31:09] which has been, you know, a significant part of his coalition over the last few years.
[31:13] Um, so, uh, so who knows, who knows what will happen, uh, as a result of this, but, uh,
[31:17] but so long to, to Lori Chavez de Raymer, who, uh, could not even manage to be front page news
[31:22] on the day of her firing, whether that is good, uh, or bad for her, uh, I will leave to the reader
[31:27] to determine, but that's enough. I mean, do you have anything else on her or should we,
[31:29] should we move on? No, no, no. All right. So long, Lori, um, secretary, uh, madam secretary.
[31:34] Um, thanks for, thanks for your service. Uh, let's go on to one other thing here,
[31:37] which is this is, and this is a little bit small ball, unless you're us. Um, cause we both live in
[31:41] Virginia. Uh, but I guess not. I mean, it has as big national repercussions for the, for the house
[31:46] of representatives. Um, the, the Virginia redistricting vote, uh, it's, it's arrived.
[31:51] It's today. Um, you, you probably voted early bill. Uh, I didn't cause I, uh, uh, was, was,
[31:56] you know, I, I, I procrastinated. I got it off. I have to go vote today. Um, but this is, this is,
[32:00] uh, basically the first big swing by the new democratic trifecta in Virginia. You know,
[32:07] until pretty recently, we had a Republican governor, Glenn Youngkin. Um, and then last year,
[32:12] Democrats, uh, swept, uh, the state in the November off your elections for the first time
[32:18] in a long time. I actually don't know when the last time Democrats had a trifecta. The last time
[32:21] Republicans had a trifecta in Virginia was, I think 2012 was when they, when they won it. Um,
[32:27] but this is the first time Democrats have had a trifecta in the state in a long, long time.
[32:30] Um, uh, and you know, it was a commanding when Abigail Spanberger, who, who, you know,
[32:35] was elected governor. She won by 12 or 15 points. I can't remember now off the top of my head was a
[32:40] large, large win. Um, uh, especially, you know, coming off of a Republican incumbent, uh, and,
[32:45] and majorities for Democrats in, in both, uh, houses of the Virginia legislature. Um, and,
[32:50] and their first big swing has been to jump into this redistricting fight, right? Um, that,
[32:57] that Republicans kicked off last year with the off cycle, uh, redistricting in Texas, uh,
[33:01] Republican or sorry, Democrats responded in California, uh, with a, with a, uh, ballot
[33:06] measure to, to permit a, a redistricting, um, you know, to, to give Democrats more seats there.
[33:13] Basically we've just had sort of competing outrageous gerrymanders across this, across
[33:18] the country, right? Um, in, in, in a lot of these states, um, there have been some smaller states,
[33:22] uh, where, where Republicans have tried to just eke out one or two more seats here and there.
[33:26] Uh, they did it in Missouri. They tried and failed to do it in Indiana. Um, and now this is sort of
[33:30] the second big Democratic, uh, counterpunch in Virginia, but it is also the most ostentatious,
[33:37] um, really of any of them, right? I mean, like, like Republicans, uh, picked up five seats in Texas,
[33:43] Democrats picked up five seats in California, but these are big states with, you know, 50-ish,
[33:47] uh, uh, delegates. The, the, the map that has been proposed by Democrats, uh, in Virginia is going
[33:53] from a six, five, uh, Democratic leaning split to a 10, one Democratic leaning split. So I mean,
[34:00] it truly is an outrageous gerrymander like on the merits and the, the argument is, well,
[34:05] what are you going to do? You know, Republicans started this fight. Um, and we need to try to
[34:08] bring it back to parody nationally. You know, we, we, we don't want Republicans to, to win.
[34:14] We don't want Republican states to win more seats through gerrymandering, uh, then, then Democrats
[34:18] win seats through gerrymandering going into these midterms. And that's the only thing that matters.
[34:22] And this question of how, how badly we're gerrymandering our own state, uh, uh, just
[34:26] sort of pales in comparison. It's, it's, it's a, it's an un, it's an irrelevant concern compared
[34:30] to the national, uh, issue. Obviously this is a, a change, right? For, for Democrats to be talking
[34:36] in these terms. Um, you talked a little bit about this on your, uh, on the podcast with, uh, Tim
[34:41] yesterday, Bill, but can you just kind of like walk me through how, how you are, you are crunching all
[34:46] this in your own, in your own kind of personal assessment as a voter? Yeah. You know,
[34:49] it's a change in Virginia. Virginia voters, uh, voted two to one in 2020. I was one of them,
[34:55] uh, to vote, uh, to have a non-partisan redistricting mechanism put in place, uh,
[35:00] it was kind of complicated, involved the courts and a commission with people appointed from both
[35:04] parties. It ended up, the commission couldn't agree. So they went to the courts, they appointed
[35:08] special masters. I think I have to know one of them slightly political science types did a very fair
[35:13] redistricting for 2021. That was, uh, um, fair because it ended up six, five, which is kind of
[35:19] what the split in the state would be in a normal situation, right? It's a slightly democratic state,
[35:24] uh, now, but also fair in the sense that they tried to keep communities together. It's the
[35:29] contiguous districts. You know, this was sort of like a good government dream of what a redistricting
[35:34] would look like. And that's what Virginia has operated on in the last first half of this decade.
[35:38] Uh, and then, as you say, then Republicans went first in Texas and California responded,
[35:44] but other states were going to go, Missouri and others went, Florida may still go in that direction.
[35:49] And so the Virginia Democrats decided we have to have a temporary, I mean, to be fair, it's, it's,
[35:54] it, it, for the rest of this decade, it puts into this place, if the voters vote for it today,
[35:59] this constitutional amendment, which, or constitutional provision, I guess, uh, which, which, uh,
[36:05] embodies this new gerrymander or, or a new gerrymander replacing the old non-gerrymander,
[36:12] uh, but it only lasts through 2030. So it's sort of explicitly a temporary fix for this temporary crisis
[36:17] that the Texas Republicans and Trump basically have caused. That's the argument for it. I think it's
[36:22] convincing. Um, and so I voted for it, uh, last week, as you say, I voted for early. It's pretty close,
[36:28] though. A fair number of Democrats, clearly a fair number of Spanberger voters, I'll put it this way,
[36:33] have are, are uncomfortable with this because I think there are a lot of good government
[36:38] Democrats and some Republicans to be fair in Virginia. And, and it was a two to one vote in 2020.
[36:44] So a lot of people from both parties voted for that and they don't like this concession to
[36:49] partisanship, which I think is justified by the kind of emergency situation we're in with what
[36:55] the Republicans are trying to do. But, uh, I, in a way it's a tribute maybe to Virginians that they're
[37:01] nervous about it, even though they may well pass it. They may not. It's pretty close. It looks like,
[37:06] um, we'll see what the, uh, maybe I'll write about it tomorrow morning, what the results
[37:10] are, but it's interesting how many, I know personally people who, uh, you vote for a good
[37:15] thing this morning, but you're reluctant, you're likely yes vote, but you're a reluctant yes vote.
[37:20] I actually know a couple of people up here in McLean who are no votes, uh, though,
[37:24] certainly Spanberger voters and anti-Trump because they just think it's a mistake to go
[37:29] down that road. So I respect people who have those hesitations. So I think in this case, they're,
[37:33] they're misguided. Yeah, no. And I, and I totally see where, where they're coming from.
[37:36] I mean, again, just, just to, to talk about myself personally, like I, I voted for Abigail
[37:41] Spanberger last November with a song in my heart. It was the easiest thing, easiest decision ever,
[37:44] right? I mean, it was just, um, I, you hardly had to think about it. And this is a very different,
[37:49] this is a very different, uh, situation as far as I'm concerned. And I guess in, in,
[37:53] in some ways it really does reflect, you know, the journey that the democratic party has had to go on
[37:58] in the last number of years where, where they really have grown more sharp elbowed and they
[38:03] really have, you know, woken up, I guess, to, to the, to the threat, um, on, on the other side of
[38:09] things, um, woken up to the realization that no, actually Donald Trump truly does want to destroy a
[38:16] lot of the things that makes this country, uh, uh, strong and a lot of the institutions and the,
[38:21] the, you know, just the, I, I hate to say norms, cause that's such a threadbare word, but, but,
[38:26] you know, the rule of law and, and all these things like it, and he has to be stopped and
[38:29] we should pursue whatever sort of legal democratic measures we can, uh, in order to, in order to reign
[38:36] him in to whatever degree we can. And gerrymandering is one of them, you know, it's, it's, it's legal.
[38:40] It's on the books. You're, you're elected, you're allowed to wield this power. Maybe voters will
[38:43] punish you for wielding this power. Um, but, but you know, it's, it's not like Donald Trump trying
[38:48] to run the entire country by fiat, uh, and, and saying, you know, let the courts try to restrain
[38:53] me if they will, you know, I am the avatar of the popular will. Gerrymandering isn't like that.
[38:57] You know, this is, this, this would be, uh, likely legal. I guess I should say there are,
[39:02] there are legal challenges to it. So it's not impossible that it would get thrown out.
[39:05] Um, and, and, and if that happens, then the old maps will stay in place. You know,
[39:09] this is all sort of like normal procedural stuff. And yet I do worry about it.
[39:13] I do, I do worry that it is, it is sort of a coarsening and, uh, and, and a lowering of,
[39:18] of, you know, democratic, uh, hopes and goals for, for, for, you know, what, what we should,
[39:25] what we should expect and demand our government to do for us. It is actually factually the case
[39:29] that we as Virginians will just be more poorly represented by a heavily gerrymandered map. We
[39:34] have less ability to sort of, uh, choose our own leaders and to sort of, uh, influence the course
[39:39] of action by voting, all these sorts of things. And these are problems. And, and the other,
[39:43] the only other thing I would say about it is I really do detect kind of like an echo. And I wrote
[39:48] about this a little bit in morning shots today. I mean, like when, when you look back in 2016,
[39:53] Donald Trump had his core base of, you know, lunatics and, and, and, you know, terrible people,
[39:59] uh, deplorables, one might even go so far as to call them. Those were real people,
[40:02] but that was not a winning electoral coalition. Right. And there were a lot of arguments,
[40:06] uh, that, that sort of normie Republicans and reluctant, you know, anti, uh, Hillary voters
[40:11] and all these people. Um, there were a bunch of different arguments that ended up pulling
[40:15] these people together into a coalition that, and that was, that was large enough to elect
[40:19] Donald Trump president of the United States to all of our sorrow. And, and one big piece of that,
[40:25] and I remember living through this one big piece of that was this whole flight 93 election conceit
[40:30] that like, uh, Republicans just thought Hillary was so bad and Democrats were so awful that we
[40:36] truly as a country could not survive her election, could not survive when we're a democratic president.
[40:40] And therefore the only thing to do was to sort of jettison all sort of thought of scruple and all
[40:45] thought of principle and any sort of moral or intellectual objection you might have to Trump
[40:49] or even to anything that Trump might try to do. And you just had to throw in with the guy.
[40:53] And I am not at all saying to be clear, I am not at all saying that decision was like equivalent
[40:58] to, you know, whether or not Virginia should read gerrymandering maps, right?
[41:02] Uh, it's a very different, very different sort of thing. Uh, Republicans were obviously not
[41:06] correct in that moment that, that a Hillary Clinton presidency would have destroyed the country.
[41:10] Um, I think, I think everybody has had cause to sort of look back at that and laugh by now.
[41:15] But I, the only reason I bring it up is to get at the, the sort of the way you can trick yourself
[41:22] into sort of deciding, uh, that, that this or that principle that you, that you,
[41:27] you're, that you actually consider yourself to adhere to very strongly, uh, is, is, is okay to
[41:32] set down just this one time or for just this one, uh, reason because the benefit will be so good.
[41:36] And it's always easy to do that, you know, when it comes to like accruing more power, you can,
[41:41] you can easily say, well, you know, all of this, all of, all that this sort of principled
[41:44] opposition to gerrymandering is really doing for us, uh, is, is keeping us from getting the power
[41:49] that if we had, we would do so much good with it. And if they have it, they're going to do so much
[41:53] bad with it. So how could it not be like the appropriate thing, um, to set aside this scruple
[41:57] or set aside that principle and just go get that power. Um, but I also think that, that, that is a,
[42:03] an impulse that we have recently witnessed do shocking harm, uh, to the country as, as it has
[42:09] sort of greased the skids, uh, for, for Trump to take and then retake power later. Um, and so,
[42:14] and so I don't know, I'm just, I'm just kind of bummed out and, and, and tormented about the whole
[42:18] thing. I probably will still vote yes though, uh, because you know, we need a Congress that will,
[42:21] that will stop this guy in so far as possible. So I don't know. Those are just my thoughts on it.
[42:25] No, I think it's well said and well written this morning and people should read it and make up
[42:29] their own minds. I, I would just, I had one thing that they could have, it's, they could
[42:32] have gone to the ballot with gerrymandering of, of state level districts and they didn't. Uh,
[42:38] and there too, Virginia has this, you know, has this, uh, relatively non-ger, well, not relatively,
[42:44] has a non-gerrymandered state house and state Senate. And, and they've swung,
[42:49] as you said, the Republicans, Democrats, one house that was up until last year,
[42:52] the Democrats picked up a whole bunch of seats, but they could lose them again.
[42:55] And Republicans have controlled those, those bodies were very tightly balanced, uh,
[42:58] before that, uh, very closely balanced. So, uh, it's not like in some states,
[43:03] there's just gerrymandering top to bottom, right? You start gerrymandering from the congressional level
[43:07] all the way down to, uh, the state assembly level. Uh, and that Virginia has been not been that way.
[43:12] And, and as I say, I think this is a reason personally, a reasonable temporary, uh, uh,
[43:18] expedient, but as you say, these temporary expedients can be become more than temporary
[43:22] and, and the expedient can start to swallow the rule or the principle, which isn't it.
[43:26] So we'll see what happens tonight. Maybe I'll write about it tomorrow,
[43:29] because I've been trying to follow the, you know, the election a little closely,
[43:31] and it'll be a little bit of a tip off, I suppose, on, on, uh, you know, Democratic,
[43:36] it's, it's not really a part, I mean, it's a little different from a typical vote for candidates,
[43:40] but it probably will tell us something one way or the other. And it will have a real world effect.
[43:43] That is, I think you're, you probably are looking at a 10 to one delegation. If this passes,
[43:47] you're probably looking at maybe seven, four, if they just, if Democrats have a good year and pick
[43:52] up a seat just in the normal course of things. But, um, so that's three congressional seats
[43:57] difference, which is not nothing given that the current margins are, are, are less than that,
[44:01] right? Yeah. Yeah. A couple other interesting things just to say about this before we go,
[44:07] first of all, it is not at all clear. It's going to pass it. The polling seems to suggest it is
[44:11] favored, uh, but not by, not by near as much as maybe it's proponents expected going in. Um,
[44:16] there, there really are a significant number of these sort of defections from the Spanberger
[44:19] coalition, um, who are, who are voting no or just staying home. Um, Republicans seem very energized
[44:24] about it for obvious reasons. One interesting thing on that though, is that nobody has really sought
[44:30] to get the president involved in any way. Um, there has been no effort on the part of the
[44:34] Virginia Republican party to bring him in to kind of rally the troops. And I think that's wise. I
[44:38] think, I think that they, you know, Republicans are really trying to run this playbook that is 100%
[44:44] focused on the sort of good governance issues. They're trying to pull at, you know, the heartstrings
[44:49] of gullible rubes like myself, um, and, and your friends that you were talking about earlier, um, to
[44:54] say, are you really, are you really going to stoop to this level? Are you really going to do that?
[44:58] Um, and meanwhile, if they got the president involved, I think all of us would be like,
[45:03] oh yeah, no, that's what this is all about. And, uh, and, and we would go with a, go into
[45:07] it a little easier. So that's probably smart on smart on their end. Um, uh, Democrats have,
[45:11] or Democrat aligned groups have heavily outspent Republican aligned groups, uh, in this,
[45:17] in this, uh, fight over this, over this initiative. Um, it's, it is very funny the way these things
[45:21] get kind of cloaked. Um, I think, I think the group on one side is Virginians for fair
[45:25] elections and the other one is Virginians for fair maps. Um, so, uh, so yeah, that's,
[45:28] I mean, the whole thing is sort of, there's a, there's a comedy to it. It's sort of, sort of
[45:33] ridiculous in, in, uh, in, in a lot of ways too. Um, but, uh, but anyway, we can leave it at that.
[45:38] Um, we will, uh, we, if, if you're a Virginian or if you just want to backseat drive, feel free to,
[45:43] to chime in in the comments about how, how you're parsing all this stuff. We'll, we'll, we'll,
[45:47] we'll read all that. Maybe you'll even, maybe you'll even convince me one way or the other
[45:49] when I go to vote later today. Uh, but I don't know, Bill, anything else before,
[45:53] before we let the good people go? No, let's let people go and, um, get back to work. And,
[45:58] uh, uh, this was a good discussion though. And, uh, yeah, we'll, and you'll, you'll,
[46:02] you'll talk to the white house about the Trump scheduling of those. Maybe, maybe I'll, yeah,
[46:05] Tuesday morning's okay to do the eight 30 or 9am interviews, but most mornings early, uh, or
[46:11] late the night before would be better. Yes. You heard it. Caroline, if you're watching,
[46:15] uh, uh, Donald, if you're watching, um, you know, that, that would help us out a lot.
[46:18] We'd really appreciate it. Um, you know, really, really good for our programming schedule.
[46:22] Um, so, so thanks, uh, thanks Caroline and Donald, uh, for in, in advance for figuring
[46:25] that out for us. Thanks Bill for coming on and talking, uh, and, uh, and, uh, thanks to all
[46:29] of you out there who are watching. Uh, we hope you enjoyed the show. Um, we'll be back here next
[46:33] Tuesday. I'm sure we'll, we'll, we'll see, uh, uh, here and there on YouTube in, or, or on
[46:37] Substack if you're watching over there, uh, in the intervening time as well. Uh, we hope you'll
[46:40] subscribe to the channel. We hope you'll subscribe to our newsletter over at the bulwark.com morning
[46:44] shots in your inbox every Monday through Friday morning, uh, at or around 9 30 AM, you know,
[46:50] depending on, on how, how, uh, well the wheels are turning on any given morning. Uh, thanks
[46:54] everybody. And we'll see you all next time.
Transcribe Any Video or Podcast — Free
Paste a URL and get a full AI-powered transcript in minutes. Try ScribeHawk →