About this transcript: This is a full AI-generated transcript of Why are maritime laws failing to secure the seas? — Inside Story, published May 2, 2026. The transcript contains 4,192 words with timestamps and was generated using Whisper AI.
"Commercial vessels under attack. The blockades by the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz are disrupting global trade. The crisis highlights the danger conflicts and territorial disputes pose to shipping. Why are maritime laws failing to secure the seas? This is Inside Story. Hello again, I'm James"
[0:00] Commercial vessels under attack. The blockades by the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz are
[0:06] disrupting global trade. The crisis highlights the danger conflicts and territorial disputes
[0:11] pose to shipping. Why are maritime laws failing to secure the seas? This is Inside Story.
[0:33] Hello again, I'm James Bayes. Wars and territorial disputes are rewriting the rules of global
[0:39] shipping. From the Strait of Hormuz to the Panama Canal, from the Red Sea to the Black Sea,
[0:44] maritime traffic is under increasing threat. The UN says global trade growth is expected to slow
[0:51] from about 4.7% in 2025 to less than 2.5% this year. There's also the danger posed by pirates.
[1:01] Last year, the number of piracy incidents rose to its highest in five years,
[1:06] according to the International Maritime Bureau. So is shipping becoming the new global battleground?
[1:12] Why are the decades-old laws governing the sea failing? We'll discuss all of this with our
[1:18] guests when they join us in a moment. But first, this report by Ferdia Kaur.
[1:23] The waters of the Strait of Hormuz may appear calm,
[1:27] but they are a front line in the war between the US and Iran.
[1:30] There is no permission for you to use the Strait of Hormuz.
[1:34] You are ordered to go back to your departure immediately.
[1:37] Iran's restrictions on shipping and the US blockade of Iranian ports
[1:41] have effectively closed the crucial maritime trade route.
[1:45] It's one of several waterways where freedom of navigation is at risk.
[1:50] Though the principle is older, freedom of navigation became international law in 1982
[1:55] with the UN Convention on the Laws of the Sea.
[1:58] It states that ships can't be impeded in international and territorial waters
[2:02] as long as their passage is peaceful.
[2:05] Those rules have maintained a system of free-flowing global trade,
[2:09] which has grown from about $60 billion in the 1950s
[2:12] to more than $25 trillion last year, according to the World Trade Organization.
[2:18] The UN has warned that prosperity is under threat.
[2:22] Navigational rights and freedoms must be restored immediately.
[2:27] Open the Strait, let all ships pass, let the global economy breathe again.
[2:33] Though not a signatory, the US has long seen itself as a guarantor of that principle.
[2:40] It's led anti-piracy patrols in the Indian Ocean since 2009
[2:44] and carried out strikes against Houthis in the Red Sea in 2024 and 2025
[2:49] when the Yemeni armed group attacked ships it said were linked to Israel
[2:53] in response to Israel's war on Gaza.
[2:57] More recently, the Revolutionary Guard warned it could close the Bab al-Mandab Strait,
[3:02] a choke point leading to the Suez Canal after President Donald Trump
[3:06] said American forces would destroy Iranian power plants.
[3:13] The US is also accused of violating freedom of navigation
[3:16] by imposing a blockade on ships entering or leaving Iranian ports,
[3:21] as is Tehran for its attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz
[3:25] and for drafting a law which would see a charge toll fees for safe passage.
[3:29] Since 2022, both Russia and Ukraine have bombed each other's vessels in the Black Sea.
[3:36] And it's not just international waterways.
[3:39] Tensions between the US and China over the Panama Canal
[3:42] have escalated during Trump's second term.
[3:46] Washington accused Beijing of violating Panama's sovereignty
[3:49] by detaining two of its vessels,
[3:51] while China accuses the US of hypocrisy,
[3:54] citing Trump's comments about taking back the canal.
[3:57] Who is coveting the Panama Canal,
[4:02] attempting to turn what should be a permanently neutral international waterway
[4:06] into its own private channel,
[4:08] while disregarding the sovereignty of countries in the region?
[4:11] The answer is self-evident.
[4:14] With maritime laws undermined,
[4:17] there are fears that the ease of trade
[4:19] on which the global economy depends could also be threatened.
[4:23] Ferdi Akar, Al Jazeera, for Inside Story.
[4:26] So, a complex subject, but we have the right guests
[4:33] to make sense of this on today's Insight Story.
[4:37] Joining us from Medford in Massachusetts,
[4:40] Rockford Veits.
[4:41] He is director of the Fletcher Maritime Studies Programme
[4:44] at Tufts University.
[4:46] George Theogridis is in Malmo in Sweden.
[4:50] He's a professor of maritime law and policy
[4:52] at the World Maritime University.
[4:54] And in Kavala in Greece is Stavros Karamparidis,
[4:58] an associate professor in maritime economics at Plymouth University.
[5:03] So, we have an expert in the law,
[5:05] an expert in the economy,
[5:07] and an expert in the security situation.
[5:09] Let's start with you then, Rockford.
[5:11] Security is your area.
[5:13] How bad is the state of maritime security?
[5:18] Well, it's definitely not good.
[5:21] 2026 has not been a good year for maritime security.
[5:23] As we've seen, it's truly a global phenomenon
[5:27] from what we saw in Venezuela and the Caribbean.
[5:31] We've had issues in the Red Sea with the Houthis
[5:33] and now in the Strait of Hormuz
[5:35] and continued tensions in the South China Sea
[5:37] and Taiwan Strait.
[5:38] So, I would say it's under tremendous pressure.
[5:42] Stavros, I mean, let's just start with the story
[5:46] that is dominating and has been dominating the news
[5:51] across the world now for a couple of months,
[5:56] which is the war in Iran.
[5:57] And what is interesting about this
[5:59] is that a conflict that started with the nuclear issue
[6:03] and the fear of nuclear war,
[6:05] it seems now a waterway is a more potent weapon
[6:10] than a nuclear warhead.
[6:12] Thank you very much for having me, James.
[6:16] And to be frank, yes,
[6:18] I think that's the $1 billion question
[6:20] that you're just asking,
[6:22] which it seems that we underestimate it
[6:24] in the global sphere,
[6:26] the importance of shipping.
[6:27] And shipping, as we constantly say,
[6:30] is the backbone of the global economy.
[6:33] And anyone who is able to control that
[6:36] is able to kind of control
[6:38] where the global economy goes.
[6:40] So, I think what we're seeing
[6:41] in the Strait of Hormuz at the moment
[6:43] is exactly what you described.
[6:46] It's like people are trying to project their power
[6:48] according to where they want the economy to go.
[6:52] And I wouldn't equivalent it to a nuclear warhead,
[6:56] but definitely can make a huge damage.
[6:58] And we see some damage happening already
[7:00] in the global economy
[7:01] because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
[7:03] So, I think we should look at it in cautious
[7:06] and see how the things will evolve.
[7:09] George, there are supposed to be laws.
[7:11] We'll come into more detail
[7:12] of what those laws are.
[7:14] But Iran is, or has been,
[7:18] running the Strait of Hormuz
[7:20] as though it's a toll booth.
[7:23] That's against international law.
[7:25] And it's not just Iran,
[7:26] now the US with its own blockade.
[7:29] And of course, it was the US
[7:31] that started along with Israel this war.
[7:35] Or many say in breach of the UN Charter.
[7:40] Well, first, let me start by thanking you
[7:42] for having me here.
[7:44] It's a very complicated issue.
[7:47] And I'll try to keep it as simple as possible.
[7:51] Indeed, we have rules.
[7:54] We have primarily the United Nations Convention
[7:57] of the Law of the Sea,
[7:58] which was shown earlier,
[8:00] which to a certain extent has codified
[8:03] previous customary rules.
[8:05] Now, interestingly, both belligerent states,
[8:09] albeit in ceasefire at the moment,
[8:12] they have not ratified the Convention.
[8:14] They've only signed the Convention.
[8:15] Therefore, they're not bound in the strict sense.
[8:18] However, they're bound by international
[8:21] and international customary law.
[8:24] So the question is whether those acts
[8:26] really are infringing the system that we have.
[8:31] Well, I'm going to say that at the moment,
[8:35] the global system of my time,
[8:37] governance that we have,
[8:38] is under a huge pressure.
[8:41] Now, if you make legislation
[8:43] which is very detailed,
[8:45] the states are very suffocated.
[8:47] They feel suffocated.
[8:48] They will not ratify it.
[8:49] If you get too much freedom
[8:50] and you ask really for the states
[8:52] to act responsibly,
[8:53] then you have what you call the gray areas
[8:56] where the agitators,
[8:58] the perpetrators,
[8:59] can commit certain acts.
[9:01] At the moment,
[9:02] we have an unprecedented
[9:03] really double blockade.
[9:05] And, of course,
[9:06] the most significant repercussion
[9:09] at the moment,
[9:09] apart, of course,
[9:11] from the legal dimension,
[9:13] is the fact that
[9:14] navigation,
[9:16] freedom of navigation,
[9:16] which is a sacrosanct rule,
[9:18] has been really at the moment
[9:20] under tremendous pressure.
[9:22] So, just to keep it simple,
[9:25] I think at the moment,
[9:27] the rules are being
[9:29] under a lot of pressure.
[9:30] So, the law isn't working,
[9:32] the economy of it's not working,
[9:34] and the security situation
[9:35] is not working.
[9:38] Let's, I think,
[9:38] go back and explain
[9:40] what's at stake with all of this
[9:42] and how global shipping works.
[9:45] And, I mean,
[9:45] I was doing the research on this.
[9:46] You'll all know this,
[9:47] but I didn't.
[9:48] There's a very important date,
[9:50] a date that, some say,
[9:52] changed the world.
[9:53] And it's not one
[9:54] that was in my mind.
[9:55] The 26th of April, 1956,
[9:58] that's when a man
[10:00] called Malcolm McLean,
[10:01] a trucking entrepreneur
[10:03] from North Carolina,
[10:05] loaded truck bodies,
[10:06] aluminium truck bodies,
[10:08] on a World War II tanker,
[10:11] took five days for them
[10:12] to go from Newark and New Jersey
[10:15] to Houston, Texas.
[10:17] And that was
[10:18] the first container ship
[10:21] in essence.
[10:24] Perhaps you can tell us,
[10:25] Stavros,
[10:25] about containerization
[10:27] and how it completely
[10:30] revolutionized the world.
[10:33] Yes.
[10:33] And the name of the vessel
[10:34] was the Ideal X,
[10:35] which is, you know,
[10:36] the mother vessel
[10:37] of everything else
[10:38] that was built on it.
[10:41] You're absolutely right.
[10:42] Since the birth
[10:42] of containerization,
[10:44] transportation
[10:44] become cheaper.
[10:46] thanks to Malcolm McLean,
[10:47] we managed to see
[10:48] how we can reduce
[10:50] inefficiencies.
[10:51] And since then,
[10:52] the other logistics operations,
[10:54] they're always trying
[10:55] to reduce
[10:56] inefficiency in the system.
[10:57] So that's why
[10:58] we managed to have
[10:59] a very efficient system
[11:00] because of shipping.
[11:01] That's why shipping
[11:02] is carrying approximately
[11:03] 85% of the global trade
[11:05] in terms of volume
[11:06] because it's cheap,
[11:09] reliable,
[11:09] and resilient.
[11:12] And the thing is that,
[11:13] you know,
[11:14] I can give you
[11:14] some very bold figures.
[11:15] You know,
[11:16] everybody's talking about,
[11:17] for example,
[11:18] the cost of oil
[11:19] and all that kind of stuff.
[11:20] Before the crisis,
[11:22] transferring with a VLCC
[11:23] a barrel of oil
[11:26] was 0.03 US dollars.
[11:29] You know,
[11:29] we're talking about
[11:29] a fraction of it.
[11:30] Now,
[11:31] because of what is happening,
[11:32] because of the increased
[11:33] insurance costs,
[11:34] because of all the other issues,
[11:36] the increased freight rates
[11:37] that we are hearing
[11:38] left, right, and center,
[11:40] that has increased tenfold.
[11:42] And of course,
[11:42] now we were talking
[11:43] about 0.3 US dollars per day,
[11:46] which if you consider
[11:47] that every vessel
[11:48] takes a lot of time
[11:49] to go from point A to point B,
[11:51] that adds a lot
[11:52] to the overall
[11:53] transportation costs.
[11:56] So,
[11:56] thankfully,
[11:58] as we said,
[11:59] we managed with shipping
[12:00] to be able
[12:01] to fuel globalization
[12:02] because it was
[12:03] very cheap and reliable.
[12:04] Unfortunately,
[12:05] with what George
[12:06] was mentioned a minute ago,
[12:08] is that
[12:08] that is under question.
[12:09] Stavros,
[12:10] what I find interesting
[12:11] is that this is
[12:12] a sort of invisible
[12:14] infrastructure.
[12:15] None of us think
[12:16] about it,
[12:16] how we get stuff,
[12:18] how the food arrives,
[12:19] how the fuel arrives.
[12:21] But this goes on
[12:22] and has gone on
[12:23] for decades,
[12:24] this global supply chain
[12:26] by ships.
[12:28] And it affects everyone,
[12:29] not just the rich people
[12:30] in society.
[12:31] If you're living
[12:32] in a tent,
[12:34] some of the aid deliveries
[12:35] and food
[12:35] will be coming
[12:36] by shipping.
[12:38] That's totally correct,
[12:39] James.
[12:39] And, you know,
[12:40] we have approximately
[12:41] 100,000 vessels
[12:42] operating around the globe.
[12:44] You know,
[12:45] we heard in the news
[12:47] several times
[12:48] that there are
[12:48] 20,000 sailors
[12:50] have been trapped
[12:51] in the Strait of Hormuz
[12:52] because of the
[12:52] overall situation.
[12:53] You know,
[12:53] there are thousands
[12:54] and millions
[12:55] of people operating
[12:56] into the maritime sector.
[12:58] And we're very pleased
[12:59] to say that,
[13:00] you know,
[13:00] we were doing that
[13:01] for many, many years
[13:02] without attracting
[13:02] any of attention
[13:03] because we're very reliable
[13:05] and very cost-effective
[13:06] on what shipping is doing
[13:07] and is able to do.
[13:09] But as you rightly said,
[13:10] what is happening now,
[13:11] it has a knock-on effect
[13:12] to everybody
[13:12] because, you know,
[13:13] the simplest thing
[13:14] you have to consider,
[13:15] you know,
[13:15] when the oil price goes up,
[13:17] that means that the bankers,
[13:19] the fuel cost
[13:20] that the vessels are paying
[13:21] is increasing.
[13:22] I can give you an example.
[13:23] Before the war,
[13:25] it was approximately
[13:26] 3,480 US dollars per tonne.
[13:28] Now,
[13:28] we're talking about
[13:29] nearly 900.
[13:30] So, you know,
[13:31] nearly double up
[13:32] the amount of fuel cost
[13:34] that is required
[13:34] for moving the vessels.
[13:36] So, as you can imagine,
[13:37] all those costs
[13:37] have been accumulated
[13:39] in the overall operations
[13:40] of the vessel.
[13:41] And, of course,
[13:42] that will pass
[13:43] to the final customer
[13:44] because someone
[13:46] will have to pay for that.
[13:48] Rockford,
[13:48] I mean,
[13:49] there's also what's called
[13:50] the just-in-time economy
[13:52] making things,
[13:53] including fresh produce,
[13:54] arrive just when it is
[13:56] needed.
[13:58] All of this, though,
[14:00] has created a fragility,
[14:02] has it not,
[14:03] which is now being exploited?
[14:05] We saw it in COVID-19,
[14:06] but now it's being exploited
[14:08] by bad actors.
[14:12] This is correct, yeah.
[14:13] And thank you also
[14:14] for having me.
[14:15] It's great to be here.
[14:17] So, you're absolutely
[14:18] right about that,
[14:19] that what we saw,
[14:20] really, COVID-19
[14:21] was the first peacetime
[14:24] global disruption of trade.
[14:26] And we saw all kinds
[14:27] of vulnerabilities.
[14:29] It's kind of hard to imagine
[14:30] that that was six years ago.
[14:32] And there have been efforts
[14:33] to try to increase
[14:34] resilience in the system
[14:36] and do some what's called
[14:37] reshoring locally
[14:39] for larger countries
[14:41] like the United States
[14:42] or regionally in Europe
[14:44] or North America,
[14:45] for example.
[14:46] But as we have witnessed
[14:48] over the last two months,
[14:50] just one critical maritime
[14:53] choke point being blocked
[14:54] for an extended period
[14:56] has all kinds of second
[14:57] and third order effects.
[14:59] And so, we're seeing it
[15:00] not just with hydrocarbons,
[15:02] with liquefied natural gas,
[15:04] crude oil,
[15:05] but also fertilizer,
[15:07] helium, food coming in.
[15:10] Aid is actually avoiding
[15:11] even the Red Sea.
[15:12] So, it's going from India
[15:13] all the way around Africa
[15:15] through straight of Gibraltar
[15:17] and Suez Canal
[15:17] to get to Port Sudan for Sudan.
[15:19] This is, this really is,
[15:22] I would say it's not unprecedented
[15:25] in history,
[15:27] but it is unprecedented
[15:29] since the end of World War II.
[15:31] So, during this,
[15:32] the sort of peaceful rise
[15:34] of globalization
[15:35] and certainly since the age
[15:37] of containerization
[15:38] was launched by Malcolm McLean
[15:41] in the 50s.
[15:41] So, in that case,
[15:43] the whole system
[15:45] is under pressure
[15:47] and we're seeing it
[15:50] regionally and globally.
[15:53] So, George,
[15:55] I mean,
[15:55] mentioned there from Rockford
[15:57] of these problem areas,
[16:00] choke points,
[16:01] bottlenecks in the system.
[16:03] And my understanding
[16:04] is they don't all
[16:05] have the same legal basis.
[16:08] The Suez Canal
[16:09] is not the same
[16:11] as the Strait of Hormuz,
[16:12] for example.
[16:13] That is absolutely right.
[16:17] Indeed,
[16:18] the law of the sea
[16:20] has made
[16:20] a very clear distinction
[16:22] of the different areas
[16:24] and, of course,
[16:25] the different rules
[16:26] that apply.
[16:27] Let me just say
[16:28] at this point
[16:28] that the legislator,
[16:30] I'm talking about
[16:31] the UNCLOS,
[16:32] has very...
[16:33] Sorry,
[16:34] I'm going to interrupt you there.
[16:36] UNCLOS,
[16:36] just tell me what that is
[16:37] to be absolutely clear
[16:39] what that...
[16:39] UN love their acronyms.
[16:41] Tell me what UNCLOS is.
[16:42] Sorry,
[16:44] I mentioned it earlier.
[16:45] It was actually shown
[16:46] on the video,
[16:47] United Nations Convention
[16:48] of the Law of the Sea,
[16:49] which is what we call
[16:51] the Constitution of the Oceans
[16:52] because of the large number
[16:54] of ratifications
[16:55] that it has.
[16:57] So the legislator
[16:58] has very clearly
[17:00] made differences
[17:02] and different legal treatment
[17:04] about the different waters.
[17:06] So in the case of a strait,
[17:09] there are certain rights
[17:11] which can be exercised,
[17:12] apart, of course,
[17:13] from the right of navigation.
[17:15] We also have the right
[17:16] of transit passage.
[17:18] And again,
[17:19] the legislation,
[17:21] it's very clear,
[17:22] no duties,
[17:23] no charges
[17:24] are supposed to be imposed
[17:26] unless there is a service.
[17:28] So in the case
[17:29] of Panama Canal
[17:31] or Suez Canal,
[17:32] where you have installations,
[17:34] infrastructure,
[17:35] and therefore expenses,
[17:36] and some service
[17:37] is actually being paid,
[17:40] then in that case
[17:40] that is perfectly justified.
[17:42] But in the case of straits,
[17:45] this is really
[17:46] not a gray area,
[17:49] but something that
[17:50] I would venture to say
[17:51] will bring us back
[17:52] to the Dark Ages
[17:53] where we were trying
[17:54] to convince
[17:55] as an international
[17:56] legal community
[17:57] that we should have
[17:58] freedom of navigations.
[17:59] Back at that time
[18:00] in the 17th century,
[18:02] there were assertions
[18:02] by the big nations
[18:04] at that time,
[18:05] one-time nations
[18:06] like Spain and Portugal
[18:07] that there should be
[18:08] exclusive sovereign rights
[18:10] in the seas.
[18:11] And that, of course,
[18:12] was linked at that time again
[18:13] with the trade lanes.
[18:15] So we moved from that.
[18:17] Yet with these kinds of actions,
[18:18] I see that we're trying,
[18:20] we're trying in a way
[18:22] to bring back from a backdoor
[18:23] something which we would expect
[18:26] that it's out of any discussion.
[18:28] Let's bring in Stavros
[18:30] and talk about piracy.
[18:33] And people think of the image
[18:35] of a pirate with the tricorn hat
[18:37] and the cutlass
[18:38] and the jolly Roger flag.
[18:39] Tell us about piracy
[18:41] in the modern world.
[18:45] In the modern world,
[18:46] pirates are very sophisticated.
[18:49] They have specialized sections,
[18:52] how they operate.
[18:53] And we've done recently
[18:54] a work on that,
[18:55] on what has happened
[18:57] of the Gulf of Guinea
[18:58] and how the pirates
[18:59] are operating over there.
[19:00] But what we're seeing now
[19:01] at the moment is that,
[19:03] unfortunately,
[19:03] because of a lot of naval forces
[19:05] being in the area of the Gulf,
[19:08] in the Persian Gulf,
[19:09] there is a lot of activity
[19:12] in other places
[19:13] that was forgotten about.
[19:15] So a lot of pirates
[19:16] because of the,
[19:17] previously,
[19:18] there used to be
[19:19] a lot of naval operations
[19:21] taking place
[19:22] in other parts of the globe.
[19:23] And now they've been repositioned
[19:25] either back in Europe
[19:25] for protecting
[19:26] the European continents
[19:28] or coming into Mediterranean
[19:29] or in the Middle East.
[19:31] that's why they found
[19:32] opportunity gaps,
[19:34] let's call them that way,
[19:36] that they were able
[19:37] to go out
[19:38] and do what they used to do
[19:40] for a couple of years ago.
[19:42] And unfortunately,
[19:43] that's not a good scenario
[19:45] because,
[19:45] as you know,
[19:46] there's not a limited amount
[19:47] of naval power out there.
[19:50] And of course,
[19:50] I'm sure Rockford
[19:51] will tell us
[19:52] a bit more on that.
[19:53] but because we have
[19:55] a limited amount
[19:56] of naval forces
[19:57] at the moment,
[19:58] we could probably imagine
[20:00] what will happen
[20:00] if those naval forces
[20:01] are being deployed
[20:02] in specific areas
[20:03] that piracy will start
[20:04] merging up again
[20:05] in areas that we've seen
[20:07] that has kind of
[20:07] clearly,
[20:08] closely to elimination.
[20:11] They were close
[20:11] to elimination.
[20:12] Well, let me ask you,
[20:13] Rockford,
[20:14] about those naval forces.
[20:16] I think it's interesting.
[20:17] You don't have to go
[20:18] back that far.
[20:19] In 2009,
[20:21] the UN Security Council
[20:23] was unanimous
[20:24] on this issue.
[20:25] It was about
[20:25] Somali pirates
[20:27] at the time.
[20:28] They formed something
[20:29] called Combined Task Force 151
[20:32] and it was supported
[20:34] by all the five
[20:35] permanent members
[20:36] of the Security Council
[20:38] deploying naval forces
[20:40] on the same side.
[20:42] We're in a different world
[20:43] now, aren't we?
[20:45] Yes, we are.
[20:47] I cover this
[20:48] in both my
[20:48] Maritime Geopolitics class
[20:50] and my law,
[20:50] the C-class
[20:51] because it is important
[20:52] to distinguish piracy
[20:54] from non-state armed groups
[20:57] like the Houthis
[20:57] that are really engaged
[20:59] in kind of asymmetric warfare.
[21:01] So let me try
[21:02] to unpack it.
[21:03] So what really has,
[21:05] what you were referring to
[21:07] back in 2009
[21:08] was the assembly
[21:09] of the greatest,
[21:10] most powerful
[21:11] maritime coalition
[21:12] in history.
[21:13] It included NATO,
[21:14] it included Japan
[21:16] and China,
[21:17] it included even Iran
[21:19] contributed to it
[21:20] as well as India
[21:21] and Pakistan.
[21:21] So you can imagine
[21:22] essentially everyone
[21:25] could unify
[21:26] and the international law
[21:28] against piracy
[21:29] is quite clear
[21:30] and not controversial,
[21:31] but everyone could unify
[21:33] against the Somali pirates.
[21:34] And there were no
[21:36] permanent members
[21:37] of the UN Security Council
[21:38] that would get in the way
[21:39] of a UN Security Council resolution.
[21:41] So it was much easier
[21:43] to assemble
[21:44] a maritime coalition
[21:45] back on that maritime challenge.
[21:49] What we're seeing unfold today
[21:51] is different
[21:52] because Russia in particular
[21:55] is willing to get in the way
[21:57] of a UN Security Council resolution.
[22:00] Bahrain has tried to do that,
[22:02] but Russia actually likes
[22:04] these high oil prices.
[22:05] So they're not eager
[22:07] for this to be resolved.
[22:09] China is actually different.
[22:10] And I think China
[22:11] is actually at this point
[22:14] eager for both
[22:16] the U.S. blockade
[22:17] and the disruptions
[22:18] in the Strait of Hormuz
[22:19] by the Islamic Revolutionary
[22:21] Guard Corps Navy
[22:22] to dissipate and move on.
[22:25] And so fundamentally,
[22:27] the other issue I'll mention
[22:28] is last point
[22:30] is what we've also seen
[22:32] is the rise of drone warfare.
[22:34] This really started
[22:35] in the Black Sea
[22:36] where the Ukrainians
[22:37] who don't have a Navy
[22:38] essentially defeated
[22:40] the Russian Black Sea Navy
[22:42] and even sunk its flagship,
[22:44] the Moskva.
[22:45] And then we saw the Houthis
[22:47] take similar technology drones
[22:49] and then also they were
[22:51] the first non-state armed group
[22:52] to launch an anti-ship ballistic missile.
[22:55] And they did that
[22:56] after October 7th,
[22:57] disrupting commercial shipping
[22:58] through the Bab al-Mandeb
[23:00] and the Red Sea.
[23:01] And that commercial shipping
[23:03] is never actually fully returned.
[23:05] And then we see the IRGC,
[23:08] the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,
[23:09] around the Strait of Hormuz
[23:11] use small boats,
[23:12] fiber optic drones
[23:13] that can't be jammed
[23:15] and then, of course,
[23:16] anti-ship missiles.
[23:18] And so fundamentally,
[23:19] in sum,
[23:20] what we're seeing here
[23:22] is the international maritime law regime
[23:25] is under pressure
[23:26] from new technology
[23:27] where geography
[23:29] like the Strait of Hormuz
[23:30] can be used
[23:32] for what's called
[23:33] asymmetric warfare.
[23:34] So using relatively cheap technologies
[23:37] like drones
[23:38] to disrupt commercial shipping
[23:40] and put navies,
[23:41] kind of push the navies back
[23:43] into deeper waters.
[23:45] The navies can go through,
[23:47] but they risk casualties
[23:49] or damage to their ships.
[23:50] So happy to discuss any of that.
[23:52] So let me bring in George
[23:55] on some of those points.
[23:56] Is this not just the maritime dimension
[23:59] of what we're seeing elsewhere,
[24:01] which is everyone has stopped abiding
[24:04] by the rules that were there
[24:06] since World War II?
[24:07] And what is that going to mean
[24:09] for international shipping
[24:10] if we go back to,
[24:11] you know,
[24:12] much more ancient times
[24:13] yet with much more sophisticated weaponry?
[24:19] Well, this is really a crucial question.
[24:22] This is really the core of the matter.
[24:24] I'd like to echo what was said earlier
[24:26] by both of my colleagues.
[24:29] And what I said earlier
[24:30] about the global system
[24:31] of maritime governance
[24:32] or ocean governance
[24:33] against the backdrop that we had,
[24:37] which was really
[24:38] the international law,
[24:40] customary law,
[24:41] but also the UN Charter
[24:43] post-Second World War.
[24:46] It seems that at the moment,
[24:48] the model,
[24:49] which was structured again
[24:51] at that time
[24:51] with the five members
[24:54] of the Security Council
[24:55] and the unanimity
[24:56] which is required,
[24:57] this is, again,
[24:59] under pressure.
[25:00] And it seems that
[25:02] unless the rules of the game,
[25:05] if I could use that expression,
[25:07] to a certain extent,
[25:08] either are respected
[25:09] or somehow we find
[25:11] an amendment coming forward,
[25:15] we will have the same problems.
[25:17] we saw that where,
[25:20] as it was said earlier,
[25:21] in 2009,
[25:22] there was absolute unanimity.
[25:24] All the international community
[25:25] was on that particular matter
[25:27] on the same ground.
[25:29] At the moment,
[25:30] we see that whenever,
[25:32] and also in other areas,
[25:35] whenever there is an attempt,
[25:36] really,
[25:37] to pass a resolution,
[25:39] one of the members
[25:40] of the Security Council
[25:41] is blocking it,
[25:42] which, of course,
[25:43] tests again
[25:44] the limits of our system,
[25:45] the system,
[25:46] which, as I said earlier,
[25:48] is the one that ensures
[25:49] that we have
[25:51] the supply chain in place.
[25:53] We have a system of navigation.
[25:54] Let me bring in Stavros
[25:56] at the end.
[25:57] And just, I mean,
[25:58] there is a risk
[25:59] of widening war
[26:00] around the world.
[26:01] But if we're just talking
[26:02] about disruption,
[26:04] who is paying the price of this?
[26:07] I assume it's all of us.
[26:10] That's absolutely right.
[26:11] It's everybody.
[26:12] And so we have to consider
[26:14] that shipping, for example,
[26:15] is responsible for carrying
[26:17] several billion tons of cargo.
[26:20] Just to remind you,
[26:21] for example,
[26:21] that the value of a vessel,
[26:22] as we were talking
[26:23] a minute ago about piracy,
[26:25] a value of a vessel
[26:26] approximately is 150 million
[26:28] for one vessel.
[26:29] And you have to consider
[26:30] that some of them,
[26:30] they have a couple of billions
[26:32] on top of that
[26:32] in terms of value of cargo.
[26:34] So it makes sense that,
[26:36] first of all,
[26:37] the pirates want to get hold of them.
[26:39] And also,
[26:39] whatever is happening
[26:40] in the region,
[26:41] everybody wants to use shipping
[26:42] as a bargaining chip
[26:43] because there is a lot of power
[26:46] in terms of economics on it.
[26:48] You know,
[26:48] it costs a lot of money
[26:49] to move stuff around the globe
[26:50] and everything has been
[26:51] loaded on vessels.
[26:53] Stavros Karamparidis,
[26:55] George Theokaridis
[26:56] and Rockford Vice,
[26:58] thank you for joining us
[26:59] on today's Inside Story.
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[27:02] fascinating discussion,
[27:03] don't worry.
[27:04] You can watch the program again
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[27:18] For now,
[27:18] that's it from me,
[27:19] James Bays and the team here.
[27:21] But of course,
[27:21] it's not it from Al Jazeera.
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