New forecasts favor Dems as 'brutal' White House infighting erupts

[0:00] Countdown to Election Day, which is now less than two weeks away because, you know, we're on Tuesday night, so we'll be almost done voting in two weeks. [0:07] And in these final days, the president is tonight in North Carolina trying to keep the state's current Republican Senate seat from turning Carolina blue. [0:15] Trump has his work cut out for him, though, because a new poll from North Carolina shows Trump's candidate, Michael Watley, trailing the state's former governor, Democrat Roy Cooper, by double digits. [0:24] I mean, that is a massive, massive differential. That's not a neck and neck poll. And it doesn't stop there. [0:30] One of the nation's top election forecasters tonight, Larry Sabato, moving 28 House races towards Democrats, and that is across 20 states, not a single one moving in the Republican direction. [0:40] The Cook Political Report tonight is moving two Senate races in the deep south to the left, those states Mississippi and South Carolina. [0:48] Now, it is no wonder, given all of that, that Republicans are now keeping their distance from Trump. [0:53] In fact, John Sununu really takes the cake on this. [0:56] Let's just show you this new ad from the New Hampshire Republican Senate candidate, and that is, of course, John Sununu. [1:03] The way Chris Pappas tells it, I'm President Trump's long-lost son. [1:09] I've never even met the man. [1:13] I mean, here's the thing. It's not like it was an interview where it just came out. [1:17] I mean, he recorded an ad. They checked it. He probably did, like, 20 takes. [1:21] It wasn't a slip of the tongue. [1:23] Never met the man. It's a whole new level of napalm from a man that Republicans used to fall all over themselves to get close to and say that they knew. [1:30] And Sununu is not alone. He's joining a long list of Republicans now running from Trump. [1:34] Byron Donald is even on the list. [1:36] He comes in 33 days. [1:37] He is running for governor in Florida. [1:39] Donald's all about to erase Trump from his campaign website. [1:41] It was literally a day where, you know, it was Trump all over it, and then the next day he was gone. [1:45] And Fox News tonight shifted that race in the direction of the Democratic nominee, David Jolly. [1:50] So there are warning signs, obviously. [1:52] And that seemed to tee Trump up to offer, once again, money to people. [1:57] This time, if they report cases of corruption or fraud. [2:01] If you turn somebody in and you, let's say, report and you find a billion dollars, we are giving a commission to that person of 1%. [2:17] Now, when it comes to putting billions on things, if we're going to look at people who are involved in billion-dollar gains on corruption, [2:25] well, that just is going to raise a whole lot of questions, isn't it? [2:28] It comes less than 24 hours after Trump promised American farmers more money as well. [2:32] I'm also pleased to announce that the Department of Agriculture will be launching a new harvest fuel relief program providing our farmers with $8 billion in support. [2:47] And, of course, there's the $5,000 checks, remember, that Trump said that Americans would get all Americans if Republicans kept control of Congress. [2:57] Well, one thing is for sure when it comes down to actually what Americans think about all this, they're already voting. [3:01] So far, more than 11 million votes have been cast in 41 states as well as the District of Columbia. [3:06] And more and more in Americans are turning out. [3:08] You're seeing numbers that are back up or topping even presidential years in some states. [3:13] But Trump's issue, message on issue number one, for voters at least, remains the same. [3:19] We have more growth than this country has ever had. [3:24] And we have more growth than any country in the world is having right now. [3:27] We have the single greatest moment in the history of our country in terms of the economy. [3:36] Now, America does not have more growth than it's ever had. [3:38] That's just fact. [3:39] You could look, it's very easy to see. [3:41] But in fact, if you look at the most recent quarterly growth, it was half the rate as it was in the same quarter of 2023, just as one example. [3:48] OK, so Trump lied there and Americans know it, which is why he is spending his final weeks on the road traveling to the reddest of red states. [3:56] That should not be issues for Republicans, but now are major question marks. [4:01] North Carolina's special place. [4:03] Hello to Oklahoma. [4:05] We love Alabama. [4:07] I love Nebraska. [4:08] Hello to the great state of Texas. [4:11] Very special hello to Tennessee. [4:14] I like Ohio. [4:15] Hello, Montana. [4:16] A very special hello to Arizona. [4:19] Thank you, Alaska. [4:20] Hello, Georgia. [4:21] A very special hello to Kentucky. [4:25] Thank you very much, Kansas. [4:28] I love you, Kansas. [4:31] Kristen Holmes is out front in Greenville, North Carolina. [4:34] That's where Trump is tonight. [4:35] And Kristen, you've got some new reporting, I know. [4:37] What are you learning? [4:40] Well, Erin, even though those midterms are two weeks away, inside the White House, the knives are out. [4:45] There is fear of a rampage by President Trump if they do lose those midterms, particularly both the Senate and the House. [4:52] And it's led to some brutal internal jockeying. [4:55] One, we have seen knives out for Chief of Staff Susie Wiles. [4:58] There was some perception among some of the administration that because she was not there when Katie Zachariah had been hired, that that meant that President Trump was looking for replacements. [5:08] We've seen multiple reports on that. [5:11] We've seen the attacks and the reports on James Blair, as well as Chris LaCivita. [5:16] We know that in addition to those different allies, there are administration officials across the board who are looking for potential openings. [5:25] There have been conversations, speculation that some cabinet officials might want to get out before Democrats take over, fear of those Democratic investigations. [5:34] One of the people that there's been much speculation about is Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who is expected to be a very vain focus for those Democrats right out of the gate. [5:46] Another speculation has been around Secretary of Energy Chris Wright, that he's going to try and leave and go into some kind of lucrative private energy industry. [5:54] Just right now, the real focus, Erin, is that the knives are out and you're seeing that leaking and that infighting that this administration this time around had been very good at controlling. [6:06] So we talk about the top concern. [6:08] Obviously, for many voters, it was the economy. [6:11] And then there was that recent Fox poll SE that showed it was corruption, right? [6:15] That corruption was the top thing. [6:17] So Trump saw that because it's on Fox. [6:19] And so now he's going to pay people if they expose corruption. [6:23] I'll play again the claim here of the money you could get. [6:28] The kind of money that's been stolen is trillions from this country by crooked politicians that made things and set things up. [6:37] Crooked attorney generals like we have in New York, like we have in Minnesota, like we have. [6:44] I can name all of them. [6:48] I don't know if, you know, how much money money they're getting. [6:50] But he's saying, you know, it's a percent. [6:52] So if it's a billion, it's a lot. [6:53] Now, I mean, just according to Forbes, Trump is an estimated $2.7 billion richer now than he was when he came into office. [6:59] So, you know, what's the corruption that voters are most worried about? [7:04] Well, just before air, the White House official X account posted this, right? [7:10] If you've seen fraud, if you notice fraud, they're all in it here. [7:15] And it was a long list of people pointing to Trump and then listing all of the people he is pardoned for fraud, right? [7:23] So, I mean, this really just, probably unintentionally, draws attention, draws the eye to Trump's own corruption and this problem of corruption. [7:33] So does Eric Dieters, who exposed Kimberly Guilfoyle and says there's more to come, does he get paid a finder's fee? [7:39] A percent of the Amex bill? [7:41] Well, I mean, there really is something of a O.J. looking for the real killer. [7:45] Yeah, if I did it, if I did it. [7:46] If I did it. [7:47] And, you know, I mean, it really goes on and on. [7:49] We talk about the pardon. [7:50] It's like 15 minutes before we went on air, the New York Times came up with a, came out with an exclusive story about another group, bunch of people being hired, [7:58] who are friendly with Trump, a former lawyer, two former lawyers, take for a billionaire to get a pardon. [8:04] And it just never stops. [8:06] And that's what people associate when they're thinking corruption, when those polls that Harry's going to cite talk about corruption, [8:13] they're thinking of this administration. [8:15] They're not thinking of Tish James. [8:16] And that is what the polling shows. [8:18] The polls show that Democrats have a double-digit advantage on which party is more trusted on corruption. [8:23] We are a long way away from 2016 in which corruption was an issue that Donald Trump hammered Hillary Clinton over and over and over again. [8:32] Trump's net approval rating on corruption is minus 20, minus 30 points, perhaps even worse depending on which poll you look at. [8:38] The name of the game has stayed the same, but the game is fought over a very different ground from what it once was.